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Marshawn Lynch Fantasy Forecast

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Marshawn Lynch Fantasy

Over the past two years Marshawn Lynch has become something of an NFL rockstar running back with the Seahawks. What other RB can cause earthquakes and make it rain skittles? His obvious super powers aside, Lynch is in prime position to have a great 2013 fantasy football season.

Going into this season, Seattle is being picked by many to be in serious contention for a trip to Super Bowl 48. The Seahawks now have an elite WR in Percy Harvin. His presents will mean defenses would be taking a risk by stacking the box to try and stop Lynch, giving the Seahawks play calling even more room to breath.

Although, Harvin is not the only threat in the Seahawks’ passing game, both Sydney Rice and Golden Tate must be accounted for as they can spread the field too. Zach Miller came on strong at the end of last season and his stock is raising. Basically, defenses will have their hands full when they play Seattle in 2013. This is always good news for running backs, even if some TDs come by air rather than ground.

Russell Wilson has the ability to run on read option plays and will force defense to pause for a split second and try and identify the ball carrier. This will give Lynch a little more space than other backs get. Wilson’s ability to avoid sacks and stay on his feet also bodes well for Marshawn Lynch, as he is a likely target for a reception in that scenario.

Marshawn Lynch’s Career Stats

Season Team G Rush Yds Avg TD Rec Tgt Yds TD
2007 Bills 13 280 1115 4.0 7 18 26 184 0
2008 Bills 15 250 1036 4.1 8 47 67 300 1
2009 Bills 13 120 450 3.8 2 28 37 179 0
2010 Bills/Sea 16 203 737 4.0 6 22 28 145 0
2011 Seahawks 15 285 1204 4.2 12 28 41 212 1
2012 Seahawks 16 315 1590 5.0 11 23 30 196 1
Career Totals 84 1452 4232 4.2 46 166 229 1216 3

Seattle has made outstanding additions to their defensive line. The Seahawks defense has a pro-bowl secondary and outstanding young linebackers. These additions help make Seattle a better overall team that will win games and help Marshawn Lynch see more of the field as they lead games early and often.

Seattle surprised many when it drafted Christine Michael at the end of round 2. Lynch owners don’t need to worry about Michael, who is likely just a replacement for the departed Leon Washington. At best he’ll battle Robert Turbin for playing time this season. If you must worry about another RB taking reps from Lynch, Robert Turbin is cause for a little concern.

Last season Turbin was pretty solid as Lynch’ back-up. He rushed 80 times for 354 yards, but no touchdowns. He was productive in the passing game with 19 receptions and averaged 9.5 per catch.

Pete Carroll likes workhorse RBs and Lynch got 75% of the carries last season and that includes some late season blowouts. As a team, the Seahawks rushed 536 times in 2012, more than any other team. Those carries were good for 2,579 yards and 161.2 yards per game. Those totals ranked Seattle third behind only Washington and Minnesota.

Marshawn Lynch SkittlesUnless Marshawn starts 2013 the way Chris Johnson started 2012, you can expect him to continue to get that amount of carries. Lynch turned 27 in April and despite 1,452 career carries seems to have a lot left in the tank. Turbin and Michael will likely be used to give Lynch the normal amounts of rest a starting RB gets during games.

Marshawn Lynch is undoubtedly a RB1 and can even be considered a good #2 overall pick behind Adrian Peterson. If your in a PPR league you might need to slide Lynch down a few slots. He’s only averaged about 24 receptions per season with the Seahawks. Whatever the format, he’s a likely a RB1 and a player that should be picked somewhere in the top 10.

Nice round numbers like 1,300 yards and 10 TDs with 25 receptions fit a Marshawn Lynch projection going into 2013 and those are conservative numbers.

Latest News: Marshawn Lynch’s trial on his July 2012 DUI charges won’t begin until December 27.

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About the author

Darren Collette

With over five years of fantasy football experience Darren has won a high percentage of leagues and is an expert on IDP. When not setting a line-up, he works as a freelance writer for The Miami Herald.

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