NFL Fanduel Picks
I hope that you jumped at the opportunity to buy Mike Evans at what will most likely be his lowest price of the season. He was just $7,100 last week and I had him in this article. If you followed suit, he scored 41 Fanduel points for your lineup. I also had Greg Olsen as someone to consider last week. He scored 22.5 points against the Arizona Cardinals. The Cardinals appear to be a target defense for the tight end position, so you can probably guess without looking much further who I am going to consider at tight end this week.
We have reached the quarter mark of the NFL season and that brings the first round of byes. The Jets and 49ers are the only teams with the week off. The good news is there aren’t many players from either of those teams that have been must start guys. Let’s dive into week 4.
As always, these are the tools that I utilize to help me make my weekly lineup decisions:
- Daily Roto – Daily Roto has Redzone data, snap counts, targets, and an awesome Lineup optimizer
- The Quant Edge – TQE has a WR/CB matchup tool that’ll be perfect for WR Start/Sits
- FantasyData – Advanced player metrics, stats and live odds for week two
$7,800 at Dolphins
Like tight ends against the Cardinals, quarterbacks against the Dolphins are hard to not fit into a lineup. The Dolphins are allowing the second-most points to quarterbacks in 2019. The Dolphins pass defense is allowing an average of 296 passing yards and 3 touchdowns in each game. The Chargers have been throwing the football often in 2019 as Rivers has thrown at least 34 passes in every game. I expect the Chargers to come out throwing while jumping out to a large lead early. This large lead will be due in large part to the passing game and I want a piece of it.
$7,300 vs Redskins
Daniel Jones lit the NFL on fire in his first start. He was exciting to watch and played really well. Now he sees a Redskins defense that has struggled mightily so far in 2019. They are allowing the 5th most points to the position through 3 weeks. The Skins have allowed 3 touchdown passes in every game and in case you missed it, Saquan Barkley is out. Wayne Gallman is not a guy that is going to be featured so I think the Giants come out and attack the Redskins through the air. Jones is set up to impress in week 4.
$6,800 at Broncos
Fournette has not scored a touchdown yet and is still averaging double-digit points per game. He is also seeing a 97.1% snap share. This means he is constantly on the field. He receives carries, catches passes, and stays involved no matter the game script. Fournette now gets the Broncos who are allowing the 6th most points to running backs in 2019. Fournette is going to have a breakout game at some point this season and week 4 against the Broncos provides a real chance.
$7,000 at Falcons
He has been the featured back this year out of the gate. He has shown explosiveness and power and scored a touchdown in every game. Henry has yet to rush for 100 yards in a game and is coming off his worst outing of the season. Henry also has failed to reach 20 carries in a game. Week 4 could see that change. The Titans will attempt to keep the ball out of Matt Ryan’s hands by running the football. In the Falcons 2 losses this season, they have given up 117.5 rushing yards per game and 1.5 touchdowns. The Titans will go run-heavy and Henry will benefit.
$6,600 at Cardinals
$6,600 for a player that has back to back double-digit catch games is low, right? It sure seems like it to me. Lockett is dominating in the early going and now gets a beatable pass defense in the Cardinals. Lockett is involved in every aspect of the passing game. He is used as a possession guy and a field stretcher. Russell Wilson loves to throw to him and we are seeing the Seahawks throw more than normal this season as their running game has struggled. Lockett will get the Cardinals pass defense that is again missing Patrick Peterson and should be a focal point of the passing game
$6,300 at Giants
For a guy that has scored a touchdown in all 3 games this season I am surprised he is not more expensive. McLaurin looks like the real deal. He is the main focus of this passing game and that will continue this week. The Giants are allowing the most points to receivers in the first 3 weeks of the season. McLaurin is fast, runs great routes, and has Case Keenum’s trust. The rookie has been dynamic and I expect another explosive game against Janoris Jenkins and the Giants.
$5,400 at Cardinals
6-131-1/8-112-1/6-75-2. These are the stat lines the first 3 weeks of the season from tight ends facing the Cardinals. Dissly is next up. He has been a main target of Wilson over the last 2 weeks as well catching 11 passes for 112 yards and 3 touchdowns. Nick Vannett has also been cut which shows the trust the Seahawks have in Dissly. He should be utilized heavily in week 4 and with George Kittle on a bye, the position is even thinner.
Make sure to check out the Start’em Sit’em article before week 4 starts.
Father to a daughter and son as well as a husband to a wife. I have a healthy obsession with football and not so healthy obsession with ice cream. I have been following the NFL closely for over a decade all while working full-time jobs, primarily as a police officer.