NFL Draft Dynasty Breakdown: Day 1

Fantasy BreakdownDay one of the 2014 NFL Draft has come and gone. Dynasty fantasy football owners have been dying to see where these prospects end up, so they can get prepped for their upcoming rookie drafts. Obviously, most of the high profile, big name skill position players for dynasty purposes go in round one. The important question is how will they impact their teams, as well as what their draft stock will be in rookie drafts?

I am looking at these round values based on 12 team, 5 round rookie drafts.

Rookie quarterback value has seemed to be on a downward trend in recent years. Maybe not to the level that running backs have, but most dynasty owners don’t seem to be building their franchises around signal callers as much anymore, simply because there are just so many that can produce at a halfway decent level. That being said, I think we are looking at three rookie quarterbacks that will end up being great player in the NFL.

Blake Bortles was the first QB off the board to the Jacksonville Jaguars at pick number three. This 6’5” player was obviously drafted as the future face of the franchise. Chad Henne may start the first part of the season, but eventually it will be the Bortles show. The only concern I see is who his cast of playmakers will be. The Jags will need to surround him with more weapons in day two and three of the draft as well as in next year’s draft for Bortles to become successful.

The flashy pick came from the Cleveland Browns when they selected Johnny Manziel. Similar to Bortles, I’m not sure he starts immediately, as Brian Hoyer proved last year that he can play. However, I think the media will end up pushing him into the starting role. Either way, Manziel playing school yard football with the weapons in Cleveland is SCARY for fantasy purposes.

Teddy Bridgewater slid to the bottom of round one, where the Vikings traded up to get him. He should start instantly and has a good cast of offensive weapons around him. Not to mention, Norv Turner is the offensive coordinator in Minnesota and has worked some magic with his offenses for fantasy purposes in the past. I would consider any of these three quarterbacks in the second round of your rookie drafts, unless you have basically no starting QB. In that case, you might have to reach in round one a bit to get the one you like.

The new flavor of the month position, wide receiver, had the most players selected for dynasty relevance. Sammy Watkins still looks like a good bet to be the 1.1 in most drafts. I think the situation in Buffalo is better than it appears on the surface. Mike Evans isn’t in a great position in my opinion due to the quarterbacks. While Tampa Bay isn’t the worst fit, most had hoped for better. Still, the talent and size is there and he should go in the top half of round one in most drafts. Kelvin Benjamin probably ended up in the best situation of all the receivers by going to the Carolina Panthers who essentially have no receivers. He will immediately be thrust into a major role in the offense. I think people will see the size and opportunity alone and take him in the first half of the first round of rookie drafts. Odell Beckham Jr. to the Giants and Brandin Cooks to the Saints will definitely generate some buzz, based on their ability. The situations are pretty good as well, given they will have good quarterbacks throwing the ball. I have a feeling that these guys will get pushed down a bit once we see some of the running back landing spots on day two and three. As a result, I see them as late round one, to early round 2 rookie draft picks.

Only one tight end was selected in round one and that was Eric Ebron to the pass happy Detroit Lions. While some predicted it and it looks like a great fit on the surface, I’m not sold. They brought back Brandon Pettigrew and still have Joseph Fauria around. Ebron will still get his share of targets though and I predict will go in the mid to second half of round 1 in most rookie drafts.

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