Fantasy Football

Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 13

Joe Burrow

Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 13

We are nearing the final weeks of the fantasy football regular season as we now approach week 13. That means each lineup choice has that much more behind it and everyone counts that much more. With that, let’s dive in and look at the players to start and sit for this weekend.

Recapping last week

It was a so-so week for our picks. Jimmy Garoppolo finished outside the top-20 while Russell Wilson finished in the top-15 but Joe Burrow had a top-10 performance. Miles Sanders and Devonta Freeman had top-36 games but Josh Jacobs had a top-10 week. Michael Gallup had a top-20 outing while Brandon Aiyuk finished inside the top-30 but Hunter Renfrow had a top-20 performance. Rob Gronkowski and Dalton Schultz both had top-five games while Kyle Pitts bottomed out with a game outside the top-25. With that, it’s on to week 13!

Teams on bye: Browns, Panthers, Packers, Titans

Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 13 QB’s

Start 'Em Sit 'Em

Taylor Heinicke

Football Team vs. Raiders

ESPN Starting Percentage: 12.9%

Heinicke hasn’t exactly been lighting the scoreboard with only two games of 300+ passing yards and more than two passing touchdowns. He does have a solid rushing floor most weeks though with five games of 20+ rushing yards to help his value in fantasy football. Now, he faces the Raiders in week 13, who have been rather generous to opposing quarterbacks as of late. They’ve given up eight passing touchdowns over the last three weeks and haven’t forced an interception in five straight games. They’ve also been susceptible to mobile quarterbacks as they’ve given up at least 37 rushing yards in three games this season. Heinicke is finally getting his full complement of targets as well with Logan Thomas and Curtis Samuel playing again alongside Terry McLaurin and Antonio Gibson. Heinicke will be a high-end QB2 with QB1 upside in a plus matchup.

Start 'Em Sit 'Em

Joe Burrow

Bengals vs. Chargers

ESPN Starting Percentage: 36.3%

Burrow has cooled off in recent weeks as the Bengals rely more and more on their run game. He’s thrown for under 200 yards in two straight games and only has two passing touchdowns in that span. With that being said, he and the Bengals will now face the Chargers, who have been playing well and may force the Bengals to pass more than they had as of late. Before this past weekend when the Chargers had the luxury of facing a hurt Teddy Bridgewater and Drew Lock, they had been hitting a rough patch against opposing quarterbacks. They allowed Kirk Cousins and Ben Roethlisberger to combine for five passing touchdowns with no interceptions and allowed both to throw for at least 270 yards. In fact, the Chargers have only one interception in their last five games altogether. Burrow has shown he can sling it when needed and he may need to throw more than 30 times this weekend, which he hasn’t done in each of his last two games.

Sit Fantasy Football

Justin Herbert

Chargers vs. Bengals

ESPN Starting Percentage: 80.8%

On the flip side of this game, Herbert has a rather tough matchup this weekend. The Bengals have played strong defense all year and have allowed only one quarterback to throw for more than two touchdowns this season. Over their last three games, they’ve only given up four total passing touchdowns while forcing three interceptions. They’ve allowed only one quarterback to throw for 300+ yards in their last six games as well. Herbert is hard to sit in any matchup but he has been playing more erratic as of late. He has six interceptions over his last five games and part of scoring output lately has been inflated because of an irregular tendency to run the ball himself (162 rushing yards and a touchdown combined in his last four games). Herbert is trending towards a lower-end QB1 this week and there could some streaming options better suited than him this week.

Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 13 RB’s

Start 'Em Sit 'Em

Elijah Mitchell

49ers vs. Seahawks

ESPN Starting Percentage: 34.8%

What finger injury? After a one-game absence, Mitchell came back and resumed his normal role as the bell-cow in the 49ers’ offense. He now has two straight games with 27 carries and he even had five receptions in week 12 as well. He’s secured the top spot in this offense especially with recent injuries to JaMycal Hasty and now Trey Sermon. Mitchell has three games over his last five with 100+ rushing yards and a touchdown and has no fewer than 79 scrimmage yards in any of those games. The Seahawks’ defense is a mess as they’ve given up five total touchdowns over their last three games to opposing running backs. They’ve also given up at least 86 yards from scrimmage to an opposing running back four times over their last three games. Mitchell has top-12 upside this week and moving forward. He should be in every starting lineup.

Start 'Em Sit 'Em

Javonte Williams

Broncos vs. Chiefs

ESPN Starting Percentage: 33.7%

Every week, we are treated to “what could be” if Williams was given an every-down role in the Broncos’ offense. He’s coming off his second game with 111 scrimmage yards over his last three and scored a rushing touchdown in week 12 as well. It’s also the second game over his last three with 17 total touches. Melvin Gordon is still very much involved and will continue to be but Williams is playing extremely well as of late and has a locked-in 10-15 touches every week. He now faces a Chiefs’ defense that has given up at least 50 scrimmage yards to A.J. Dillon and Aaron Jones along with Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard in recent weeks. Williams’ arrow is on the rise and with the Broncos still in the playoff hunt, they may need to lean on him more with their passing offense struggling.

Sit Fantasy Football

Saquon Barkley

Giants vs. Dolphins

ESPN Starting Percentage: 78.6%

Like Herbert, it’s really hard to consider benching Barkley whenever healthy. He’s had 29 touches in the two games since he returned but only has 109 scoreless yards from scrimmage to show for it. He’s going to continue to get healthier and see more work but he is part of a rather anemic offense and now has an extremely tough matchup this weekend. The Dolphins haven’t given up a touchdown to an opposing running back in their last SIX games and have only allowed for three running backs to go for more than 50+ scrimmage yards during that time as well. The suddenly resurgent Dolphins have been playing well as of late and in large part due to their defense. Barkley should be a lock for 15+ touches but it’s hard to see him doing much with how poorly the Giants are playing and how well the Dolphins are playing. He’ll be a low-end RB2 with a rather low floor this weekend.

Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 13 WR’s

Start 'Em Sit 'Em

Rashod Bateman

Ravens vs. Steelers

ESPN Starting Percentage: 14.0%

In his six games since coming off injured reserve, Bateman has played well but is clearly the third option on this Ravens’ offense after Marquise Brown and Mark Andrews. However, he has at least three receptions in every game and has cleared 50+ yards in three of those six. He also has seen at least six targets in all but one of those games. He and the Ravens now face the Steelers, who are in a tailspin after losing two straight games while giving up 41 points in each of those contests. They’ve been generous to opposing wide receivers during that time as they’ve given up 97+ yards on three different occasions in their past two games with two receiving touchdowns given up during that time. In fact, they’ve given up 50+ receiving yards to six different receivers over their last four games. In what is shaping up to be a pivotal divisional matchup, we could see a lot of points scored, which can benefit Bateman as we are all waiting for that first breakout game of his.

Start 'Em Sit 'Em

Van Jefferson

Rams vs. Jaguars

ESPN Starting Percentage: 10.8%

While Jefferson’s 79-yard touchdown catch in week 12 isn’t sustainable every week, there is plenty to be encouraged by. He has seen at least seven targets in four of his last five games, including a season-high nine in week 12. Even with Odell Beckham Jr.’s big game, Jefferson was still able to have a big one of his own. With the Rams now losers of three straight games, they’re going to need to do something to stop the bleeding and get back on the right track and that could include seeing them continue to pass as much as they have been (38+ passing attempts in three straight games). Jefferson is still operating as the number two wide receiver in this offense behind Cooper Kupp and there are enough targets to go around for Jefferson to continue getting the healthy target share he is seeing. The Jaguars’ defense has been struggling all season and has given up six double-digit performances (half-PPR) to opposing wide receivers over their last five games. Jefferson will be a high-end WR3/FLEX with top-24 upside in week 12.

Sit Fantasy Football

Mike Williams

Chargers vs. Bengals

ESPN Starting Percentage: 60.5%

After having four games of at least seven receptions, 82+ receiving yards, and a touchdown over his first five to start the season, Williams has come crashing down to Earth. In his last six games, Williams has only one game with five or more receptions and has only cleared 50+ receiving yards twice. He also only has one touchdown during that span after scoring six in his first five. He’s just simply not reliable at the moment even with his tremendous ceiling. The Bengals’ are also a tough matchup this weekend as they’ve given up only two receiving touchdowns to opposing wide receivers over their last four games. They’ve also only allowed three wide receivers to go for 50+ receiving yards during that time. Williams just simply can’t be trusted to be anything more than a low-floor WR3/FLEX going forward, especially in a tough matchup.

Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 13 TE’s

Start 'Em Sit 'Em

Logan Thomas

Football Team vs. Raiders

ESPN Starting Percentage: 15.4%

In his first game back after missing his last six with a hamstring injury, Thomas resumed his normal role in Washington’s offense in week 12. He was on the field for 78% of snaps and had a healthy 17.6% target share, which was third only to Antonio Gibson and Terry McLaurin. He pulled in three of his six targets for 31 yards and looked no worse for wear despite the long stint on injured reserve. He should see closer to 90% of snaps going forward and now has a juicy matchup in week 13. The Raiders have given the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing tight ends over the last three weeks and just gave up 56 yards and two touchdowns to Dalton Schultz and Sean McKeon in week 12. Thomas is a weekly TE1 and has a chance to finish in the top-six this weekend.

Start 'Em Sit 'Em

Gerald Everett

Seahawks vs. 49ers

ESPN Starting Percentage: 2.0%

Since Russell Wilson has returned from injury in week 10, Everett has actually been Wilson’s favorite target amongst all skill players. His 22.3% target share over the last three games outpaces D.K. Metcalf (21.3%) and Tyler Lockett (19.1%). Everett has at least three receptions and 37 yards in each of those games, including a touchdown scored in week 12. He’s also been productive with his targets as he’s caught 76.2% of his targets (16 of 21). The 49ers represent a tough matchup but have given up 25+ receiving yards to four different tight ends in their last six games and have given up three touchdowns during that span. Everett’s volume alone is moving him closer to top-12 weekly status with a very safe floor.

Sit Fantasy Football

T.J. Hockenson

Lions vs. Vikings

ESPN Starting Percentage: 70.9%

Like Herbert and Williams, it’s hard to bench Hockenson any time he is active. However, the Lions’ offense is just in complete disarray and is negatively impacting Hockenson. While he has been playing better as of late, there is a lot of cause for concern moving forward. He has only 12 targets over his last three games combined, which is only one more than what he saw in weeks six and eight alone. D’Andre Swift’s injury could provide some more targets but it’s likely we see most of them absorbed by Jamaal Williams and Jermar Jefferson. Hockenson also has a tough matchup against the Vikings, who have given up only one touchdown to opposing tight ends all season. They also have not given up more than 44 yards to a tight end in their last eight games as well. Hockenson provides a high ceiling but a low floor after his week 10 disappearance (zero receptions on one target). He’ll be a low-end TE1 at best.

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