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Tyreek Hill

ThriveFantasy Player Prop Advice: Week 2

The Secret to Making Player Prop Selections at ThriveFantasy

Thrive FantasyHave you ever heard of ThriveFantasy? It is a new Daily Fantasy Sports app that is unlike your usual competitive fantasy choices and meant for the everyday fan. ThriveFantasy focuses on top-tier athletes from every sport while streamlining the drafting process. The result is a captivating DFS game that even the casual and hardcore sports fan can enjoy. You build a lineup around a list of simple binary player propositions.

The less likely the player prop is to take place the more points the choice will be worth. You score points based on the number of props you select correctly. As an example, your team could be made up of 15 picks that you select out of an available list of 20. You will also select two in case of emergency or ICE picks. These ICE picks will automatically be added to your team only if an athlete is ruled out of a game prior to their start time. You will be alerted if an ICE is being used. ThriveFantasy has an app that features live updates to let you know in real time how close your picks are to hitting and to provide you a line of sight of how you stack to the competition.

This season-long weekly series at Gridiron Experts will focus on providing you strategies on how to dominate ThriveFantasy’s Traditional NFL Featured Contests. The traditional contests allow you to select a player’s individual stat line or a combination of stat lines to win a predetermined amount of fantasy points. While the ones that are featured have the “star” logo, the biggest prize pools, and the largest payouts.

This week’s article will focus on the $25 NFL Week 2 $4K Guaranteed Contest highlighting 10 props to target.

 

MAKING PICKS

This a contest that allows you to pick 10 out of 20 options. The less probable the prop is to occur, the more points you receive if you choose correctly. Players must be on the field for at least one snap to qualify. Let’s dive into all of the player props.

Philip Rivers

275.5 Passing Yards

  • Over =95 points
  • Under = 105 points

The matchup between the Chargers and the Bills has one of the lowest over/under of any of the Week 2 matchups at 43. Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers has averaged 282.1 passing yards per with positive passing fantasy points over expectation per attempt (0.07) over his last 33 games. The Bills defense allowed 252 passing yards to Ravens quarterback Joe Flacco last week. My recommendation is to take the over on this player prop.

Tyreek Hill

77.5 Receiving Yards

  • Over = 115 points
  • Under = 85 points

The matchup between the Chiefs and the Steelers has the highest over/under of the Week 2 matchups at 53. Chiefs wide receiver Tyreek Hill averaged 78.9 receiving yards per game last season and ranked seventh in yards after the catch (451). The Steelers defense allowed the 4th fewest passing yards (201.8) per game last season. It is difficult to contain a receiver with the athleticism of Hill and all it takes is one play for him to get loose. My recommendation is to take the over on this player prop.

Antonio Brown

7.5 Receptions

  • Over = 100
  • Under = 100

Steelers wide receiver Antonio Brown has averaged 11.4 targets and 7.7 receptions per game over his last 33 games. My recommendation is to take the over on this player prop in what is anticipated to be a high scoring matchup. The Chiefs defense allowed the sixth most passing yards (244) per game last season and have already given up 418 passing yards last week to Rivers.

Julio Jones

0.5 Receiving TD

  • Over = 130 points
  • Under = 70

Falcons Julio Jones’ woes in the red zone have been well documented. He has only averaged 0.4 touchdowns per game over his last 47 games. Falcons offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian’s playcalling in the red zone has been criticized on social media and in the media since the Falcons and Eagles kicked off the 2018 NFL season last week. Jones did have four targets inside the 20-yard line in Week 1 and I believe Sarkisian will find a way to provide him with more opportunities this week. My recommendation is to take the over on this player prop.

Dalvin Cook

85.5 Total Yards

  • Over = 90
  • Under = 110

Vikings running back Dalvin Cook has averaged 21.4 touches and 107.8 total yards over his last five games. The Packers defense gave up 139 rushing yards last week to the Chicago Bears at home. My recommendation is to take the over on this player prop.

Michael Thomas

6.5 Total Receptions

  • Over = 85
  • Under = 115

Saints wide receiver Michael Thomas has averaged 9.8 targets and 7.1 receptions with a 72 percent catch rate over his last 17 games. The matchup between the Saints and Browns has the second the highest over/under of the Week 2 matchups at 50. Thomas will have opportunities for catches as the Saints No. 1 receiver.

My recommendation is to take the over on this player prop.

Demaryius Thomas

67.5 Receiving Yards

  • Over = 100
  • Under = 100

Broncos wide receiver Demaryius Thomas faces a Raiders defense that gave up 365 total yards on Monday Night Football. He has averaged 8.9 targets, 5.4 receptions, and 63.5 receiving yards over the last two seasons. The addition of Case Keenum is a significant upgrade to the carousel of quarterbacks the Broncos have used since the retirement of future Hall of Famer Peyton Manning. He had 10 targets and accumulated 63 receiving last week against the Seahawks. The fear is that Emmanuel Sanders reduces Thomas’ upside, but I believe these two receivers can coexist. My recommendation is to take the over on this player prop.

 

 

Odell Beckham

90.5 Receiving Yards

  • Over = 105
  • Under = 95

When you think of Giants wide receiver Odell Beckham versus the Cowboys you immediately think of the ridiculous one-handed catch he made during his rookie season while being covered by Brandon Carr. Beckham has averaged 83.5 receiving yards per game over his last 20 games, but the Cowboys defense, for the most part, have held Beckham in check.

My recommendation is to take the under on this player prop.

Dak Prescott

237.5 Total Yards (Pass + Rush Yards)

  • Over = 90
  • Under = 110

Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott averaged 206.7 passing yards and 22.3 rushing yards last season. He did not appear to be in sync with the new offensive players in Dallas. The entire team only generated 232 total yards in Week 1 against the Panthers.

My recommendation is to take the under on this player prop.

LeSean McCoy

67.5 Rushing Yards

  • Over = 110
  • Under = 90

Bills running back LeSean McCoy only had seven rushing attempts for 22 yards in Week 1 against Baltimore. The entire offense was held hostage by quarterback Nathan Peterman and as a result, McCoy was impacted be negative game flow. He only played 53.1 percent of the offensive snaps. The Bills offense did look better with rookie Josh Allen under center and it would be prudent to give McCoy a heavy workload. Since arriving in Buffalo he has averaged 16.8 rushing attempts and 76.7 rushing yards per game. My recommendation is to take the over on this player prop.

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CONCLUSION

You have a compelling case for each of the player props in ThriveFantasy’s Week 2 Featured Traditional Contest. Which ones will you choose? Do you agree or disagree? What did you find most useful? Please leave a comment below or better yet reach out via Twitter @EricNMoody. Until next time!

 

 

Thanks for reading

Eric Moody

Eric Moody

Eric Moody is a member of the FSWA (Fantasy Sports Writers Association) and writes exclusively about fantasy football. He has a lifelong passion for the game and played on the collegiate level as an offensive lineman. Eric also participated in Dan Hatman's Scouting Academy in order to learn the process of player evaluation at an NFL level by using game film. When he provides fantasy football advice he prefers to "play the piano with both hands" using game film, analytics, and statistics to help you understand his perspective. Eric enjoys Netflix, listening to music, playing bass guitar, drinking coffee, and spending time with his family. He lives in Dallas, Texas

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