Game Preview

Monday Night Football Preview: Giants at 49ers


MNF Week 10

Monday Night Football Preview

49ers -3 | Over/Under 44.5

When the New York Giants head into Santa Clara for week 10’s chapter of Monday Night Football against the San Francisco 49ers, the outcome will have huge implications on the future of one of these teams, for the loser will be one step closer to securing a number 1 draft pick. I would say the season has been disappointing for these two proud franchises, but that would be an understatement. Entering 2018, the 49ers were undefeated under Jimmy Garropolo while the Giants had just drafted once-in-a-generation talent, Saquon Barkley. However, they are now a combined 3-14 on the year.

In all likelihood, the game will be played under the ominous shadow of the wildfires that have engulfed the California coast. Before reading too much more, take a moment to visit the Red Cross Wildfire Relief page to provide just a little bit of help to those who need it.

Giants at 49ers

49ers -3 | Over/Under 44.5

New York Giants (1-7)

The Giants are the not-so-proud owners of a five-game losing streak. If you’re like me, you might be at a loss as to why New York’s offense has so badly this year. For a team sporting talent like Odell Beckham Jr, Saquon Barkley, Evan Engram, and Sterling Shepard, it’s unfathomable to think they have only scraped together the one win. The fact is, the Giants, despite all their weaponry, are just the 22nd ranked NFL offense. The team can’t get the ball moving and can’t get into the endzone. They’re scoring just 18.8 points per game and Manning has only thrown eight touchdowns. A lot of the blame falls on his shoulders, and rightly so as the team leader, but he isn’t the only one. If the Giants want to turn around their season, it needs to start here. Anything is possible, right Odell?

Why They Will Win

The Giants aren’t a good football team in 2018, but they haven’t been losing by a lot. Of their seven losses, only two have been by more than a touchdown. Those two were against NFC powerhouses in New Orleans and Philadelphia. So for all their failings, they have at least been mostly competitive.

Eli ManningAs I said above, as bad as Eli Manning has been with his eight touchdowns and six picks, it’s not just on him. He has completed 68% of his passes and thrown almost 2,400 yards in just eight games. That’s right around 300 yards a game. He’s definitely letting it fly. So could you imagine what he could be doing behind an offensive line? Manning has next to no protection from the men in front of him. He has been sacked a whopping 31 times. 11 of those came over their last two games. If his o-line stand up and do their job against a side who have allowed 18 passing touchdowns this year already, then Eli will have time to find those talented guys who surround him and might just drag this team to an upset win.

And Why They Won’t

The Giants and 49ers are both coming off long breaks. New York thanks to the bye and San Fran after playing week 9’s Thursday Night Game against the Raiders. You might think that would freshen each side up and create a hard-fought encounter, but New York has had its struggles on the back of a bye. In the past four seasons, the Giants have just one win following the bye week. Last season, they got blown out by the Los Angeles Rams, 51-17. It’s not the kind of record fans will be boasting about, but that could be said of the Giants as a whole right now.

San Francisco 49ers (2-7)

Last week’s Thursday Night game was widely criticized as being the worst primetime game in the history of the NFL, and that was before the opening kickoff. The Raiders and 49ers met with one win apiece, but it was San Francisco that stood up on the big stage as they belonged there, demolishing Oakland 34-3. And fortunately so. Had the result gone against them, that honor would have shifted one more week to this game. But now this young team will face an opponent with similar credentials and find themselves as the favorites. The 49ers will be very confident of a repeat performance.

Why They Will Win

If Nick Mullens can back up his performance from last game, they will be very hard to beat. He had one of the greatest quarterback debut games of all-time completing 16 of 22 passes for 262 yards with three touchdowns and, best of all, zero interceptions. He looked poised and confident. He played so well, he got a call from NFL Hall-of-Famer Brett Favre immediately after the win.

While New York hasn’t had a lot of success this year, they aren’t quite as bad as Oakland on the defensive side of the ball, but that’s not to say they’re good either. They rank 16th in pass yards per game allowed with 244, 31st in sacks this year (only Oakland have fewer), and equal 24th with just the 4 interceptions in their eight games. It’s just the kind of backup game a rookie quarterback would be welcoming as he tries to find his feet in this league. He should at least stay on his feet too. The Giants have totaled just 10 sacks this year.

 

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And Why They Won’t

Last week’s win has masked the fact that the Niners had lost six games in a  row leading into that game by an averaged of almost 10 points per game. Two of those losses were against the Arizona Cardinals, a team equally as bad. Nick Mullens performance turned him into a fan favorite overnight and took the focus away from just how bad this team has been. It’s not like they beat a Superbowl contender either. It was the Raiders, who are doing everything they can to become the worst team in football. Mullens makes for an intriguing storyline, but let’s not get ahead of ourselves and crown him Jimmy GQ2 just yet.

Key Match-Up:

The two quarterbacks will be going toe-to-toe; one-on-one; mano-a-mano. Not directly, obviously, but it will be a tale of these two means who will determine the fate of this game. Giants head coach Pat Shurmur has refused to guarantee that Eli Manning would remain the starter in New York after this week, with Kyle Lauletta waiting in the wings to get his chance. If Nick Mullens and co. play as they did 10 days ago, they might just gift Kyle his chance. Although, asking a rookie to lead two wins under the bright lights of primetime football is a lot. It remains to be seen what the kid is made of.

Prediction

I can’t see this being a game-of-the-year contender, but it should be fun to watch. There’s plenty of young talent all over the field to keep this interesting, despite the records of each team. Ultimately, it’s hard to look past New York’s ineptitude and with this game in San Francisco, I think they’ll get the job done.

Final: San Francisco 24New York 17


Monday Night Football Betting Tips

All of the odds and prop bets I write about in this piece will be sourced from there. They have a bunch of great contests, bonus and NFL specials to sink your teeth into. If you haven’t before, check them out now.

I’ve said it once or twice already (or thrice), but the combined record of these teams is 3-14. The ATS record sits at a slightly more favorable 6-11 with both teams covering the line just three times. It’s not a convincing record either way. What swings my thinking is the home ground advantage and that old saying, “you’re only as good as your last performance”.

Total Points Over/Under

The combined over/under record of the Giants and 49ers is 8-9. That’s mostly due to the Giants lack of ability to get into the promised land as the 49ers have actually gone over in five of their nine games. Still, New York is putting up just 18.8 points per game, meaning that San Fran has to score over 25 points to cover the total. A feat they’ve achieved in only four of their games this year. I’m taking the under.

BEST BETS:

49ers -3 (-110), Total Points Under 44.5 (-110)

 

 

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