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Malik Nabers Fantasy Forecast 2024

Malik Nabers

Malik Nabers Fantasy Forecast 2024

In almost any other NFL Draft, Malik Nabers would be the clear #1 wide receiver on the board. Due to the presence of Marvin Harrison, Jr. however, Nabers had to settle for being the second WR drafted this past April.

Recruiting and Collegiate Background

Malik Nabers is a Louisiana native with a history that features many sports and many positions. In football he had experience playing WR, DB, and returner for his high school football teams while also lettering in basketball and track.

Going into college, Nabers was a 4 start recruit. His freshmen year yielded some pedestrian statistics, but that was also a mediocre offense. Nabers did earn a respectable 21% target share as a freshman despite being on the same team as Kayshon Boutte and Trey Palmer. In his sophomore reason Jayden Daniels arrived, and Malik Nabers quickly became his primary target. Nabers posted back-to-back 1,000 yard seasons highlighted by his 89 catch, 1569 yard, and 14 TD season this past year. He finished with a 31% target share, and it is argued by many that Nabers’ numbers could have been better if not for the limitations of his QB.

Rookie Odds

Nabers is currently +1100 to win offensive rookie of the year. I like this number as compared to some of the other rookies with lower odds.

Statistical and Athletic Notes

Below are the notes I made for Malik Nabers before this year’s draft:

  • Can separate from defenders early or late in routes
  • Reliable downfield target
  • Prone to explosive plays
  • After the catch ability, and often fights for extra yards
  • Experienced with perimeter and slot, played 50/50 last season
  • Solid blocker
  • Jet sweep highlights are bananas
  • Coaches and GMs may have pause on his average size and strength
  • Arrest in New Orleans for illegal weapon carrying
  • Starter for a bad offense immediately in freshman year
  • 2 seasons over 1,000 yards as LSU got better
  • Any other year and he’d be the clear WR1 in this class
  • No combine performance, likely wouldn’t help draft stock anyway

Landing Spot

Nabers was drafted #6 overall by the New York Giants. It feels like it’s been some time since the Gmen have had a clear, bona fide WR1 since OBJ left town. Nabers provides this opportunity in Manhattan (aka Jersey).

The Good

The Giants OC Mike Kaftka runs a spread offense; that just so happens to be the exact offense that Nabers set records in at LSU. Nabers holds WR records for receptions and yards at Louisiana, and that’s significant considering recent WRs like Ja’Marr Chase, Justin Jefferson, Jarvis Landry, DJ Chark, and OBJ have all hailed from that program. Nabers has serious potential in the NFL  because of his ability to sprint, stop, and cut on command. He will make himself a viable option on every passing play.

The Bad

Nabers has only average size and strength, so he could initially find it difficult to out-muscle NFL DBs. This could limit his early fantasy numbers as the likes of Darius Slayton and Wan’Dale Robinson could have a direct effect on Nabers’ fantasy production.  The arrest for a weapons charge gives me some pause as should he burst onto the NFL scene with initial success, his ego could inflate to the point of carelessness.

2023 Redraft Fantasy Outlook

Nabers should be on your seasonal draft board. I would caution against those who believe he is the second coming of OBJ, but targeting Nabers as your WR3 or 4 seems appropriate. As of this writing he is currently going off the board in the 80 to 85th range. Depending on the makeup of your team, I don’t have a problem with you reaching for a WR3 or 4 here. Just as an FYI, players like Tank Dell, Courtland Sutton, Jake Ferguson, Jayden Reed, and TJ Hockenson are going after him.

Dynasty Outlook

I’m reminded of the Barenaked Ladies Song “Some Fantastic,” when it comes to Malik Nabers because you should “buy, buy, buy” him in Dynasty leagues. There’s a strong chance that Nabers is a fantasy producer for years to come. While I’m skeptical of his initial productivity due to the limitation of the Giants offense, we’re likely looking at a future round 1 fantasy pick in redraft leagues for several years.

Bold Prediction

Nabers hits the ground running and becomes the clear WR1 for New York before the mid point of the season.

Fun Fact

Malik Nabers’ uncle Gabe was an H back at FSU from 2016 to 2019, and he played for the Los Angeles Chargers from 2020 – 2021.

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