FantasyDraft Tips For Week 3
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- Great Hits – Ben Roelithsberger, Philip Rivers, Cam Newton, Todd Gurley, Melvin Gordon, Christian McCaffrey
- Descent Calls – Drew Brees, Jimmy Garroppolo, James White, Tyreek Hill, Devin Funchess
- Bad Calls – Dalvin Cook, Jay Ajayi, Dion Lewis, Adrian Peterson, Cooper Kupp, Odell Beckham Jr, George Kittle, Ricky Seals-Jones, Jonnu Smith
FantasyDraft Cash Game Picks for Week 3
Players to Target
Patrick Mahomes ($13,600), Matt Ryan ($11,900), Jimmy Garroppolo ($11,900), Drew Brees ($11,500) Deshaun Watson ($11,400)
You cannot go wrong with quarterbacks in either of these two games. 55 total for Kansas City – San Fransicso and 53.5 total for Atlanta – New Orleans. With points flying in these two matchups, the offensives should see a ton of fantasy production. The Saints rank 3rd to last in rushing attempts per game, so expect the Saints to continue to lean on Brees in the passing game. I was high on Matt Ryan last week and he came through with 37 fantasy points. Stay confident in Ryan against New Orleans who have allowed the 3rd most fantasy points to the QB position this season. The Chiefs and Falcons both have subpar defenses in terms of fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks. Chiefs rank dead last against the QB in fantasy and the 49ers have allowed the 7th most fantasy points to the QB.
Outside of those games, Watson is another safe play because of his rushing upside. He has rushed for at least 40 yards in both his games this season and saw a significant boost in production with the return of Will Fuller. Watson averages 35.39 fantasy points/game with Will Fuller in the lineup versus 17.4 with him out of the lineup.
Todd Gurley ($17,300), Tevin Coleman ($11,ooo), Corey Clement ($9,000), Matt Breida ($10,300), James White ($8,000)
These guys are the big volume plays. Gurley just continues to produce at an elite level, and the Chargers rank 8th worst against the running back position. Coleman and Breida come with the PPR upside and will be playing in very high scoring games. Then lastly with Clement, if Ajayi misses, he becomes one of the best values of the week. The Colts defense over the past two weeks has allowed the most receptions (22) to the running back position. Wrapping up with James White, who is essentially a must play across all fantasy formats. White leads the NFL at the running back position in total air yards (152) after the first two weeks.
Michael Thomas ($17,400), Julio Jones ($16,200), Golden Tate ($11,900), Emmanuel Sanders ($11,700)
Julio has to be the elite wide receiver to have across multiple lineups this week. His price is not insane, relative to what we are accustomed to seeing from Julio. However, I fully expect him to produce against Marshon Lattimore who has not played great so far this season. Jones also leads the NFL in airyards creating a large opportunity for big fantasy numbers. Julio last year in two games versus the Saints: 12 catches for 247 yards.
Rob Gronkowski ($13,300), George Kittle ($8,400),
The Kansas City Chiefs-San Fransiciso 49ers games should be one of the highest scoring games of the week. That being said, the Chiefs have one of the worst defenses in the NFL that can be exploited by the tight end position. The Chiefs have allowed the third most receiving yards to the TE position over the first two weeks. A lot of this has to do with safety Eric Berry continuing to miss time.
Vikings ($7,800), Bears ($6,100), Texans ($5,500)
GPP Game Picks for Week 3
To win in tournaments you need to be the contrarian. This is how you win. Diversify your lineups with players that will have low ownership. Identify the chalk players and use that to your advantage. Finding players that you believe at top five upside with bottom 5% ownership is key.
Players to Target
Cam Newton ($11,300), Andy Dalton ($10,500), Philip Rivers ($11,000), Ryan Tannehill ($10,900),
The most underrated game in Week 3, I believe is Bengals @ Panthers. Two teams that are actually quite similar in terms of offensive balance. Carolina averages 25 rushes, and 35 pass attempts per game while the Bengals average 24 rushes and 35 pass attempts per game. The point spread is 44, but I actually expect more fantasy production for both quarterbacks. Newton is running the ball more than ever creating a ton of fantasy upside. For Dalton, the Bengals are coming off ten days of rest and will face a very weak Carolina secondary. Both defenses rank in top 13 in terms of fantasy points allowed to the quarterback position for the first two weeks.
Rivers is very much a contrarian play because of the matchup versus the elite Rams defense. However, I fully anticipate the Chargers to attack the Rams’ linebackers with their running backs in the passing game. It may be all long day for the receivers, but do not fade Rivers because of it. The Chargers have more weapons that can help Rivers have a useful fantasy day.
Melvin Gordon ($15,100), Kenyan Drake ($11,100), Austin Ekeler ($8,100), Latavius Murray ($11,000), Giovani Bernard ($10,400)
Speaking of Chargers’ running backs I love me some Gordon and Ekeler. I actually think you can play both of these players in your GPP lineups. Considering Gordon is averaging 30.60 points/game and Ekler 18.20 points/game in PPR, it seems pretty obvious to try and get as much as you can out of these guys. They will see heavy usage against the Rams defense.
Latavius Murray could end up being one of the most owned players if Dalvin Cook misses. However, because of the matchup against the Bills and Murray’s price, he should be a value either way. If the Vikings get up big, it would only make sense that the Vikings feed Murray over Cook to make sure he remains healthy.
The other running back I like is Kenyan Drake. Drake has dominated the important touches over Frank Gore in the red zone and inside the 10-yard line. The Raiders have allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to the running back position in fantasy along with the third most rushing yards. The Raiders defense overall has been a mess and with the big-play upside that Drake possesses, do not be surprised if pops a big play or two in Week 3. Additionally, knowing that the even if the touches are not as much in Drake’s favor as we would like, the touchdown potential touches are leaning towards Drake.
A.J. Green ($14,100), T.Y. Hilton ($12,600), Will Fuller ($11,000), Marquise Goodwin ($10,400), Kenny Golladay ($8,000), Josh Doctson ($7,300), Paul Richardson Jr ($8,000), Jakeem Grant ($6,500), John Ross ($7,400)
Interestingly enough Josh Doctson ranks second in the NFL in snaps played at the wide receiver position. He has played on over 92% of the snaps, with Paul Richardson Jr, also playing in over 84% of offensive snaps. There could be a sneaky opportunity for these receivers to have productive games versus the Packers in Week 3. The Packers have allowed the fifth most fantasy points to the wide receiver so far in 2018. Also, DB Kevin King is doubtful for this game, exposing a large weakness in the Packers secondary. Richardson would be the first target as of the receiver group he leads the team in airyards, target share, and average depth of the target.
John Ross is the other DFS dart throw I think can produce in Week 3. Ross versus Carolina will most likely draw coverage from Donte Jackson. Jackson is currently dealing with a groin injury creating an opportunity for Ross to create a big play with his speed. Jackson also allowed the second highest percentage of fantasy points per route (.5) of qualified defenders dating back to last season. Teams have attacked Jackson with long passes and have been successful.
Ian Thomas ($5,600), Kyle Rudolph ($8,100), Charles Clay ($5,300)
Over the past two weeks, no team has allowed more fantasy points to the tight end position than the Bengals. Even though Thomas disappointed in Week 2, he was seeing the field. Played in 95.52% of snaps in Week 2 and per Numberfire ran the 2nd-most routes among all tight ends. Rudolph is the other tight end I like to target again because of the matchup. No team has allowed more red zone targets to the tight end position than the Buffalo Bills. And if you really want to throw a dart put play Clay in your GPP lineups. Clay has the highest depth of target (17.7) of any tight end this year with at least six targets. The negative game script for the Bills could see Clay generate more downfield targets.
Dolphins ($4,800), Cowboys ($3,900)
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