Gridiron Experts

ThriveFantasy Player Prop Advice: Week 11

ThriveFantasy Tips: Week 11

Have you ever heard of ThriveFantasy?

It is a new Daily Fantasy Sports app that is unlike your usual competitive fantasy choices and meant for the everyday fan. ThriveFantasy focuses on top-tier athletes from every sport while streamlining the drafting process. The result is a captivating DFS game that even the casual and hardcore sports fan can enjoy. You build a lineup around a list of simple binary player propositions.

The less likely the player prop is to take place the more points the choice will be worth. You score points based on the number of props you select correctly. As an example, your team could be made up of 15 picks that you select out of an available list of 20. You will also select two in case of emergency or ICE picks. These ICE picks will automatically be added to your team only if an athlete is ruled out of a game prior to their start time. You will be alerted if an ICE is being used. ThriveFantasy has an app that features live updates to let you know in real time how close your picks are to hitting and to provide you a line of sight of how you stack to the competition.

This week’s article will focus on the $20 NFL Week 11 $2,000 Guaranteed Contest highlighting 10 props to target.

Andy Dalton

248.5 Passing Yards

  • Over = 95 points
  • Under = 105

Dalton and the Bengals offense struggled mightily without wide receiver A.J. Green last week against the Saints. The return of Green this week against the Ravens will help him, but Dalton has only averaged 211.6 passing yards per game over the last five games. The Ravens defense has allowed 240 passing yards per game over their last three. My recommendation is to take the under on this player prop.

Dak Prescott

21.5 Completions

  • Over = 110 points
  • Under = 90 points

Prescott only has three games this season where he has completed 20 or more completions in a single game. Those games happen to be Week 7, 9, and 10. Prescott averaged 17.7 completions per game over the first six. The Falcons defense has allowed the second highest pass completions (27.3) per game this season. This defense is also allowing 294.4 passing yards per game. My recommendation is to take the over on this player prop.

Ezekiel Elliott

92.5 Rushing Yards Per Game

  • Over = 100 points
  • Under = 100 points

The Falcons defense is allowing 120 rushing yards per game. Elliott is averaging 18.6 rushing attempts and 92.3 rushing yards per game. The matchup between the Cowboys and Falcons has a projected point total of 48 and is expected to be a close one. My recommendation is to take the over on this player prop.

Julio Jones

104.5 Receiving Yards

  • Over = 115 points
  • Under = 85 points

Jones is averaging 11 targets, 116 receiving yards, and 153 air yards per game. He is the focal point of the Falcons passing offense and will continue to see opportunities. Jones has accumulated 100 or more receiving in four straight games. My recommendation is to take the over on this player prop.

 
Mike Evans

4.5 Receptions

  • Over = 80 points
  • Under = 120 points

Evans effectiveness has waned over the last two games. Prior to those two games, he was on pace to set a new career high in receiving fantasy points over expectation. Evans has only averaged 4.2 receptions per game since the Buccaneers have come out of their bye week. He will be matched up against Giants cornerback Janoris Jenkins which could negatively impact Evans’ number of receptions this week. My recommendation is to take the under on this player prop.

 

 

DeAndre Hopkins

0.5 Touchdowns

  • Over = 120 points
  • Under = 80 points

Hopkins has scored 15 or more PPR fantasy points in 78 percent of his games this season. He is averaging 10 targets, 1.7 red zone targets, 99 receiving yards, and 130 air yards per game. It is not prudent to place a ceiling on Hopkins. He is a matchup WR1, in my opinion, and Hopkins has a favorable matchup against a Redskins secondary allowing 270 passing yards and 1.7 passing touchdowns per game. My recommendation is to take the over on this player prop.

Christian McCaffrey

65.6 Rushing Yards

  • Over = 95 points
  • Under = 105 points

McCaffrey has averaged 64.3 rushing yards per game this season. He has accumulated 75 or more rushing yards over the last two games. The Panthers are looking to get back on track against the Lions this week after a tough loss to the Steelers. McCaffrey has averaged 13.6 rushing attempts per game this season and should continue to see additional opportunities with the release of RB C.J. Anderson. The Lions defense has allowed 119 rushing yards per game over their last three. My recommendation is to take the over on this player prop.

Allen Robinson

52.5 Receiving Yards

  • Over = 100 points
  • Under = 100 points

Allen Robinson has averaged 7.28 targets per game in the seven he’s been active. He accumulated 64 percent of his 31.3 fantasy points in PPR formats while running routes from the slot last week against a Lions secondary with Darius Slay. Robinson has a more difficult matchup this week against the Vikings, but I believe Bears head coach Matt Nagy will be creative enough offensively to provide him opportunities. My recommendation is to take the over on this player prop.

Drew Brees

2.5 Passing Touchdowns plus Interceptions

  • Over = 115 points
  • Under = 85 points

Brees has averaged 2.3 passing touchdowns per game this season with one interception on the season. The matchup between the Saints and Eagles has one of the highest projected point totals according to Vegas. The Eagles secondary has been decimated by injuries. They have allowed 266 passing yards and 1.5 touchdowns per game this season. Brees and the Saints offense has averaged 42 points over the past three weeks. My recommendation is to take the over on this player prop.

Zach Ertz

6.5 Receptions

  • Over = 85 points
  • Under = 115 points

Ertz continues to be a target magnet and leads all tight ends with 45 or more targets in catch rate. He is averaging 11 targets and 8.3 receptions per game in a plus matchup against the Saints secondary. My recommendation is to take the over on this player prop.

Thrive Fantasy

ThriveFantasy is a new Daily Fantasy Sports platform engaging the everyday fan. By focusing solely on top-tier athletes from each sport while streamlining the drafting process, we’ve created a unique DFS experience that gives the casual sports fan an opportunity to compete and succeed at a high level.

CONCLUSION

You have a compelling case for each of the player props in ThriveFantasy’s Week 11 Featured Traditional Contest. Which ones will you choose? Do you agree or disagree? What did you find most useful? Please leave a comment below or better yet reach out via Twitter @EricNMoody. Until next time!

Eric Moody

Eric Moody

Eric Moody is a member of the FSWA (Fantasy Sports Writers Association) and writes exclusively about fantasy football. He has a lifelong passion for the game and played on the collegiate level as an offensive lineman. Eric also participated in Dan Hatman's Scouting Academy in order to learn the process of player evaluation at an NFL level by using game film. When he provides fantasy football advice he prefers to "play the piano with both hands" using game film, analytics, and statistics to help you understand his perspective. Eric enjoys Netflix, listening to music, playing bass guitar, drinking coffee, and spending time with his family. He lives in Dallas, Texas

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