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NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Betting Odds 2019

NFL preseason hype can drive up the fantasy stock value of an NFL rookie overnight, but it can also drastically fluctuate their rookie of the year NFL betting odds. This year’s crop of new young talent are all jockeying to be dubbed the best rookie of 2019 and join a list of past winners that include Eric Dickerson, Barry Sanders, Emmitt Smith, and Adrian Peterson.

The history of the NFL offensive rookie of the year award is actually quite interesting. While the MVP award has predominantly been a quarterback, the leagues best rookie has been surprisingly been a running back. In fact, in the last 20 years, a running back has won the ROTY award 10 times, as opposed to seven times for a QB. Dak Prescott was the last QB to win back in 2016 and was the only QB to win in the last six years.

Rookie of the Year Odds

  • Kyler Murray +150
  • Dwayne Haskins +800
  • Josh Jacobs +700
  • Mecole Hardman +1500
  • David Montgomery +1400
  • TJ Hockenson +1400
  • N’Keal Harry +1600
  • Marquise Brown +2000
  • Drew Lock +2000
  • Miles Sanders +2000
  • Daniel Jones +2000
  • Noah Fant +2000
  • DK Metcalf +2200
  • AJ Brown +2500
  • Justice Hill +2500
  • Bryce Love +2500
  • Ryan Finley +2500
  • Parris Campbell +2500
  • JJ Arcega Whiteside +3300
  • Darrell Henderson +3000
  • Hakeem Butler +4000
  • Damien Harris +5000
  • Irv Smith Jr +5000
  • Will Grier +5000
  • Field +800

Despite Kyler Murray being the heavy favorite to win the ROTY in 2019, these odds actually look a lot like last years. The only difference is last year a running back was the heavy favorite in 2018. Saquon Barkley (+180) followed Sam Darnold (+330) and Josh Allen (+600) lead the pact for rookie odds last season. Everyone’s favorite, Baker Mayfield was the fourth on the list at +800.

Are there trends to the rookie of the year award? – No. While it is interesting to see changes over the past few seasons, the best player that can produce the most for this team while have the best chance the win the award. Volume is key and a quarterback that gets to stat week one is given a slight edge. However, a player like Josh Jacobs should be just as involved in the Raiders offense as anyone at the top of the list. Head Coach Jon Gruden has already said that he wants Jacobs to win the award. Gruden isn’t the kind of coach that dishes out fluff to the media, meaning if he wants Jacobs to win the award, he’ll do his best to put him in an opportunity to win. Jacobs said at the FSGA conference in New York that the Raiders coaching staff plan to feed him the ball but to also use him in the passing game too. At +700, Jacobs is a favorite of mine to win the 2019 rookie of the year award.

However, a few deep sleepers to consider are David Montgomery at +1000 and Miles Sanders at +2000. Both running backs have competition they need to fight off to earn a bulk of the teams carries, but both rookie RB’s are far and away the best talent in the backfield on their respected teams.

In terms of players to completely avoid, I would have to cross out all the Tight Ends on this list. Historically, rookie tight ends rarely make an impact on the field their first season, heavily due to the learning curve of blocking at the position. If a TE can’t block, he becomes very one-dimensional in terms of value, which limits his snap count throughout the season. A great example of this is Lions TE T.J. Hockenson, who is projected to start the season as the TE2 behind free-agent pickup Jesse James formally of the Steelers. Hockenson garnered an All-Big 10 status while earning the John Mackey Award last year at Iowa, but that hasn’t been enough to push the veteran in training camp. While the Lions do plan to have Hockenson take over as the lead dog in the team’s offense, they aren’t about to throw him into the fire until he is fully prepared.


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