Start’em Sit’em Week 10
Start’em Sit’em is back for Week 10 of the NFL season. Along with the other fine tools provided by Gridiron Experts, this article is here to help guide you to victory in your Week 10 Fantasy Football matchups. There are several matchups worth discussing and we will go through those matchups now. One friendly reminder heading into this Week 10 Start Sit article is that there will be several teams on their bye week. This week, the Eagles, Patriots, Redskins, Broncos, Jaguars, and Texans will all have the week off.
Recapping Last Week
Headed into Week 10, I would like to officially announce that I’m no longer a supporter of Sam Darnold and his rest of season schedule. While Darnold was a start option who failed me, my other start suggestions at quarterback, Kirk Cousins, and Matthew Stafford both finished inside the top-10 at their position. Another hit among my quarterback selections was suggesting that Tom Brady would be a sit candidate as the future hall of fame signal-caller would finish as only the twentieth best quarterback on the week.
As always, there is a pick or two that I missed on and one of those was suggesting that you sit Kenyan Drake in his Cardinals debut and that you start Allen Robinson against the Philadelphia Eagles. Whatever the case might be, the lastest results have me determined to deliver you the best picks that Week 10 has to offer, so let’s get started. As always, if you any other start or sit questions that are not answered here, please feel free to reach me on Twitter.
- Scoring and stats are based on half-point per reception scoring and come from fantasydata.com
- Start percentages originate from ESPN.com
- Start options range from 0-60%
- Sit options range from 50-100%
The following are my Start’em Sit’em Week 10 recommendations:
Start’em Sit’em Quarterbacks
Titans vs. Chiefs
ESPN Starting Percentage: 4.6%
It is safe to say that among the many surprises that come with a fantasy football season, Ryan Tannehill has been one of the biggest surprises of the 2019 season. After enduring several weeks of Marcus Mariota, Mike Vrabel would name Tannehill the Titans new starter and Tannehill did not disappoint. In his first start for the Titans, Tannehill would have his first 300-yard passing performance since September of 2016. The pleasant surprises continued as Tannehill finished each of the last two weeks as a top-10 quarterback. Up next for Tannehill and the Titans is a matchup against a Chiefs defense that is allowing the sixth-most points to the quarterback position. So far this season, the Chiefs have had just three weeks in which they haven’t been in the inside the top-10 in most points allowed to the quarterback position. Another vulnerability for this Chiefs defense is their inability to keep running quarterbacks out of the endzone. So far this season, the Chiefs are tied with the New Orleans Saints in allowing a league-high four rushing scores to quarterbacks. No matter if it is by air or if it is on the ground, I like Ryan Tannehill’s chances to be a top fantasy quarterback in Week 10
Cardinals @ Buccaneers
ESPN Starting Percentage: 35.2%
No matter if you were a supporter or a detractor, there is no denying that as we head into Week 10 of the NFL season, Kyler Murray is a top-10 fantasy quarterback. This past Thursday night, Murray would finish in the top-10 for the first time since Week 6 as he would throw for 241 yards and two touchdowns and he would do that against a 49ers team that is allowing the fewest points to quarterbacks. Now, Murray and the Cardinals will look to turn their attention to a Buccaneers defense that is allowing the fourth-most points to opposing quarterbacks. Earlier on this season, the Buccaneers would open the first two weeks of the season being in the top-1o in fewest points allowed to the position. Since that time though, the script has completely flipped on this Buccaneers defense as they have been in the top-5 in most points allowed to the position in four out of their last six games. This matchup almost sounds too good to be true for a quarterback who has the eleventh most passing yards in the league and is second to only Lamar Jackson in rushing yards by quarterbacks. If there is anything alarming about this matchup it is that Murray has yet to throw a touchdown pass on the road. While that stat is a bit of an eye-opener, it is not enough to keep me away from plugging Murray into my lineups in Week 10. This kid is the real deal.
Lions @ Bears
ESPN Starting Percentage: 72.1%
Matthew Stafford is a quarterback who has graced this column for a couple of weeks now. While generally, you can find Stafford’s name among starter recommendations, in Week 10, I’m calling for Stafford to be a name that you should consider sitting. Despite the turmoil that surrounds the Chicago Bears offense, their defense, at least against quarterbacks, has done well for fantasy. Headed into Week 10, this Bears defense is allowing the sixth-fewest points to the position and is also one of seven teams to allow fewer than 10 touchdown passes on the year. In Stafford’s two matchups against the Bears last season, the Lions signal-caller had two touchdowns and four interceptions. On top of that, in two out of the three games in which Stafford failed to finish inside the top-10, those games all came against the teams in the top-thirteen in fewest points allowed. Translation, while Stafford has been playing well as of late, he has been doing it against lesser competition. Some better matchups will be ahead for Stafford but in Week 10, I’m giving him a break from my starting lineups.
Start’em Sit’em Running Backs
Bears vs. Lions
ESPN Starting Percentage: 53.6%
After being in fantasy football exile for what seemed like an eternity, the David Montgomery that we all know and love is here. After failing to finish inside the top-15 in each of the Bears first six games, the Bears have finally unleashed Montgomery and it has resulted in two straight weeks of top-10 fantasy play. Two weeks ago, the Bears rookie back would have 135-yards rushing and a touchdown. This past week, while Montgomery had just 40-yards rushing, he wound up scoring two touchdowns which would be enough to put him over 20 fantasy points for the second consecutive week. As previously mentioned, up next in Week 10 for the Chicago Bears is the Detroit Lions and this a Lions team that is allowing the second-most points to the position. While allowing nine touchdowns on the ground and four touchdowns through the air, the Lions defense is allowing the second-most touchdowns to position and last week allowed another rookie, Josh Jacobs, to finish the week as a top-seven running back. On top of Montgomery finally hitting his fantasy stride, this is an ideal matchup in Week 10.
Cardinals @ Buccaneers
ESPN Starting Percentage: 26.7%
While he was likely on your bench, one of the most pleasant surprises of last week was Kenyan Drake and his Arizona Cardinals debut. Against a defense that is one of the best against opposing running backs, Drake would have 162 total yards of offense and a touchdown. The 102 rushing yards he had was the most that he has had since 2017 and now that Drake is out of the shackles known as the Miami Dolphins, and performing well against tough defenses, I see no reason to sit Drake against a Buccaneers defense that is allowing the third-fewest points to the position. While the Buccaneers game last week had turned into a shootout, the didn’t stop the Seahawks, Chris Carson from rushing for 105 yards. Earlier last week, the plan was that Chase Edmonds would miss multiple weeks with a hamstring injury. Couple that with David Johnson and his injury woes, I think that Kenyan Drake has an excellent opportunity to put up solid fantasy numbers again in Week 10.
Ravens @ Bengals
ESPN Starting Percentage: 60%
When Mark Ingram had left the New Orleans Saints and signed with the Baltimore Ravens this off-season, some folks were skeptical if Ingram would be given a large enough workload to maintain his fantasy value. Despite that, being on pace for his fourth season with more than 200-carries and sitting just outside the top-1o in fantasy scoring at his position, Ingram will now look to take on the Cincinnati Bengals. In Ingram’s previous matchup against the Bengals this year, the Ravens running back would finish as the fourteenth-best running back on the week with 52-yards rushing and a touchdown. The other thing that is worth noting in this matchup is that six of Ingram’s seven rushing scores have come on the road. For what it is worth, the Bengals defense is allowing the fourth-most points to the running backs position. Digging further into that, the two weeks in which the Bengals finished in the top-five in points allowed to the position, came at home.
Chargers @ Raiders
ESPN Starting Percentage: 68.9%
While I do think that Austin Ekeler will still have fantasy value, I do not think that it will be as common-place to start Ekeler as it was during the first few weeks of this season. With Ken Whisenhunt being let go as offensive coordinator earlier last week, the Chargers had a fresh face orchestrating the offense. That proved to work out well for Melvin Gordon as he would have his first game with twenty carries since December of 2017. Those carries wound up propelling Gordon to his first top-5 finish in what seems like forever and I feel like that is going to become a trend going forward. Unless you are in PPR formats, if this play-calling becomes a trend then Ekeler will become more and more touchdown-dependent going forward. In regards to their opponent, the Raiders are twelfth in fewest-points allowed to running backs but again, this is more about where I think this Chargers offense is headed more than anything else.
Falcons @ Saints
ESPN Starting Percentage: 30.5%
In Week 10, the Falcons are now coming off of their bye and will be looking to salvage what is left of their 2019 season. For Devonta Freeman, that might be easier said than done against a Saints defense that is number one in fewest points allowed to running backs. During the summer months leading up to this season, I was one of the few that was thinking that Freeman and his average draft position would wind up being a blessing for your fantasy rosters. As of right now, I could not have been more wrong, as so far this season, Freeman has had just one top-1o fantasy outing this season and yet to score a rushing touchdown. The three touchdowns that Freeman has scored through the air might not be as easy to come by against this Saints defense. On top of the Saints defense not allowing much to running backs on the ground, the Saints are one of just seven teams that have yet to allow a receiving touchdown to backs. Even with six teams on bye this week, I do not think that Devonta Freeman will be a start-worthy candidate.
Start’em Sit’em Wide Receivers
49ers vs. Seahawks
ESPN Starting Percentage: 42.8%
With the resume and reputation that Kyle Shanahan has, many of us in the fantasy community had tired to wish 49ers wide receiver relevancy into existence. Much to our dismay, no matter if it was Pierre Garcon or Dante Pettis, nothing had ever materialized. This season might have changed that narrative though when the 49ers acquired Emmanuel Sanders from the Denver Broncos. In his first game as a member of the 49ers, while Sanders didn’t have many targets, he was able to score a touchdown. Then came Thursday Night Football last week as Sanders would again make his presence felt. Against the Arizona Cardinals, Sanders would haul in seven of nine targets for 112 yards and a touchdown. That would have Sanders finishing the week as a top-10 wide receiver in fantasy and it would mark the first time since Week 13 of last season that a 49ers wide receiver would have 100 or more yards in a game. With legitimate optimism finally in place, the 49ers will take on a Seahawks team that is allowing the twelfth most points to the wide receiver position. That ranking would include the Seahawks allowing the third-most yards to wide receivers which averages out to 178 yards per game. While this Seahawks team is a legitimate threat to the 49ers undefeated record, they are a far cry from the legion of boom days and I expect the 49ers and Emmanuel Sanders to take full advantage of that in Week 10.
Jets vs. Giants
ESPN Starting Percentage: 16.0%
If you are a frequent reader of this column, you will be well aware that I have touted the Jets upcoming schedule for weeks. While Sam Darnold would underwhelm against the Miami Dolphins, I still saw a glimmer of hope in at least one or two positional players for the lowly Jets. One of those players was Jamison Crowder who I believe is a prime candidate player for you to plug into your point per reception and deeper lineups this weekend. Last week, in half-point formats, Jamison Crowder would finish tenth in scoring at his position. He would have that finish thanks to hauling in eight of nine targets for 83 yards and a touchdown, on the Jets opening drive. His touchdown this past week would mark his first touchdown since December of last year, against his opponent this week, the Giants. This is a Giants defense that is number one in most points allowed to the wide receiver position. No matter how poorly the Jets are playing, being the most targeted player on a team that is going up against a secondary as poor as the Giants is a good thing. The reoccurring theme in this week’s article is that with six teams on bye, some of these names might be more useful to you than you think.
Cardinals @ Buccaneers
ESPN Starting Percentage: 22.5%
Christian Kirk is a player that many of us in the fantasy community had been excited about headed into this season. That excitement had dwindled a bit as the second-year receiver had been sidelined for several weeks with a hamstring injury. All of that aside though, as Kirk enters his third week since returning from injury, I think that the fantasy stars are aligning for Kirk to put on a top-notch fantasy performance. This week, as previously mentioned, the Cardinals will be going against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers who, from a fantasy perspective, have been notoriously kind to opposing skilled position players. Against the wide receiver position, the Buccaneers are allowing the third-most points to the position and are one just eight teams to allow 12 touchdowns to the position. As a matter of fact, just this past week, the Buccaneers allowed both Tyler Lockett and D.K. Metcalf to finish the week inside the top-3 in wide receiver scoring. It is evident that according to this column, I’m all about the Cardinals. I know his two receptions for eight yards against the 49ers was a tough pill to swallow but this week will be different.
Bears vs. Lions
ESPN Starting Percentage: 67.3%
Many of us in the fantasy community was of the mindset that Allen Robinson was primed for a solid fantasy outing. Unfortunately for us who started Robinson, the former pro-bowl wide receiver was unable to overcome his quarterback’s shortcomings. In a prime-matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles last week, Robinson would wind up hauling in just one reception for six yards. Looking closely, on paper, this next matchup looks likes a promising one against the Detroit Lions. While the Lions, from a season-long standpoint, has been middle of the road against the wide receiver position, they have finished two out of the last three weeks inside the top-10 in most points allowed to the position. That being said, with Allen Robinson comes the unreliability of his starting quarterback, Mitch Trubisky. In Trubkisy’s last two starts, the Bears quarterback has not thrown for a touchdown and has scored less than 15 fantasy-points combined. Even in a week where six teams are on bye, Allen Robinson fits into the classic case of ‘It’s not you, it’s me’ scenario. I cannot trust Mitch Trubisky and therefore, Robinson rides the fantasy bench.
Start’em Sit’em Tight Ends
Rams @ Steelers
ESPN Starting Percentage: 11.8%
In Week 10, the Rams will return from their bye week and will take on the Pittsburgh Steelers. This is a Steelers defense that is currently tenth in the league in most fantasy points allowed to the tight end position. I envision this being a prime spot for Gerald Everett, the fourteenth best tight end in fantasy, to have himself a nice outing. So far this season, Everett has had three weeks in which he posted a top-5 fantasy finish and two of those comes have come on the road. There is no denying that no matter if it is to supplement a lesser load from Todd Gurley or unfortunate concussions to Brandin Cooks that the tight end position has been more of a focal point for the Rams in 2019. Currently, Everett is sitting with 44 targets on the season and well-on-pace to surpass his 51 targets in 2018. Between his volume going up and the matchup, I love for Everett to have his fourth top-10 fantasy finish of the season in Week 10.
Seahawks @ 49ers
ESPN Starting Percentage: 0.2%
Between teams that were on a bye week and what was left of players being started in 50% or more of ESPN leagues, I could not in good faith select one of those players as a player that you should be sitting. So instead of going with those percentages this week, I’m going to go with a player that is coming off of having a solid week and that would be Seattle Seahawks tight end, Jacob Hollister. On top of nominating him based off of a good week, I also wanted fantasy owners to pump the brakes as they might have visions of Will Dissly dancing in their head and who could blame those folks. Prior to his season-ending injury, Will Dissly was on such a tear that with just six games played, the Seahawks tight end is still a top-10 fantasy tight end on the season. So between Dissly and Jacob Hollister finishing last week as the number two tight end, I wanted folk to temper expectation as the Seahawks are scheduled to enter a Week 10 battle against a 49ers defense that is allowing the fewest points to opposing tight ends. On top of allowing just one touchdown to the position, they are the only team in football to allow less than 200 receiving yards to the position. I’m not saying that the Seahawks tight end position won’t have value the rest of the way, I’m just saying that we shouldn’t expect to see it against the 49ers this Monday.
Start’em Sit’em D/ST
Giants vs. Jets
ESPN Starting Percentage: 1.2%
This might come as a surprise to some but the New York Giants D/ST has had four weeks in which they have finished in the top-12 in fantasy scoring. Even more surprising, two of those weeks were top-5 finishes. Delving further into those four weeks, three of those games have taken place in MetLife Stadium. Week 10 will serve as a matchup with tri-stat bragging rights on the line at the Giants and the Jets will square off. At this point in the season, the Giants is tied for fifth in the league with eight interceptions. That should hand and hand with Sam Darnold of the Jets who despite playing in just five games this season is currently second in the league with nine interceptions. Digging a little bit deeper into the on-going errors made by Sam Darnold, the Jets signal-caller has thrown an interception in thirteen of his eighteen career games. There are not many guarantees in fantasy football but I don’t know if I have ever felt more confident than when I say to you that Sam Darnold will commit a turnover this week. I know that the Giants are about as unsexy as it gets, but they are a solid play this week.
49ers vs. Seahawks
ESPN Starting Percentage: 82.5%
Last week, the 49ers would show some vulnerabilities on the defensive side of the ball and that certainly translated into their D/ST scoring. In a matchup against the Cardinals on Halloween night, the 49ers would finish a week outside of the top-12 for just the third time in 2019. While the game came against an impressive rookie in Kyler Murray, Week 10 will be a totally different animal as the 49ers will welcome in MVP candidate, Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks. This Seahawks defense might not be what it once was but rest assured, the offensive comes to play each and every week. Headed into Week 10, Wilson has thrown just one interceoption and as if that’s not enough, the Seattle Seahawks have scored 25 or more points in all but two of their games this season. The 49ers might be able to come out of this matchup with their undefeated streak in-tact, but that certainly won’t be indictive of their D/ST scoring. If you can keep the 49ers D/ST on your bench this week, I would do it.
Good Luck, thanks for reading Start’em Sit’em Week 10!