DraftKings

Thursday Night Football DFS Showdown Seattle at Dallas

Dak Prescott

Thursday Night Football DFS Showdown

When the schedule originally came out, this was a potential must-see showdown. Seattle Seahawks Geno Smith was coming off a season for the ages and an NFL Comeback Player of the Year award. Dallas was supposedly transitioning into a run-first offense with everyone’s (then) fantasy darling Tony Pollard dominating the backfield.

Oh, how things have changed. The Seahawks will limp into Dallas, losing three of their last four games. Smith has 12 touchdowns and eight interceptions for the season. Last week, he passed for 180 yards with one interception. Smith was sacked six times and had 12 quarterback hits. Now Smith and the offensive line will have to contend with Micah Parson’s pressure that has him tied for third in quarterback hits and tied for sixth in sacks (11.5).

The Cowboys’ pass defense is holding wide receivers to a 68.9 rate (first in the league) and has nine interceptions and seven touchdowns to date. Cornerback Daron Bland has an NFL record for five pick-sixs.

And as far as the Cowboys being a run-first defense…they are 12th in passing attempts (35.5) with 39.0 average passing attempts in their last three games. They are also fourth in passing yards (262.4) while averaging 335.7 passing yards in their last three games.

In his last three games, quarterback Dak Prescott has had 17 touchdowns and two interceptions. Last week, he finished with 331 passing yards, four touchdowns, and a 142.1 passer rating.

This brings us to this week’s Thursday Night Showdown.

LINES

Lines are from some of the best online sportsbooks on Wednesday. Always be diligent.

  • Spread: Seahawks +9 (-112); Cowboys -9 (-108)
  • Moneyline: Seahawks +350; Cowboys -455
  • Total: Over 47.5 (-112); Under 47.5 (-108)

Both the line and total have moved. The line started at Cowboys -7.5 and has moved 1.5 on some sportsbooks. The total has increased by 1.0 since the beginning of the week.

DFS: PLAYING THE GAME

You can play a Showdown Tournament on FanDuel, DraftKings, or both. This article is specific to a PPR scoring system with bonus points, DraftKings. In DraftKings, the quarterback receives three bonus points for 300+ passing yards. The running backs and receivers get three bonus points for over 100 yards rushing and/or receiving.

The DraftKings Showdown Tournament requires six players to be rostered. The limitation is that all six players cannot be from the same team. You must roster at least one player from the opposing team.

The Showdown Tournament also has a Captain spot that must be rostered. The player in the Captain spot has his point total multiplied 1.5 times. His salary will also be multiplied by 1.5 times.

You can play either single entry or GPP. The choice will alter your strategy as a single entry will be closer to a cash game lineup. GPP, you are always getting a little weird.

INJURIES

Seattle Seahawks

Did Not Participate In Practice

  • RB Kenneth Walker III (oblique)
  • G Phil Haynes (toe)
  • WR Dee Eskridge (ribs)

Limited Participation In Practice

  • WR Dareke Young (abdomen)
  • DE Leonard Williams (ankle)
  • TE Will Dissly (hip)
  • S Jamal Adams (knee/NIR-Rest)

Dallas Cowboys

Did Not Participate In Practice

  • DE Dante Fowler Jr. (illness)
  • LB Micah Parsons (illness)

Limited Participation In Practice

  • RB Rico Dowdle (ankle)

PROP BETS

These prop bets and odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook. And from The B League’s Pick ‘Em ‘s Show…Show

Just a note: the odds today (Wednesday) aren’t great. Sorry. Always check other sportsbooks and see if you can get better odds. If you are feeling spanky, parlay for the fun of it.

The first prop found under DraftKings Sportsbook Weekly Special

  • Daron Bland will have a Pick-Six +1400: as stated earlier, Bland has an NFL record of 5 Pick-Sixs, and Smith has thrown eight interceptions. Why not?
  • Jaxon Smith-Njiba over 42.5 receiving yards (-110): Smith-Njiba has gone over 40+ yards in six of his last seven games.
  1. San Francisco 49ers: 41 yards on two receptions
  2. Los Angeles Rams: 40 yards on three receptions
  3. Washington Commanders: 53 yards on four receptions

It is more than likely the Seahawks will be playing from behind. With the Dallas passing defense concentrating on D.K. Metcalf, Smith-Njiba should get his 43+ receiving yards.

  • Parlay= Cowboys -8.5, under 47.5, Brandin Cooks anytime scorer +950

CAPTAIN SPOT

How much faith do you have in Seattle keeping up with Dallas? The top three highest-cost Captains are Cowboys.

  • CeeDee Lamb, $17,100
  • Dak Prescott, $16,500
  • Tony Pollard, $14,700

If I were playing in a large GPP tournament, I would not be averse to adding the Cowboys’ defense to the Captain spot.

  • DST Cowboys, $8,400
  • K. Metcalf, $14,400
  • Geno Smith, $13,800
  • Tyler Lockett, $10,800

Again, GPP tournament, no shame in thinking about the running back position, and if Kenneth Walker is out, then.

  • Zach Charbonnet, $10,200

Serious Flex Option in addition to those mentioned above:

WR, Brandin Cooks, $8,000: Cooks has had 70+ yards in his last three games and two touchdowns in two of the last three games.

TE, Jake Ferguson, $6,200: Upside Prescott loves his tight ends. The downside is that the Seahawks have only allowed one touchdown to the tight end position.

Also Ran:

RB, Rico Dowdle, $4,200: Dowdle is nursing an ankle injury. Last week, with the same injury, he ran three times for 11 yards and saw one target. This Thursday’s game is unusual because both teams played last Thursday, so technically, it’s not a short week for either. Check reports on Thursday for Dowdle’s participation in practice.

The Seahawks DST, $3,400: The defense had a pick-six last week. Their pass defense is giving up 6.8 yards per carry (12th), and quarterbacks have averaged 88.4 rate (13th) against them.

WR, Jalen Tolbert, $3,000: Tolbert had three targets for 49 yards last week as Prescott threw to 10 different receiving options. He is outplaying Michael Gallup, who had one target for 13 yards last week and is $800 more expensive.

TE, Luke Schoonmaker, $1,800: Still behind Ferguson but has 11 targets in 10 games, two of which resulted in touchdowns, with the same downside as Ferguson.

Maybe:

WR, Jake Bobo, $1,600: Bobo had a breakout week in Week 7 against the Arizona Cardinals, but little since. I know the potential is there, but he is WR4, and in his last five games, he only has 50 yards on six receptions.

RB, Deuce Vaughn, $200: If Rico Dowdle cannot go, see if Vaughn is slotted in the RB2 spot. Vaughn was inactive last week.

 

Play nice, and good luck.

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