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ThriveFantasy Player Prop Advice: Week 5

ThriveFantasy Tips: Week 5

Have you ever heard of ThriveFantasy?

It is a new Daily Fantasy Sports app that is unlike your usual competitive fantasy choices and meant for the everyday fan. ThriveFantasy focuses on top-tier athletes from every sport while streamlining the drafting process. The result is a captivating DFS game that even the casual and hardcore sports fan can enjoy. You build a lineup around a list of simple binary player propositions.

The less likely the player prop is to take place the more points the choice will be worth. You score points based on the number of props you select correctly. As an example, your team could be made up of 15 picks that you select out of an available list of 20. You will also select two in case of emergency or ICE picks. These ICE picks will automatically be added to your team only if an athlete is ruled out of a game prior to their start time. You will be alerted if an ICE is being used. ThriveFantasy has an app that features live updates to let you know in real time how close your picks are to hitting and to provide you a line of sight of how you stack to the competition.

This week’s article will focus on the $10 NFL Week 5 $1K Guaranteed Contest highlighting 10 props to target.

 

Aaron Rodgers

276.5 Passing Yards

  • Over = 95 points
  • Under = 105 points

Rodgers has only averaged 267.9 passing yards per game over his last 27 games with positive passing fantasy points over expectation. He has always been one of the most efficient quarterbacks and can make opposing defenses pay with relatively few pass attempts. The projected point total on the Packers and Lions game is 51 points, but my recommendation is to take the under on this player prop.

Alex Collins

51.5 Rushing Yards

  • Over = 115 points
  • Under = 85 points

Collins has a matchup against a Browns defense ranked near the bottom of the league allowing 116.8 rushing yards per game. Since last season he is averaging 13.5 rushing attempts and 59.7 rushing yards per game. The Ravens operate a running back by committee with Collins and Javorius Allen. One costly fumble could see Collins lose opportunities to Allen, but considering the matchup this is a player prop I recommend you take the over on.

Julio Jones

105.5 Receiving Yards

  • Over = 100 points
  • Under = 100 points

Jones is averaging 11.5 targets, 7.2 receptions, and 125.5 receiving yards per game this game. A great deal of attention is on Calvin Ridley over the last two weeks given his statistical lines, but is only averaging 5.2 targets per game this season. My recommendation is to take the over on this player prop.

Antonio Brown

6.5 Receptions

  • Over = 85 points
  • Under = 115 points

Brown is averaging 13.2 targets and 7.5 receptions per game this season. He has averaged 11.4 targets and 7.7 receptions per game over his last 65 games. My recommendation is to take the over on this player prop considering the projected point total on the game between the Steelers and Falcons is 58.

 

 

A.J. Green

0.5 Receiving Touchdowns

  • Over = 125 points
  • Under = 75 points

Green is averaging 8.2 targets and 1.2 receiving touchdowns per game this season. The opportunities to score should be there for him in a plus matchup against a Dolphins defense 285 passing yards and 1.2 passing touchdowns per game this season. My recommendation is to take the over on this player prop.

Patrick Mahomes

261.5 Passing Yards

  • Over = 95 points
  • Under = 105 points

Patrick MahomesThe Jaguars defense is allowing the fewest passing yards per game (164.2) this season, but are allowing 210 passing yards per game on the road. The Chiefs offense is averaging 410 total yards per game. Mahomes is averaging 298.7 passing yards per game. The Chiefs are playing at home in a game with a projected point total of 49. My recommendation is to take the over on this player prop and continue to ride the positive momentum Mahomes has had this season.

Jared Cook

4.5 Receptions

  • Over = 105 points
  • Under = 95 points

Cook is in the midst of a breakout season and is being heavily used in the Raiders offense. He is averaging 8.8 targets and 6.5 receptions per game this season. Cook and the Raiders offense face a Chargers defense that is struggling defensively allowing 275.8 passing yards. The matchup between these two teams has a projected point total 52.5. My recommendation is to take the over on this player prop.

Philip Rivers

26.5 Pass Completions

  • Over = 125 points
  • Under = 75 points

Rivers is averaging 36.7 pass attempts per game this season with a completion percentage of 68 percent with positive passing fantasy points over expectation. My recommendation is to take the over on this player prop.

Todd Gurley

87.5 Rushing Yards

  • Over = 100 points
  • Under = 100 points

Gurley has averaged 84.5 rushing yards per game along with his heavy usage as a receiver out of the backfield. The Seahawks defense is allowing 122.5 rushing yards per game. Gurley has had 40 touches entering Week 4 and is the RB1, in my opinion, heading into Week 5. My recommendation is to take the over on this player prop.

DeAndre Hopkins

0.5 Receiving Touchdowns

  • Over = 125 points
  • Under = 75 points

Hopkins has averaged 0.5 touchdowns per game this season. He has also averaged 0.5 per game for his career. The Cowboys defense has not allowed a high number of passing yards or touchdowns per game, but Hopkins has the athletic ability to transcend any matchup. My recommendation is to take the over on this player prop.

CONCLUSION

You have a compelling case for each of the player props in ThriveFantasy’s Week 4 Featured Traditional Contest. Which ones will you choose? Do you agree or disagree? What did you find most useful? Please leave a comment below or better yet reach out via Twitter @EricNMoody. Until next time!

 

 

Thanks for reading

Eric Moody

Eric Moody

Eric Moody is a member of the FSWA (Fantasy Sports Writers Association) and writes exclusively about fantasy football. He has a lifelong passion for the game and played on the collegiate level as an offensive lineman. Eric also participated in Dan Hatman's Scouting Academy in order to learn the process of player evaluation at an NFL level by using game film. When he provides fantasy football advice he prefers to "play the piano with both hands" using game film, analytics, and statistics to help you understand his perspective. Eric enjoys Netflix, listening to music, playing bass guitar, drinking coffee, and spending time with his family. He lives in Dallas, Texas

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