Fantasy Football

Marvin Harrison Jr. Fantasy Outlook

Marvin Harrison

Like Father, Like Son

Before his rise to college football stardom, Harrison Jr. was only known as the great Marvin Harrison Sr.’s son. For those unfamiliar with Marvin Harrison Sr., here is his background and accomplishments from his hall-of-fame career. Harrison Sr. played at Syracuse University from 1992 to 1995 and was drafted by the Indianapolis Colts with the nineteenth overall pick in the 1996 NFL Draft. Little did he know then, but a couple of years later (1998) he would pair up with fellow hall of famer Peyton Manning who would become his quarterback. Harrison Sr. was listed as 5’10” and weighed 179 pounds throughout his career compared to his son, who is listed as 6’4” and weighs 205 pounds. Harrison Sr.’s accomplishments include Super Bowl XLI Champion and NFL Hall of Fame Class of 2016. It is safe to say that his son has big shoes to fill.

College Career

Harrison Jr. was a 4-star recruit out of high school and had offers from Ohio State University, Michigan University, Penn State University, University of Florida, Louisiana State University, University of Notre Dame, and Texas A&M University. Eventually, on October 31, 2019, he committed to Ohio State University, where he played three college football seasons (2021-2023). While playing for the Buckeyes, he played in 38 games, recording 155 receptions for 2,613 yards, averaging 16.9 yards per reception, and scoring 31 touchdowns. His college career accomplishments include the Fred Biletnikoff Award (2023), 2x Unanimous All-American (2022, 2023), Big Ten Most Valuable Player (2023), Big Ten Offensive Player of the Year (2023), 2x Big Ten Receiver of the Year (2022, 2023), and 2x First-team All-Big Ten (2022, 2023).

Latest Odds

Currently, the Sports Betting odds for Marvin Harrison Jr. are +750 to win the AP NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. Bears QB Caleb Williams is the heavy favorite (+125), but surprisingly, Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels (+650) has taken the second-place odds favorite, bumping Harrison to third. There are also NFL player prop odds for Marvin Harrison Jr’s receiving yards. His over/under on total receiver yards this season is 1050.5 (-117).

My thought process for taking the over on this betting prop is that Harrison Jr. is the clear number-one receiver in the offense. I believe he’ll be force-fed the ball, and his dynamic skill set will allow him to beat opposing defenses consistently. We can consider a player like former fellow Ohio State teammate and wide receiver Garrett Wilson, who recorded 1,042 receiving yards last season with the New York Jets, playing quarterback carousel every week. An elite receiver will be targeted heavily regardless of who their quarterback is.

Moving Forward

Harrison Jr. has been turning heads with his impressive on-the-field performance as we progress into offseason training camp. Reports state that he was brought on slowly during the first week of OTAs and then was fully immersed into the offense by week 2. Fellow teammate and cornerback Garrett Williams stated, “You look at his height and then you look at his movement ability, those two things usually don’t match up like that.” “So, for him to do it and make everything look so easy, the ball tracking ability, he’s everything people said he is.” As per observation, Harrison Jr. has been a complete professional during his time at Cardinals training camp, answering media questions, performing at a high level, developing into a leader, and being humble.

 

Current ADP

As of June 25, 2024, Harrison Jr.’s overall fantasy football ADP is 19, and his positional ADP is 10, according to Fantasy Pros. After looking over his ADP and where other players stand before him, I believe his ADP to be accurate. There are plenty of pro-proven players ahead of him who are poised to have solid fantasy performances this season. As we know, Harrison Jr. is a specimen of talent who was the best receiver in college football during his time at Ohio State. Ohio State has a recent history of producing NFL-ready wide receivers, including New Orleans Saints receiver Chris Olave, New York Jets receiver Garrett Wilson, and Seattle Seahawks receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba. He will most likely remain at his current ADP, giving or taking a spot higher or lower going into August as the time for fantasy football draft season arrives.

Fantasy Insight

On February 13, 2023, the Arizona Cardinals organization hired former defensive coordinator Jonathan Gannon as their new head coach to a five-year contract. After his first year with the franchise was unsuccessful, finishing with a record of 4-13, he looks to rebound in his second year with the team. He brought in a new young coaching staff with little to no prior NFL coaching experience, except Jeff Rodgers, the new special teams coordinator. Despite having a terrible season, head coach Jonathan Gannon did not relieve any of his fellow staff of their duties. He stated that all his fellow coaches, including himself, are working hard to improve their work, which will translate to the Cardinals players’ performances.

Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray has had previous issues with his “lazy, distracted, and Call of Duty addict” stigma stemming from a few years ago. This led the Cardinals organization to put in his contract that he needed to study film for four hours a week, then retracted after negative press. There have even been videos of his “lazy” football play. After playing only the second half of the season last year due to an injury the year before, it looks like Murray is putting in the work this offseason. Numerous teammates have been raving about him in practice, and he is “locked in,” according to wide receiver Greg Dortch. Fellow teammate linebacker Kyzir White even compared Murray to Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes. This is all good news for Harrison Jr. as he will be able to learn under coaches who have had previous NFL experience and catch passes from a veteran quarterback who is improving. This all translates into being able to develop as a promising professional player.

Fantasy Value

Personally, looking at his redraft ADP, the earliest I would take Harrison Jr. is in the second round and the latest third round if he is still available. There is a reason for all the hype surrounding the rookie receiver, as he is being labeled as a generational talent, and rightfully so. Taking him at his current ADP or higher is a safe move, but not over players like Garrett Wilson, who has Aaron Rodgers as his quarterback and has proven himself. Harrison Jr. is a safe draft pick at his ADP this season.

Dynasty Value

As everyone knows, I adore fantasy football rookie drafts. As I predicted before the start of last season, Harrison Jr. would be the unanimous 1.01 in 2024 rookie drafts. As a dynasty fantasy football team owner, I would draft Harrison Jr. with the 1.01 pick in rookie drafts this offseason. In dynasty start-up leagues, his value falls slightly, as he is a late second-round, early-third-round pick. As for age, Harrison Jr. is only 21 years old (turning 22 on August 11) and has plenty of time, but I believe he’ll make an instant impact on your dynasty team immediately.

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