DRAFT TARGETS: WEEK 5
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Jacksonville Jaguars at Pittsburgh Steelers
I think this game will be avoided by most fantasy players and I understand why. Both defenses have legitimate defensive strengths, especially against the pass. The Jaguars boast two outstanding CBs in Jalen Ramsey and A.J. Bouye. That certainly doesn’t mean that the Steelers couldn’t get either Antonio Brown or Martavis Bryant lose. One big play is all it takes. However, these guys aren’t who I’m targeting. Especially in DRAFT where it’s half-point PPR, I want both backs in this game. Le’Veon Bell and Leonard Fournette are both in excellent spots. Even though the pass defense for Jacksonville is very good, their run defense gives up the most rushing yards in the NFL. Bell got on track last week in Baltimore and comes home in a prime matchup.
Especially in DRAFT where it’s half-point PPR, I want both backs in this game. Le’Veon Bell and Leonard Fournette are both in excellent spots. Even though the pass defense for Jacksonville is very good, their run defense gives up the 165 rushing yards per game, most in the NFL. Bell got on track last week in Baltimore and comes home in a prime matchup. On the flip side, Fournette faces a Steelers defense that gives up 113 yards on the ground. I fully expect both backs to get 20 touches and have a very good shot at finding paydirt. Don’t be scared of the defense when picking an RB.
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams
This game is a bit risky. Both defenses have talent, even though they haven’t exactly played up to par yet. The Rams especially have been porous against the run. It’s not a weakness we can attack though because we simply have no idea which back for Seattle will see the work. It could be Eddie Lacy, Thomas Rawls or even J.D. McKissic. I have a good bit of interest QB Russell Wilson and WR Doug Baldwin as I think Seattle will be putting up some points. Even with the struggles the Seattle offense has had, Wilson is the QB3 on the season heading into this game.
Normally, you wouldn’t go near a running back against Seattle. The 2017 version of Todd Gurley isn’t normal. He’s been the best fantasy RB in football and Seattle is actually bleeding yards on the ground. They’re giving up a whopping 131 yards rushing per game and Gurley is in a great spot to take advantage of that. It’s basically the same situation as the Jaguar game. The defense carries a big name, but they aren’t defending the run well at all. Gurley is also heavily involved in the passing game, making his floor super high.
Kansas City Chiefs at Houston Texans
Rookie QB Deshaun Watson is the new hotness that everyone wants to play. While I think he’ll be perfectly usable this week, there are other QBs that are more attractive. The biggest target I’m after from Houston is WR DeAndre Hopkins. He’s been an absolute target monster this year, and he and Watson look like they’re going to be quite the pair for years to come. RB Lamar Miller is on the radar if you’re in a bigger contest, although I wouldn’t chase him too hard.
The Kansas City offense is fairly unique as most of their yards funnel through three players. RB Kareem Hunt is always in play in any format until he proves he can be stopped. WR Tyreek Hill has a scary floor, but always possesses the ceiling that can win you a contest. He’s not one of my personal favorites, but I’m also very bad at guessing when Hill is going off. The Chiefs will actually make me think about breaking a guideline I have for DRAFT: I might actually draft a TE. Travis Kelce is one of(if not the) best TE in football. I also stumbled onto this:
Travis Kelce has hammered 6/106/2 and 8/128 in 2-of-3 games vs. #Texans. HOU just gave up 8/89/1 to an alpha TE (Gronkowski) in Week 3.
— Graham Barfield (@GrahamBarfield) October 6, 2017
Green Bay Packers at Dallas Cowboys
Now we’ve gotten to the best game on the slate, at least on paper. Both QB’s are easy targets. I’ll be avoiding any of the Packers running backs unless both Ty Montgomery and Jamaal Williams are inactive. Unfortunately, we won’t know that until later in the slate. QB Aaron Rodgers is on the board every single week and is in a plus matchup, despite being on the road. I’m trying to pair Rodgers and WR Jordy Nelson, if possible. Nelson is one of the best bets to find the end zone any given week. Even with small rosters, I still want to try and have some type of stack.
The Dallas offense is in play for their Big Three. QB Dak Prescott, RB Ezekiel Elliott, and WR Dez Bryant are in line for big days. It may seem crazy, but I don’t mind stacking all three if the opportunity presents itself. It could blow up since that would constitute 3/5 of your roster but the upside is massive. Prescott most likely will be the easiest player to draft, as you can wait on QB without much issue.
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