Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 10
As we now officially in the second half of the fantasy football season, every single game matters just that much more for fantasy football managers looking to keep their playoff aspirations alive. We saw another week of devastating injuries, breakout performances, and disappointing results across the league. With another four teams on bye for this weekend, the supply of players available is once again scarce. We will take a look at the players and the matchups to take advantage of and the ones to shy away from. Let’s look at Week 10.
Recapping last week
We had another up and down outcome from our picks for Week 9. Justin Herbert finished as a top-10 quarterback while Cam Newton was a top-eight play and Ryan Tannehill finished outside of the top-18. La’Mical Perine finished outside the top-40 and Chase Edmonds was a top-24 running back and Jonathan Taylor finished outside the top-24 at running back. Marvin Jones finished as a top-30 wide receiver and Mike Williams was outside the top-36 while no Colts wide receiver finished with more than eight points in half-PPR. Logan Thomas unfortunately finished outside the top-24 while Hayden Hurst was a top-10 tight end. With that, let’s move on to Week 10.
Teams on bye: Kansas City Chiefs, New York Jets, Dallas Cowboys, Atlanta Falcons
Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 10 QB’s
Rams vs Seahawks
ESPN Starting Percentage: 1.7%
While Goff struggled in Week 8 before going on bye last week, he has still put up decent numbers under the surface. He has at least two passing touchdowns in four of the last six games and at least 309 passing yards in two of the last four games. He now faces a Seahawks defense which has given up at least 249 yards passing and two touchdowns in each of the last four games to opposing quarterbacks. They have given up fewer than two passing touchdowns in three of eight games and just got torched by Josh Allen for 415 yards passing and three passing touchdowns (with another rushing score). Goff and his offense will be well-rested going into a plus matchup with quarterbacks like Patrick Mahomes and Matt Ryan on bye this weekend.
Dolphins vs Chargers
ESPN Starting Percentage: 3.9%
After struggling in his NFL debut in Week 8, Tagavailoa came on strong in an upset win against the Cardinals with 248 yards passing, two touchdowns (on a 71.4% completion percentage), and 35 yards rushing. Despite losing Preston Williams to injury, Tagavailoa still played well and led them a 2-0 record with him under center. He now faces the Chargers, who have given up at least two passing touchdowns in each of the last three weeks (seven overall) while only forcing one interception. Their defense has also given up at least 30 points in three of the last four games (29 points in the other), so it should be a high-scoring affair. Between his rushing upside and top-notch accuracy, Tagavailoa has top-12 upside in Week 10.
Titans vs Colts
ESPN Starting Percentage: 24.6%
While Tannehill continues to play extremely efficiently with his season pace of 3,962 passing yards, 38 passing touchdowns, and only six touchdowns, it hasn’t translated to fantasy football success as of late. He has thrown for no more than 233 yards in each of the last three weeks with no more than two passing touchdowns in each of those games. He only threw for 158 yards and two touchdowns on less than 50% accuracy against the Bears and now faces the Colts, who have been one of the toughest teams against opposing quarterbacks. They have only given up more than one passing touchdown in three of eight games this season (with another three games with no touchdowns given up) and only two games of 250 or more passing yards. Tannehill is an efficient quarterback but hasn’t put up big numbers and now faces another tough test in Week 10.
Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 9 RB’s
Washington Football Team vs Lions
ESPN Starting Percentage: 14.5%
With Kyle Allen now projected to be out for the rest of the season, it should Alex Smith under center for the rest of the season. Smith has shown a preference to check down to McKissic when not able to target Terry McLaurin. McKissic has at least six receptions and 40 yards receiving in four of his last five games with nine catches and 65 yards in Week 9. He has been extremely efficient as a runner with 16 carries for 93 yards (5.81 yards per carry) in the last three games. He has a very safe PPR floor as the number two target in their passing offense and now faces a Lions team that has given up at least 46 yards receiving to opposing running backs in each of the last three games and three receiving touchdowns in the last two games. McKissic has top-24 upside in PPR leagues this weekend.
Broncos vs Raiders
ESPN Starting Percentage: 15.6%
Melvin Gordon has been extremely disappointing over the last two games with 74 scrimmage yards on 21 offensive touches in the last two games combined. Meanwhile, Lindsay has 106 rushing yards on 14 carries in that same time. Lindsay has been the more impressive running back and should continue to see more work. He now faces a Raiders run defense that has given up at least 50 yards rushing to an opposing running back in each of the last three games with a rushing touchdown allowed in two of the last three games. Lindsay should see at least 10 carries this weekend and could come away with 50+ yards rushing and a touchdown against a weak opposing run defense.
49ers vs Saints
ESPN Starting Percentage: 41.4%
McKinnon is coming off a strong game with 58 scrimmage yards and a touchdown on 15 touches in Week 9. Prior to Week 9, however, he had 18 total touches in the three previous games. It seems like every week that the 49ers have another running back step up and McKinnon is hard to trust week-in and week-out, especially in a Week 10 matchup against the Saints. New Orleans only gave up nine rushing yards to the Buccaneers in Week 9 and has only given up 50+ rushing yards to a sole running back in three of last of the games. They’ve been playing better and the Saints will be prepared for a Nick Mullens-led offense to run the ball a lot. McKinnon will be hard to trust as more than low-end RB3/FLEX play.
Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 10 WR’s
Bears vs Vikings
ESPN Starting Percentage: 7.8%
Despite being on an anemic Bears offense, Mooney has at least 40 yards receiving and six targets in each of the last three games as the clear number two wide receiver for Nick Foles. While he hasn’t put up huge numbers, he has been consistent and seen his role increase to a team-leading 11 targets in Week 9. The Bears face a paper-thin Vikings pass defense which has given up three receiving touchdowns to opposing wide receivers in two of the last three games with four receivers going for 50+ receiving yards in the same time frame. Mooney could be in for his biggest game of the season with the Bears facing a Vikings offense that has been putting up points lately. He has top-30 upside in Week 10.
Browns vs Texans
ESPN Starting Percentage: 7.1%
While Landry has been a disappointment overall for fantasy football owners this season, he has the chance to be a real asset moving forward. As the number one wide receiver for them with Odell Beckham out for the season, Landry saw a team-leading 11 targets in their Week 9 game. He and the Browns face a Texans defense that has given up at least 146 yards and a touchdown to an opposing wide receiver in each of their last two games and seven receiving touchdowns in the last three weeks combined. In a matchup between two of the weaker defenses in the league, we could see plenty of points scored on the board and Landry stands to benefit from that type of game. He is a low-end WR2 at least in Week 10.
Lions vs Washington Football Team
ESPN Starting Percentage: 56.6%
Despite being in a smash spot against the Vikings, Jones only saw four targets even if he did have 43 yards and a touchdown. The Lions passing offense is struggling as a whole as of late and Kenny Golladay’s absence doesn’t help their cause. Jones now faces a Washington squad who has only given up three receiving touchdowns to opposing wide receivers all season and hasn’t given up more than 86 yards receiving to a single wide receiver all season. They have been one of the toughest defenses for wide receivers in fantasy football and with the Lions already struggling, this isn’t a good recipe for Jones and the Lions in Week 10.
Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em Week 10 TE’s
Eagles vs Giants
ESPN Starting Percentage: 1.3%
Goedert is finally back in the lineup after missing four games with an injury. As the undisputed starting tight end with Zach Ertz out, Goedert is a safe top-12 bet going forward. He now faces a Giants defense that has given up 35 or more receiving yards to four different tight ends over the past four weeks and two receiving touchdowns over the past four games. Goedert should be no less than the number three passing option on the Eagles offense who has been forced to pass a bit with their defense lagging lately. Goedert has top-eight upside in Week 10.
Saints vs 49ers
ESPN Starting Percentage: 48.7%
Cook has been very touchdown-dependent this season as he only has three games out of seven with more than two receptions and 50+ receiving yards this season. He also has four touchdowns and struggled mightily in Week 9 despite the Saints throwing for four touchdowns as Josh Hill and Adam Trautman both caught touchdowns with Cook only caught two receptions for 30 yards with a fumble lost. He now faces a 49ers defense who has given up only two receiving touchdowns to opposing tight ends all season and only allowed 35 or more receiving yards to three different tight ends. With Michael Thomas healthy, Cook’s opportunities shrink that much more going forward. He is not a recommended play this weekend.
Doug Moore is a fantasy football writer for Gridiron Experts. He has previously written for sites such as ESPN, SBNation, FFToday & Inside The Pylon. He also was the co-host for the highly-rated fantasy football podcast Overtime Ireland for several years. You can find him on Twitter at @DMooreNFL