This year’s NFL free agency was above and beyond more than what people were expecting. There were a ton of player moves that people didn’t see coming, including star wide receivers DeAndre Hopkins to the Cards, Stefon Diggs to the Bills but none was more shocking than Tom Brady choosing the Tampa Buccaneese as his new team. After 20 years with the New England Patriots, Brady will be wearing a new uniform, and because of it, Super Bowl odds got quite the shakeup. While there are still a handful of big names yet to sign with new teams, I thought I’d take a look at the progression in Super Bowl odds from the Monday after the Cheifs won Super Bowl LIV to seven weeks later. If you’re interested in placing a bet on one of these teams, check out this Golden Nugget Casino promo code to take advantage of their current promotion. The following table shows Super Bowl odds and the change over the last seven weeks.
| Updated Super Bowl Odds | +/- | MAR23rd | FEB 3rd | |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -100 | 500 | 400 | |
| Baltimore Ravens | -50 | 700 | 650 | |
| San Francisco 49ers | -50 | 800 | 750 | |
| New England Patriots | -1000 | 1800 | 800 | |
| New Orleans Saints | +400 | 1100 | 1500 | |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | -700 | 2500 | 1800 | |
| Dallas Cowboys | 0 | 2000 | 2000 | |
| LA Chargers | -1500 | 4000 | 2500 | |
| Green Bay Packers | +900 | 1600 | 2500 | |
| Seattle Seahawks | +900 | 1600 | 2500 | |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +500 | 2000 | 2500 | |
| LA Rams | 0 | 3000 | 3000 | |
| Cleveland Browns | -1000 | 4000 | 3000 | |
| Minnesota Vikings | +500 | 2500 | 3000 | |
| Las Vegas Raiders | -1000 | 4000 | 3000 | |
| Indianapolis Colts | +700 | 2800 | 3500 | |
| Tennessee Titans | +1300 | 2200 | 3500 | |
| Houston Texans | -1500 | 5000 | 3500 | |
| Chicago Bears | +1000 | 3000 | 4000 | |
| Atlanta Falcons | -1000 | 5000 | 4000 | |
| Buffalo Bills | +2000 | 2000 | 4000 | |
| Tampa Bay Bucs | +3300 | 1200 | 4500 | |
| Denver Broncos | -1600 | 6600 | 5000 | |
| Carolina Panthers | -1400 | 8000 | 6600 | |
| New York Giants | -5900 | 12500 | 6600 | |
| New York Jets | -3000 | 10000 | 7000 | |
| Detroit Lions | 0 | 8000 | 8000 | |
| Arizona Cardinals | +4000 | 4500 | 8500 | |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 0 | 10000 | 10000 | |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 0 | 10000 | 10000 | |
| Miami Dolphins | +2500 | 10000 | 12500 | |
| Washington Redskins | 0 | 15000 | 15000 | |
Super Bowl Odds: +1200
Obviously the biggest jump in Super Bowl LV odds was the Tampa Bay Buccaneers after they signed Tom Brady. The Bucs went from +4500 to +1200. The Bucs have an underrated roster with depth on defense and arguably the best receiving duo in the NFL. Mike Evans (WR9) and Chris Godwin (WR2) should give Brady enough firepower on the outside while O.J Howard and Cameron Brate should benefit from the years of experience that Brady brings to the team.
Super Bowl Odds: +4000
The trade to acquire DeAndre Hopkins improved the Cards chances of representing the NFC in the Super Bowl, however, they are still long shots overall. Second-year Kyler Murray showed flashes of his talent last year but will be under the gun to take the next step in year two. Often times there is a Sophomore setback with quarterbacks. Murray and company also play in one of the most improved divisions in football, the NFC West. The 49ers, Seahawks, and Rams all had winning seasons in 2019, while the Cards went 1-5 in their division. The Cardinals are one of the leagues up and coming teams, but Super Bowl LV might too much in Murray’s second season.
Quick Notes
- The Bills saw a decent spike in Super Bowl Odds after acquiring Stefon Diggs. The Bills gave up quite a bit to obtain the talented wide receiver but will want to make the most of their remaining draft picks. With Tom Brady out of the NFC East, there will be breathing room for the Bills to compete for the division title.
- The Tennessee Titans re-signed the players that made them the team they were last season. Locking up Ryan Tannehill and Derrick Henry should ensure the offense is still a threat in the AFC and sportsbooks improved their odds as well.
Who do you like this year, and what team do you wish you had placed a bet on prior to NFL free agency?
Joseph is a long-time sports betting enthusiast based out of New York. He loves the Jets and is happily married with 2 kids.
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