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Fantasy Young Gun Quarterbacks 2013

NFL Quarterbacks

The quarterbacks in the 2012 class (minus Kaepernick he was 2011) have set the bar very high for fantasy quarterback production moving forward. The expectations of this class will be difficult to match.

[dropcap]T[/dropcap]he quarterbacks in the 2012 class (minus Colin Kaepernick he was 2011) have set the bar very high for fantasy quarterback production moving forward. The expectations of this class will be difficult to match. Fantasy owners should not buy into the idea that all rookie quarterbacks are created equal. When looking at the 2012 class Tannehill‘s numbers are considered better than the norm for a rookie quarterback. That should allow you to develop expectations for the rookie quarterbacks that you may consider in taking in the 2013 class. 

Andrew Luck

Andrew LuckTo say the number one overall pick in the 2012 draft had a fine rookie campaign would be an understatement. After Indianapolis gutted the front office and much of the team to make room for a new era, Andrew Luck led the early season underdogs into the playoffs. Luck set rookie records for the most pass attempts by a rookie (627, 5th in the league), yards (4,374, 7th in the league), passing yards in a game by a rookie (433 yards), most 300 yard passing games for a rookie (6), most game winning drives and 4th quarter comebacks for a rookie (7), and finally most wins by a #1 overall pick in the rookie season (11).

The down side was a quarterback rating of 76.5 (26th in NFL), 18 Interceptions (tied for 2nd in NFL with Sanchez), and sacked 41 times (4th in the NFL). With Luck entering his second season the Colts will still have to rely on his arm to get them up and down the field. Yet, the addition of a familiar face in offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton, luck’s former offensive coordinator at Stanford, should add a comforting effect to Lucks game and his familiarity with the playbook.

A full offseason of work with young wide receivers T.Y. Hilton, and Lavon Brazil, along with veteran Reggie Wayne should go along way. The underrated tight end tandem of Dwayne Allen and Coby Fleener should also mean a more efficient offense with better numbers for Andrew Luck in 2013. In Luck’s second season I look for the Colts gunslinger to maintain his overall yardage at over 4,000 yards. Look for an increase in touchdown production and a possibly a decrease in interceptions if the front office addresses offensive line issues at the NFL Draft. I wouldn’t be surprised to see Luck finish in the top 10 in overall fantasy production in 2013 for QB’s. With a deep group of productive quarterbacks most owners are getting Andrew Luck in redraft leagues in rounds 5-8, which is a serious value pick considering his huge upside.

Team Standings: Colts 11-5
Lost in Wildcard round of playoffs to Ravens

GP COMP ATT Pass YDS Pass TDs Pass INT Rush ATT Rush YDS Rush TDs Fant. Points QB Rank
16 339 627 4374 23 18 62 255 5 348.2 10

Robert Griffin III

Robert Griffin IIIThe Redskins gave an arm and a leg (no pun intended) for the number two pick in the NFL draft to select Robert Griffin III. It paid huge dividends as RGIII went on to win the 2012 Rookie of the Year and lead the Washington Redskins to the NFL playoffs for the first time since 2007. Robert Griffin III broke many records during his rookie season, including: highest passer rating by a rookie quarterback (102.4, 3rd in the NFL), Highest touchdown to interception ration by a rookie (4 TD: 1 INT), most rushing yards for a rookie quarterback (833, 1st for QB’s) beating Cam Newton’s old record. RGIII was able to do this all of this missing his top wide receiver in Pierre Garcon for six weeks due to a foot injury. RGIII added his own dimension to the Redskins offense that opened up the running game for Alfred Morris (finished with over 1600 rushing yards) second highest number of rushing yards behind only Adrian Peterson.

Although, the newest Redskins QB looked remotely human after injuring his knee in week 14, but continued to play with the injury up until the playoff loss in Atlanta. Following surgery on his ACL and LCL in February recent comments from Dr. James Andrews are very promising for RGIII entering the season. Andrews was recently quoted as calling RGIII “superhuman” in his recovery. Currently RGIII is being drafted in rounds 7-9 and if word gets out that he is recovering quickly this could mean a 3-5 round draft position for the quarterback that finished his rookie season 7th in fantasy points among all quarterbacks. Looks like its going to be a super sophomore season for RGIII barring setbacks of course.

Team Standings: 10-6
Lost in Wildcard round to Seahawks

GP COMP ATT Pass YDS Pass TDs Pass INT Rush ATT Rush YDS Rush TDs Fant. Points QB Rank
15 259 394 3211 20 5 118 833 7 360.9 7

 

Russell Wilson

Russell WilsonRussell Wilson stands tall at 5’11” and it was his physical size that cost him a lot of money at the NFL draft. The Seahawks got amazing value out of the third round pick in his rookie season. Wilson tied Peyton Manning‘s rookie record for the most touchdowns (26) in his rookie season. He also finished second in rookie quarterback rating (100.0) behind only RGIII. Wilson was a value pick by the Seattle Seahawks with the 75th overall pick in the third round. Wilson did not disappoint beating out free agent signing Matt Flynn for the starting job. Wilson orchestrated the Seahawks to 11 wins in the regular season a playoff win against RGIII and the Redskins. Wilson is a hard worker that will not settle for mediocre. Wilson finished with 489 rushing yards, 3rd among quarterbacks behind only Cam Newton and RGIII. Wilson with the help of Marshawn Lynch finished third in the NFL in rushing yards for a team. In free agency the Seahawks have added a new weapon in Percy Harvin. His playmaking ability, and offseason to work with Russell Wilson, should make for a more explosive Seahawks offense in 2013. If the Seahawks lose the reigns on Wilson it could make for some pretty impressive games in 2013 including several 300+ passing yard games. Finishing as the 11th ranked fantasy quarterback, with Wilson’s work ethic and intangibles, along with the addition of Harvin should mean Wilson easily makes it into the top 10 fantasy quarterbacks in 2013.

Team Standings: 11-5

Lost in Divisional round of playoffs to Atlanta

GP COMP ATT Pass YDS Pass TDs Pass INT Rush ATT Rush YDS Rush TDs Fant. Points QB Rank
16 252 393 3118 26 10 94 489 4 322.8 11

Ryan Tannehill

Ryan TannehillTannehill‘s rookie campaign was overshadowed by Luck, RGIII, and Wilson. The Dolphins rookie QB put up very respectable numbers as a first year starter for a team that did not have a true #1 wide receiver.

Ryan Tannehill was taken 8th overall by the Miami Dolphins and spent much of the 2012 season setting franchise records. Most yards thrown in a single game (431 yards) breaking a record set by Dan Marino in 1983, single rush record with a run of 31 yards, and breaking attempts (484), completions (282), and yards thrown (3,294) records for the Dolphins franchise.

Tannehill broke many rookie franchise records set by Dan Marino all despite the fact that his primary target was Brian Hartline. Dolphins added a much needed speedster to the receiving corps in free agency by adding Mike Wallace from Pittsburgh. Wallace gives Tannehill a go to weapon in the passing game that can stretch the field. The loss of left tackle in Jake Long and running back Reggie Bush could effect Tannehill a little but the ability of players like Lamar Miller and Daniel Thomas to step in at running back and the possible addition of offensive line in the draft could sure up Tannehill‘s comfort level in 2013. Look for Tannehill to continue to improve. The positive additions are going to help Tannehill tremendously and he could slide into the top fifteen quarterbacks in 2013.
Team Standings: 7-9

GP COMP ATT Pass YDS Pass TDs Pass INT Rush ATT Rush YDS Rush TDs Fant. Points QB Rank
16 282 484 3294 12 13 49 197 2 231.4 24

 

 

Colin Kaepernick

Fantasy Football Young Gun 2013Kaepernick was drafted by the 49ers in the second round (pick 36) in the 2011 draft. He was rarely used in 2011 outside of the preseason and was mostly a wildcat quarterback early in the 2012 campaign. In week 10 Alex Smith went out with a concussion and Kaepernick and the 49ers did not look back. Kaepernick finished the 2012 season as the 26th ranked fantasy quarterback after starting only eight regular season games.

In Kaepernick’s eight starts he scored 178.5 points and if we extrapolated those stats over the course of a season and Kaepernick would have finished as the eighth ranked quarterback. In divisional round playoff game against Green Bay Kaepernickscored 51.2 fantasy points and rushed for a playoff record 181 rushing yards eclipsing Michael Vick’s 2002 mark of 173 yards.

After a successful 2012 season the 49ers head into the new year with the addition of recent Super Bowl Champ Anquan Boldin. This provides the 49ers with a great possession receiver playing opposite Michael Crabtree. Vernon Davis continues to hold the role as primary tight end for the 49ers  and may see a small increase in targets after the team lost Delanie Walker in free agency to the Tennessee Titans.

With an entire offseason to work as the teams QB1, it’s easy to predict Kaepernick will finish in the top ten in fantasy points. With his ability to run and pass adds extra value to quickly racking up fantasy points every Sunday. The weapons are there, the offensive line and running game have had no real set backs and the team has a huge chip on their shoulder, fantasy owners should not overlook the late round value of Colin Kaepernick.

Team Standings: 11-4-1
Lost in Super Bowl to the Ravens

GP COMP ATT Pass YDS Pass TDs Pass INT Rush ATT Rush YDS Rush TDs Fant. Points QB Rank
13 136 218 1809 10 3 63 417 5 199.2 26
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