NFL Picks

Our staff handicappers, most of whom have 15+ years of experience covering the NFL. Picks are tracked publicly through our partnership with Tally Sight, so our win-loss record is transparent rather than self-reported.

Our performance is tracked live through the Tally Sight widget above, covering straight-up record, against-the-spread record, and total record. We update it in real time rather than only publicizing our best weeks.

No. We're a content and advisory site: we publish picks, odds comparisons, and strategy, but all bets are placed through your own licensed sportsbook. We link out to odds comparisons so you can find the best number, not to take wagers ourselves.

Both. Gridiron Experts started as a fantasy football site, and our betting picks and NFL odds coverage grew out of the same weekly research our fantasy rankings are built on.

A straight-up (SU) pick is simply who we think wins the game outright. A pick against the spread (ATS) factors in the point spread, so we might pick a team to lose the game but still "cover" if they lose by fewer points than the spread. We publish both every week because they answer different questions.

ATS stands for "against the spread." An ATS record shows how often a pick would have won once the point spread is factored in, as opposed to a straight-up record, which only tracks who won the actual game.

Neither is inherently more profitable; it depends on the bet type you're placing. If you're betting the spread, your record should be measured ATS. If you're betting moneylines, straight-up accuracy is what matters. We break out both so you can match the pick to the bet you're actually making.

The spread is the number of points a favorite is expected to win by (or an underdog is expected to lose by). A team favored by -3.5 needs to win by 4+ points to "cover"; the underdog covers by losing by 3 or fewer, or winning outright.

-110 is standard odds notation showing the "vig" or "juice" a sportsbook charges. At -110, you'd need to bet $110 to win $100 profit. It's built in on most spread and total bets regardless of which side you take.

A moneyline bet is a wager on which team wins the game outright, with no point spread involved. Favorites carry negative odds (risk more to win less); underdogs carry positive odds (risk less to win more).

Lines move based on where money is being bet, injury news, weather, and lineup changes. A line moving toward one side usually means sportsbooks are balancing action, not necessarily that the "smart money" agrees with the move, which is part of why we publish our picks early in the week.

A trap game is a matchup where the "obvious" pick, usually a heavy favorite off a big win, or a public team getting inflated support, is more vulnerable than the line suggests. We call these out specifically in our weekly picks rather than only listing our top plays.

Our staff recommends risking 1-3% of your total bankroll on any single game. It's a simple rule, but it's the single biggest factor in surviving a losing stretch without going bust.

We don't encourage betting and advise our readers to bet responsiably

We'd recommend using expert picks as a second opinion, not a replacement for your own read on a game. We publish our reasoning alongside every pick specifically so you can weigh it against what you already know.

Shopping odds means comparing the same bet across multiple sportsbooks before placing it, since lines aren't identical everywhere. A half-point of spread or a few cents of moneyline seems small on one bet, but it compounds significantly over a full season of wagers.

A straight bet is a single wager on one outcome. A parlay combines multiple bets into one; every leg has to hit for the parlay to pay out, which means higher potential payouts but meaningfully lower odds of winning than any single leg on its own.

Yes. Alongside our single-game picks are on this page, but we publish parlay combinations most weeks, built from picks our staff has the most conviction in rather than just stacking random favorites together.

Player props are bets on individual player performance (passing yards, receptions, touchdowns, etc.) rather than the outcome of the game itself. Our Player Prop Finder lets you search props by player, team, or stat category, including Thursday Night Football props each week.

Yes. During the season we publish weekly DFS-focused picks and GPP lineup-building tips alongside our straight-up and spread picks, for readers building daily fantasy lineups rather than placing traditional bets.

Yes. Closer to the Super Bowl, we publish a full breakdown of both the standard props (MVP, first score, etc.) and the novelty "crazy" prop bets Super Bowl week is known for (coin toss, national anthem length, and similar).