Fantasy Sleepers

Malcom Floyd: Breakout Fantasy Season

Malcom Floyd

Malcom Floyd is primed and on pace for a break-out fantasy season in 2012. As it seems, the Charger receiver has finally emerged from under the shadow of Vincent Jackson. Floyd has spent the past 6 seasons playing second fiddle to the 2-time Pro Bowl wide receiver, that was until Jackson signed a 5-year deal with Tampa Bay during the off-season. As a result, the door is wide open for Malcom to step in and become Philip Rivers’ new favorite target.

Malcom Floyd Fantasy Football 2012Malcom Floyd Fantasy 2012

Malcom Floyd is primed and on pace for a break-out fantasy season in 2012, as it seems the Charger receiver has finally emerged from under the shadow of Vincent Jackson. Floyd has spent the past 6 seasons playing second fiddle to the 2-time Pro Bowl wide receiver, that was until Jackson signed a 5-year deal with Tampa Bay during the off-season. The door is now wide open for Floyd to step in and become Philip Rivers’ new favorite target.

If you’re feeling a little skeptical, you have every reason to be…

Now in his 7th full year of his career, Malcom Floyd has never had a 1,000 yard season and he has never caught more than 6 touchdowns in a season.  He has also shown an inability to stay healthy, having only played in all 16 games once in his career (2009).  So, is he really the go-to guy now that VJ is out of town?  Looking at average draft position from this year, a lot of people took Robert Meachem a full round ahead of Floyd, likely opting for the more consistent, healthier option of the two.  Although, I personally think Floyd has better value and currently is on track for a more productive season, especially if you nabbed him in the 7th round or later.  One of the reasons I favored him, was the fact Malcom Floyd has been playing with Rivers for his entire career.

ChargerGMTargetRecYardsTDFF Avg PPg
Malcom Floyd3231322719.6
Robert Meachem31369203.1
Malcom Floyd: On pace for a 1,200 yard season

We all know Rivers is a top 10 fantasy QB who will get 4,000+ passing yards and 25+ TDs every year, so you can bank on the fact that his #1 receiver should get lots of targets and opportunities to make big plays (Jackson was targeted 115 times in 2011).  Furthermore, Floyd is coming off of what may be his best season yet.  Due to injury, the Charger wide-out played in just 12 games last year, but he was still able to put up 43 receptions for 856 yards and 5 touchdowns.  Not too bad for a guy who was fourth on the team in targets.  Yes, fourth! Malcom Floyd was targeted less than VJ, Gates, and even Mike Tolbert in 2011. Despite all that, he still finished second on the team in receiving yardage.

With Antonio Gates’ health a weekly concern and Vincent Jackson gone, it is now Malcom Floyd’s time to shine.  Through 3 weeks, Malcom leads San Diego in receptions (13), targets (23), and is the only wide out on the team with a touchdown catch.  I would start him over Meachem any day.  Need more?  Floyd has never lost a fumble in his career.  This is also a contract season for him.

Take a look at what Malcom Floyd has done so far this season:

  • Week 1 – @OAK – (4rec/66yds/1TD) – Always a good sign when you start off your season with a TD grab on the road.  He also led the team in receiving yards.  Only Gates saw more targets in the game.
  • Week 2 – TEN – (6rec/109yds) – These are the PPR numbers we are looking for from Floyd.  Not a bad day for a standard league either.  Floyd was targeted a team high 8 times and he led the team in catches and yards.  The only knock on him here was that he was unable to find the end zone as Dante Rosario took all 3 TDs.
  • Week 3 – ATL – (3rec/52yds) – This was just a bad game for the Chargers as they only managed to score 3 points.  Rivers was terrible (no TDs, 2 INTs).  Atlanta has a great D this season and they lead the league in takeaways.  Floyd actually saw the most targets from Rivers (9) and led the team in receiving yards for the third straight game.

Going forward, he is a solid flex play and his value rises very slightly for PPR leagues.  Rivers is bound to get going, so look for Floyd to further break-out after the bye week; he should be more of a high-end WR2 by then.  The Chargers have a relatively easy schedule this season, especially when it comes to pass defenses.

  • Week 4 – @KC – MUST START.  Kansas City has been letting QB’s put up huge numbers so far this season (8 TDs, 717 Yards through 3 games).  Expect Malcom to see some of that action.  I would not be surprised if he hauls in 2 TDs.
  • Week 5 – @NO – Expect a shootout.  Shootout means big QB/WR1 numbers.  Floyd is going to go for 100+ and at least 1 TD here.
  • Week 6 – DEN – If Shaub can throw four TDs against Denver, so can Rivers.  Denver has given up 8 TDs through the air so far.  Should be another nice game for Floyd.  Look for him to break loose and set a new career high for longest reception (currently 55 yards).
  • Week 7 – BYE – No game this week, sit him.
  • Week 8 – @CLE – No brainer.  This is a must start.  The Browns are easily the worst team in football.  This will be his break-out game if he has not broken out already.
  • Week 9 – KC – Again, KC is terrible against the pass.  Start him.
  • Week 10 – @TB – Must start.  The Bucs have been horrid at defending the pass.  TB has given up over 1000 yards passing through their first 3 games, including 510 to the Giants.  New York lit them up, San Diego should do the same. 
  • Week 11 – @DEN – Second meeting of the season with the Broncos.  Last season, Floyd had 3 catches for 100 yards and a TD in his only game against them, averaging 33.3 yards per catch.
  • Week 12 – BAL – I would really consider sitting him here.  It’s a tough matchup, probably his toughest of the season. If you drafted him as your flex or 3rd WR feel free to use him, but if you have any better options for this week, use them.
  • Week 13 – CIN – Malcom has not faced the Bengals since 2009, but they just made two different bad teams with rookie quarterbacks look great.  The Chargers should be fine and so should Floyd.
  • Week 14 – @PIT – The last time the Chargers went to Pittsburgh, Floyd was held without a catch and was only targeted one time.  This time around will be much different.  This may not be his biggest production game of the season, but I would start him.
  • Week 15 – CAR – If you have a better option here, I would go with that.  He is not going to have a bad game, but I think this is one where his numbers will dip a bit.
  • Week 16 – @NYJ – Start him, Revis is out for the season.  This bodes well for Floyd as anyone would be a must sit against him.  Look for SD to run a lot in this one, but Floyd will still get his grabs.
  • Week 17 – OAK – Rematch of the first game of the season.  Playoffs potentially on the line.  He should outdo his production from the first meeting where he had 4rec/66yds/1TD.
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