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Chargers Keenan Allen Daily Gem Week One?

Keenan Allen

As a rookie wide receiver, Keenan Allen had a phenomenal year catching 71 passes for over 1,000 yards and was able to find the end-zone eight times. Allen’s second season was not exactly a “sophomore slump”, but it did see a drop in some statistical areas.

Keenan Allen Sleeper

As a rookie wide receiver, Keenan Allen had a phenomenal year catching 71 passes for over 1,000 yards and was able to find the end-zone eight times. Allen’s second season was not exactly a “sophomore slump”, but it did see a drop in some statistical areas. Allen finished with 260 less yards and only scored four times- just half the amount of his rookie year total. He was, however, able to catch six more passes than his rookie year for a total of 77, and that led all San Diego pass-catchers.

When asked about having a “sophomore slump” season in a media session, Allen responded by saying:

“I wouldn’t say a slump” and also noted “I definitely want to do better than I did last year.”

Allen also saw an increase in his overall targets from Phillip Rivers. He was targeted 105 times his rookie season and in his second year increased to 121, a very encouraging stat for fantasy and daily owners.

Heading into his third season with the Chargers, Allen will have an even stronger connection with quarterback Phillip Rivers and could possibly see even more targets in the 2015 season. Keenan Allen was averaging 14.7 yards-per-catch as a rookie and saw that total drop to 10.2 yards-per-catch in his second season. While there are areas that have seen a slight decline in numbers, do not let the dip scare you away from taking him in your daily lineup.

The arrival of Melvin Gordon to the Chargers’s running game should produce a significant boost to the rushing attack, opening up wide receivers in the secondary, and allow Rivers and Allen a chance to show all their abilities. Even if Allen’s touchdowns and yards continue to see a slight dip, his receptions and targets will likely be even higher than last season’s totals. Allen could be most valuable in PPR leagues or Draft Kings lineups for daily players.

There is some speculation that Allen will be playing out of the slot position this season, but will still more than likely be Rivers’ go-to target. The slight position change will make Allen more of a threat in short yardage situations, including the red zone. Allen has also gone through some maturing this offseason, becoming a father as well as taking care of his body and sharpening his focus on football by losing weight so he can play at a faster pace.

Keenan Allen 2014 Gamelog
WkOppRecYrdsAvgTD
1@ARZ5377.40
2SEA555110
3@BUF2178.50
4JAC1013513.50
5NYJ3258.30
6@OAK32790
7KC6589.70
8@DEN9738.11
9@MIA44711.80
11OAK8637.90
12STL610417.31
13@BAL11121112
14NE231.50
15DEN31860

Draft Positions and Daily Cost

  • With a consensus from Yahoo!, ESPN, NFL.com, and FF Calculator, Keenan Allen’s average draft position was in the middle of fifth round in standard scoring leagues.
  • Keenan Allen’s Week one Draft Kings cost is $7,100
  • Keenan Allen’s Week one Fanduel cost is $7,900

In my opinion, Keenan Allen will be an excellent fantasy starter in week one facing off against the Detroit Lions. The Lions have one of the most lethal defensive fronts in football and may force the Chargers to lean more on their passing game Sunday.

Allen has an excellent chance to be featured more in the passing game with Antonio Gates facing a four game suspension for a PED violation. Some may view this as a reason to steer clear as defenses will have one less passing target to focus their attention on. I however, am opposed to such an idea. It’s important to understand Allen is not the only receiving target in San Diego. Defenses will have to account for talented players like Ladarius Green (filling in for Gates at tight end) as well as Melvin Gordon to go along with other brilliant pass catchers like Steve Johnson and veteran Malcolm Floyd.

Those who were able to snag Allen in their drafts early will be able to benefit from all angles of future trade possibilities. The first benefit of having Allen is he will be a high-value asset who is consistently being targeted by quarterback Phillip Rivers early on. If you are inclined to trade Allen, the best opportunities to do so is at or after week 4, when he will start to see a potential dip in numbers with Gates’ return.

The second perk for owners who unload Allen will be able to get the highest overall value for him in a deal. Buy low, sell high- this can be a viable strategy when drafting Allen. It is not a guarantee for Keenan Allen to see a dip in production upon Gates’ return, however it is a possibility and owners need to be aware of it and consider the best options if Allen finds his way onto their rosters.

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