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Money Where Your Mouth Is: Week 10

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Money Where Your Mouth Is

2166668278 ddd4b437a3Back from its absence last week is everyone’s favorite betting article, with picks from Gridiron Experts best ATS (against the spread) writer, Ryan Miller. First to all my betting followers I am sorry for last week’s article being nonexistent. But don’t worry this feature is back to stay. Let’s recap my success this year and tell you why you should put your trust in my picks this week.

In my first Money Where Your Mouth Is write-up I went 3-0, the next week I went 2-1 but hit on another personal parlay (3-0), the next week my article was not on the site but to the people who tweeted me (@mrfantasyfball) I sent you guys my picks and went 4-0. So for all that success we have a parlayed hit percentage of an incredible 75% with 12 correct picks and 1 incorrect pick.

Check out all of Gridiron Experts NFL picks for week 10 here


Denver Broncos at -4

Denver Broncos 2012 PreviewThis is a team that I have been riding. Their success is apparent and revolves around off-season acquisition Peyton Manning. Peyton hasn’t missed a beat, controls the field like a general, and is making this team a guaranteed playoff contender. The Broncos go up against a Panthers squad that has gotten better in the last few weeks on the defensive side of the ball, but will have a tough time stopping the Manning-led offense. Not only has the passing game been solid, but Willis McGahee looks like a young stud out there running the ball and giving the Broncos a very underrated rushing attack.

The Panthers are not using their weapons properly and have over-invested in running backs and under-invested in wide receivers. The Broncos are a slow starter, so when they come out and only score a little in the first half, don’t panic. Peyton will get it done with the help of his very balanced group of pass catchers. No numbers for you here just a gut feeling and a lot of trust in the Broncos.

Tampa Bay Bucs at -3

tampa bay buccaneersAnother team that is not prepared to take another loss is the Tampa Bay Bucs. They plan on beating up on a Chargers team that has underachieved  all year. Rookie running back Doug Martin has been a sensation these last couple of weeks and the team has fed off of his energy. The Bucs will try to impose their will on the ground game but if this contest turns out to be a shoot-out, I still like Josh Freeman, Vincent Jackson, and Mike Williams over Phillip Rivers, Antonio Gates (who may have been this year’s biggest bust at TE), and Robert Meachem. The Bucs should dominate the Chargers running game, forcing Rivers to air the ball out which will likely result in at least one interception.

Atlanta Falcons at -2.5

FalconsThe team that is still running the table will once again get another win. I know everyone is worried about this week because the Falcons play a high powered Saints team, but let me break some keys down for you here. If the Falcons lose before the playoffs it will be to an unexpected team, for example their game against the Panthers week 4 or Oakland week 6. The Falcons are playing very efficiently on the offensive side of the ball and not bad on defense. The reason they are not ranked high at stopping the run is because they get up on other teams and then play pass protection and allow underneath runs. The Falcons are just more solid all over the ball, while the Saints lack a defense and a good running back. New Orleans cannot stop the run or the pass, whereas the Falcons are a decent team against the pass, having faced teams that mostly tried unsuccessfully to attack them through the air. Atlanta may score 40 points in this game by themselves. And in a shootout I like the team with the better balance and better defense.

 

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