Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 4
It is a fresh start to another week of fantasy football as we prepare for week 4 of the season. As always, I want to congratulate the teams who won this week and offer positive vibes for those who did not. For the teams who did not win, there is plenty of time to bounce back to eventually secure a playoff spot, as it is still very early in the long season ahead. Let’s kick the week off right and look at the eight players I have chosen on my start and sit list. Here are my recommendations for start/sit week 4.
Patriots @ Packers | 4:25 pm EST Sunday
ESPN Starting Percentage: 44.2%
It was a wild finish in Tampa indeed Sunday night when the Packers faced off against the Buccaneers. We saw the game end on a failed two-point conversion for Tampa when Packers middle linebacker De’Vondre Campbell broke up the pass. Rodgers performed fairly well, completing 27/35 for 255 yards and throwing two touchdowns, scoring 18.2 fantasy points in standard leagues without deducting his only interception of the game against one of the best defenses in the league. Next week the Packers play at home against the New England Patriots. They have not played each other since Nov 4, 2018, when the Patriots defeated the Packers 31-17. In 2022, these are two completely different teams; the only constant is that Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers is still playing for Green Bay, as we know, former Patriots quarterback Tom Brady set his sails for greener pasture in Tampa where he won the Super Bowl in February of 2021. Last week the Patriots allowed Baltimore Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson to complete 18/29 passes for 218 yards, score 4 touchdowns, throw 1 interception, rush for 107 yards, and score 1 touchdown. It was a delightful performance for the former MVP in week 3. Rodgers should have a good day at Lambeau Field in a favorable matchup becoming a solid low-end QB1 against New England.
Bears @ Giants | 1:00 pm EST Sunday
ESPN Starting Percentage: 0.7%
Herbert filled in as the primary back for Chicago after starting running back David Montgomery went down with an ankle injury while blocking on a passing play in the first quarter. Herbert finished the game rushing for 157 yards on 20 carries and scored 1 touchdown. On the other hand the New York Giants allowed Cowboys running backs to rush for 178 yards on 28 carries and score 1 touchdown this past Monday night in a loss to the Cowboys. With the extent of Montgomery’s injury unknown, I expect Herbert who is one of the hottest players to pick up on the waiver wire this week to get the start and put on another solid performance against the Giants defense, becoming a low-end RB1 against New York in week 4.
Browns @ Falcons | 1:00 pm EST Sunday
ESPN Starting Percentage: 40.2%
Cooper has shown us that he still contains the ability to be a top receiver in the National Football League. With backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett playing extremely well, Cooper has been able to capitalize on his quarterback’s performance, resulting in the veteran wide receiver posting double-digit fantasy numbers the past two weeks. Cooper secured 7 receptions for 101 receiving yards, averaging 14.4 yards, and scoring 1 touchdown in the Browns week 3 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers. In week 3, the Falcons allowed Seahawks wide receivers to combine for 155 yards on 17 receptions, and score 1 touchdown. On average, the Falcons defense allows their opposing wide receivers to score 30.0 fantasy points per game, which makes Cooper a must-start who has the potential to become a low-end WR1 at his floor and a high-end WR1 at his ceiling.
Seahawks @ Lions | 1:00 pm EST Sunday
ESPN Starting Percentage: 0.1%
Dissly has become one of Seattle Seahawks quarterback Geno Smith’s favorite targets this season. Dissly recorded 3 receptions for 34 yards, and scored 1 touchdown in Seattle’s week 3 win over the Atlanta Falcons. Last week the Lions allowed Vikings tight end Irv Smith Jr. to only record 2 receptions for 32 yards in a close game. I expect Dissly to continue to be one of Smith’s go-to pass-catching options in the red zone, where Dissly has a good chance of scoring another touchdown against the Lions defense who on average allows 7.7 fantasy points per game to tight ends. Dissly is a low-end TE2 at his floor and has the potential to become a high-end TE2 at his ceiling this week against Detroit.
Rams @ 49ers | 8:15 pm EST Monday
ESPN Starting Percentage: 52.7%
The Rams passing offense did not perform well in their week 3 matchup against the Cardinals, where Stafford only completed 18/25 passes for 249 yards. His receivers were not involved in the game whatsoever and needed to turn to the running game to win Sunday afternoon. In Sunday night’s late game, the 49ers only allowed Broncos quarterback Russell Wilson to throw for 184 yards on 20 completions. Either way, it seems like the 49ers defense is efficient at halting their opponent’s passing attack as they have only allowed opposing quarterbacks to score an average of 9.7 fantasy points per game so far this season. Based on these statistics, it would be a good idea to bench Stafford in this unfavorable matchup this week against San Francisco.
Chiefs @ Buccaneers | 8:20 pm EST Sunday
ESPN Starting Percentage: 61.6%
To be completely honest, I am concerned about the effectiveness of the Kansas City Chiefs offense as it has stalled the past two weeks, almost as if they are trying to reinvent the wheel. Edwards-Helaire was not able to efficiently run the ball this past week as he rushed for 0 yards on 7 carries but scored a touchdown at the goal line, and only recorded 5 receptions for 39 yards in total. Despite the touchdown, it was a very poor performance for the veteran running back. I do not expect him to do any better this week against a good rushing defense in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers who allowed the Packers running backs to only rush for 68 yards on 24 combined carries. The Buccaneers defense has only allowed an average of 6.0 fantasy points per game to opposing running backs this season, and as a result, I would have Edwards-Helaire sit this one out this week against Tampa Bay.
Chargers @ Texans | 1:00 pm EST Sunday
ESPN Starting Percentage: 79.7%
I commend Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert for trying to play through his injury, but he should rest to try to heal his fractured ribs for later on in the season. His injury is absolutely serious, and it showed against Jacksonville in week 3. Unfortunately, when the starting quarterback is hurt, it affects the entire offense. Herbert was only able to throw for 1 passing touchdown, unlike him, and most of the receptions were caught by running back Austin Ekeler, where the ball was checked down most of the time. Despite the Chargers getting blown out by the Jaguars, head coach Brandon Staley decided to keep Herbert in the game stating that “Herbert felt good”, which I thought was a poor one since he took a bad hit and looked as if he was in pain. Williams scored 1 touchdown on his only reception for 15 yards on Sunday, and if not for the touchdown, his performance would have been a dud. If Herbert’s injury does not improve and it shows again this week in a bad performance against a weak defense, then the Chargers should bench the young quarterback and sign a free agent that can carry the offense while Herbert heals up. For the time being, I would recommend playing it safe and benching Williams this week against Houston.
Rams @ 49ers | 8:15 pm EST Monday
ESPN Starting Percentage: 76.4%
In Kittle’s 2022 debut, the veteran tight end recorded 4 receptions for 28 yards in San Francisco’s week 3 loss to Denver. The offense was not very efficient, especially during their last second-quarter drive where quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo stepped out of their own end zone resulting in a safety. From my perspective, the offense looked out of sync in a low-scoring game against a good defense. Last week the Rams defense allowed Cardinals tight end Zach Ertz to only rack up 45 yards on 6 receptions, and I expect things to be the same for Kittle this week.
Lawrence is a fan of the Green Bay Packers. He is currently a graduate student at William Paterson University pursuing a master’s degree in Financial Planning. His hobbies include all things fantasy football, weightlifting, collecting Yu-Gi-Oh trading cards, and playing Madden. He specializes in dynasty fantasy football having won two championships in the past five years. He is also a college football fan who loves to watch his Buckeyes play on Saturdays while drinking pumpkin-flavored coffee. He is always looking to evolve his game as a fantasy football player and one of his goals is to help other players do the same.