Fantasy Football Sleepers Week 12
Happy Thanksgiving — I hope you don’t spend too much money on Back Friday. But enough of that. If you watched the Thanksgiving Day slate of games, you’ve noticed the missing nightcap between the Steelers and Ravens. It was postponed to Sunday at 1 p.m. However, if you read in between the national media’s reports and rumors about the situation, it is safe to assume that game will be pushed out of Week 12. Be prepared.
Here are the other NFL news, rumors, and injuries that could affect your fantasy football lineups for Week 12.
- ESPN’s Adam Schefter is reporting that the Ravens’ team facility will be closed until Monday “at the earliest”
- NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport reports Lamar Jackson tested positive for COVID-19
- Bears QB Mitchell Trubisky is expected to start in Week 12
- Rams placed LB Micah Kiser on injured reserve
- 49ers RB Tevin Coleman (knee) was limited in practice on Thursday
- 49ers Deebo Samuel (hamstring) was limited in practice on Thursday
- Seahawks RB Chris Carson (foot) was limited in practice on Thursday
- Falcons RB Todd Gurley (knee) is out for Week 12
- Rams TE Tyler Higbee (elbow) did not practice Thursday
- Packers WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling (Achilles’) was limited for Thursday’s practice
- Bears QB Nick Foles (hip) remained sidelined for Thursday’s practice
- Jets QB Sam Darnold (shoulder) was a full participant for Thursday’s practice
- Bengals QB Giovani Bernard (concussion) was a limited participant for Thursday’s practice
- Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa (thumb) was a limited participant for Thursday’s practice
- Dolphins RB Salvon Ahmed (shoulder) remained sidelined for Thursday’s practice
- Packers WR Davante Adams (ankle) is expected to play in Week 12 despite his limited practice designations
- Cardinals WR Larry Fitzgerald tested positive for COVID-19 and will miss Week 12
The following is a recap of the players from my Fantasy Football Sleepers article last week, you can read that here.
Fantasy Sleepers Week 11: Full-Disclosure
|Player||Position||PPR Rank||PPR Points|
|Jameis Winston/ Taysom Hill||QB||QB4||24.2|
QB Fantasy Football Sleepers Week 12
ESPN Start-Percentage: 25.9
Another game with Taysom Hill starting, another game you can fire him up in your fantasy football lineup. Only this time, you can do it with a semblance of confidence. I was one of the biggest Hill detractors out there before last week, but it was because I have never seen him operate as a quarterback at the pro level. That matters.
However, Hill dazzled in his first career start. He got the win. He also racked up 24.2 fantasy points, ending as the QB4. Hill failed to throw for a touchdown, but he managed two on the ground to go along with his 49 rushing yards on 10 carries and his 233 passing yards on 18-of-23 passes (78.3%).
While I do believe Sean Payton will manage Hill as well as the game, there is production to be had by the versatile Swiss Army Knife-type signal-caller, especially in his upcoming matchup at Denver. With a mere 43.5-point Over/ Under total at the sportsbooks, Vegas also believes this will be a low-scoring affair. You’re not employing Hill for his ceiling, you are starting him for his floor. The Broncos’ defense is allowing the 17th most FPPG to QBs (19.0). They’ve also yielded at least 74 rushing yards and a touchdown to two different QBs this season (Cam Newton, Sam Darnold).
ESPN Start-Percentage: 9.8
Daniel Jones had an awful start to the year. And while he is still not exactly lighting it up, he’s been trending in the right direction. In three of his past four games, Jones has finished as a QB1 twice. He’s also accumulated at least 18 fantasy points in those three outings.
In each of the past three games, Jones has passed for 212+ yards, his longest stretch over 200 yards passing in 2020. Jones is also in the midst of a five-game streak accounting for at least one touchdown. If you remember, he went four consecutive games without a score earlier this season. Going back-to-back games without a giveaway, you can tell that he is getting better. So are the Giants.
Whether it is the fact that he is growing comfortable in Jason Garrett’s system, the fact that Wayne Gallman has added a much-needed second dimension to the offense for the first time sans Saquon Barkley, or a combination of things, it doesn’t seem like Jones is feeling as much pressure as he was earlier this year. Jones will look to keep the Giants in the race for first place in the NFC East with a win over the Bengals this week in a game New York should win considering Joe Burrow’s absence.
Cincinnati’s defense, while better than in year’s past, is still not a top half of the league unit. They are a top 12 unit in most fantasy points allowed against all positions. For Jones’ sake, the Bengals defense is surrendering the 12th most FPPG (19.9) to QBs. They’ve also given up 19+ fantasy points to four of the past five QBs they’ve faced, including three surpassing 20 against them in that period (Philip Rivers, Baker Mayfield, Ben Roethlisberger).
As long as Jones protects the football and does not stall drives by giving the ball to the other side, he will maneuver his offense in the money area. Jones also brings a rushing floor, running for 42+ yards in 5-of-10 games played this season, including three outings with 64+ yards in his past five games.
RB Fantasy Football Sleepers Week 12
ESPN Start-Percentage: 29.1
When I ask myself, “Is there really a need for fantasy football experts?” Then, I see that Wayne Gallman is only being started in 29.1% of leagues at ESPN Fantasy and I say, “Oh right, yes there is.” What are ya’ll waiting for? Gallman to play like Saquon Barkley to start him more? Because that is never going to happen. Gallman is not an elite talent. However, is Gallman better than Gio Bernard, Duke Johnson, and Kalen Ballage? Yes. However, they are all being started in a higher percentage of leagues than Gallman. Meanwhile, Gallman is the RB8 since Week 7 averaging 15.8 PPR points per game. Gallman has logged 54 total yards and a touchdown in each of his past four games, scoring five times in that period.
Gallman gets a chance to extend his streak in a terrific matchup with the Bengals. Cincinnati’s defense is surrendering the 11th most FPPG (19.5) to enemy backs. Their defense has given up 15+ PPR points to four different backs in five games since Week 6, including three touchdowns in that timespan. While Alfred Morris has carried the ball 8+ times in each of the past three games he’s been active, Gallman remains the Giants back to covet for your fantasy teams.
ESPN Start-Percentage: 11.9
James White has been, well, a shell of himself without Tom Brady this season. However, with Rex Burkhead slated to miss the rest of the year with his knee injury, it is White’s time to shine. Leading up to last week, White played in seven games, scoring 12+ PPR points in two of them. They were the only two games this season in which White scored in the double digits. That is, however, until last week in which he logged 14.3, his most since Week 6.
In the three games in which White scored 12+ PPR points, he had 8+ targets. He also had at least 6+ receptions and 54+ yards in all three of those matchups, including a 6/83/0 line on nine targets last week. White has not scored a touchdown all season. That all could change on Sunday against the Cardinals. Not only is Burkhead out — Burkhead was heavily used in the passing game and the red area — but the Cardinals defense is yielding the 19th most FPPG (17.6) to enemy backs. With the opportunity in front of him — White is the most reliable pass-catching back on the roster with no legit competition — he should be a fine PPR Flex play in Week 12.
ESPN Start-Percentage: 7.9
The Bills backfield remains up for grabs between Devin Singletary and Zack Moss. However, in each of the past four games since Week 7, Moss had out-produced Singeltary. In four games since Week 7, Moss had 10+ PPR points in three straight leading into his last game in Week 10 in which he put up a dud preceding Buffalo’s Week 11 bye. In that same time period, Singletary had one game with 10+ PPR points. Moss also bettered Singeltary in touches (43-to-35), total yards (218-to-183), and touchdowns (3-to-0). As I said, while both Moss and Singletary were utter disappointments back in Week 10, Moss had 2.7 PPR points to Singletary’s 2.0.
Moss had a two-game scoring streak snapped in his last outing preceding his Week 11 bye. He will look to get back into the end zone and fantasy relevancy on Sunday facing the Chargers, whose defense can be gashed at all three levels. The Chargers’ defense is allowing the 14th most FPPG (19.1) to enemy backs. They’ve given up 10+ PPR points to right different backs in six games since Week 5 with seven of those rushers finishing with north of 12 points. While Moss might need to score to return his highest value, the Chargers have allowed right TDs to RBs in their past six games.
WR Fantasy Football Sleepers Week 12
ESPN Start-Percentage: 12.2
With John Brown (ankle) set to miss Sunday’s toilet against the Chargers, Cole Beasley should be in line for an increase in targets. Brown missed two games earlier in the year back in Week 5 and Week 7. In Week 5, Beasley hauled in all six of his targets for 54 yards (11.3 PPR points). In Week 7, he went for an 11/112/0 line on 12 targets. Those 12 targets were his season-high until drawing 13 opportunities in his last outing back in Week 10 going into his Week 11 bye. Beasley finished with 22.2 PPR points in Week 7, his second-most of the year until Week 10 (27.9).Beasley has also been consistent, scoring 10+ PPR points in seven of his past nine games since Week 2.
Beasley has drawn 12+ targets, 11+ receptions, and 101+ yards in two of his past four games since Week 7, finding as he WR11 and WR1 in those two outings (Week 7 and 10). He will look to keep it moving against the Chargers on Sunday, whose defense is stingy against the pass but can certainly be beaten up. Los Angeles’ defense is allowing the eighth fewest FPPG (21.1) to WRs.
ESPN Start-Percentage: 12.0
Michael Pittman was banged up earlier in the year, but in his past two games, the rookie wideout is finding his own. Pittman has finished as a WR2 or better in each of his past two games with at least 15 PPR points. While in Week 10, he went for a 7/101/0 line on eight targets against the Titans, he put up a 3/66/1 line on three targets in last week’s win over Green Bay. In a three-game sample size sine Week 9, Pittman hauled in 14-of-18 targets for 223 yards and a touchdown. Pittman’s Week 11 score was the first touchdown by a Colts wideout since Week 6 (Zach Pascal), ending a three-game drought.
Pittman will look to keep it rolling on Sunday against a Titans team he’s already played well against two weeks ago. He had the aforementioned 7/101/0 line against them, beginning his mini-breakout. The Tennessee defense is surrendering the 11th most FPPG (25.5) to fantasy WRs. While they can be lit up, they are playing better. Since Week 8, the Titans have not allowed a receiver to score a TD against them, while only letting one fo north of 100 yards receiving (Pittman) in that four-game period.
[lv] Nelson Agholor
ESPN Start-Percentage: 10.0
It’s not a stretch to think Nelson Agholor is Las Vegas’ top wide receiver this season not named Darren Waller. Waller is a tight end but is employed as the team’s pseudo WR1. Agholor is third on the team in targets (38), receptions (24), second in yards (443), and first in TDs (6). While Agholor is Las Vegas’ big-play threat — still not sure why they signed him and drafted Henry Ruggs as they both essentially do the same thing — but it is what it is. Agholor is 5th in yards per reception (18.5), 4th in yards per target (11.7), and second in fantasy points per target (2.74) this season so far.
In five of his past seven games since Week 4, Agholor has 13.5+ PPR points. He also has five of his six TDs on the year in that time span. Agholor has two games with nine targets his season. Both of which, coming in his past five games, including last week. In both of those nine target outings, Agholor has caught at least five receptions for 88+ yards and a TD. He’s finished as the WR13 in both of those matchups with 21.7 and 20.8 PPR points respectively in Week 7 and Week 11. Agholor gets the Falcons on Sunday, whose defense is surrendering the third-most FPPG (29.2) to WRs.
TE Fantasy Football Sleepers Week 12
ESPN Start-Percentage: 15.1
Many are down on Robert Tonyan lately, which is warranted. Since opening the year with 10+ PPR points in each of his first three games played since Week 2, he drastically colled off. He’s only managed two games with 10+ PPR points in his past six outings since Week 6. Tonyan has finished as a top-six tight end in two of his past four games since Week 8. He’s drawn at least five targets, caught at least five passes for 44+ yards in those outings. He scored his first touchdown since Week 4 in last week’s loss to the Colts.
While Tonyan doesn’t have the greatest matchup on paper against the Beats on Sunday, it is better than you’d think. As terrific as Chicago’s defense has been, their weakness is defending the enemy tight end. Chicago’s defense is allowing the 10th most FPPG (8.9) to TEs this season. They are in the midst of a four-game streak yielding 10+ PPR points to the opposing team’s top-producing tight end (Gerald Everett, Jared Cook, Jonnu Smith, Kyle Rudolph), allowing three touchdowns in that period.
ESPN Start-Percentage: 0.8
With Greg Olsen out for the remainder of the season, it is finally time to unleash Will Dissly. You remember him right? While he’s only scored one touchdown this season and failing to top two receptions and 38 yards in a single game — his season-high four targets only happened once, every other game he’s drawn fewer than two — he has a terrific track record in his first two seasons in the league. While perennially hampered by injury, Dissly was productive when he is on the field and awarded the opportunity. In the first 10 games of his career spanning from 2018-2019, Dissly logged 10+ PPR points six times with six touchdowns in those 10 outings.
Any player with that type of return while playing in such a short sample size is either special or has something special with his quarterback. And we already know Russell Wilson is special. With Olsen sidelined, Dissly could finally get his chance in 2020. While he could cede snaps to Jacob Hollister, I believe Dissly will be the primary tight end in Seattle for the rest of the way. Dissly has played in more snaps than Hollister in all but one this season in which they’ve played together (seven), including last week, the Olsen injury game. Dissly played in 66.1% of the team snaps, his second-highest mark of the season while Hollister drew 22%. Despite the high-variance in snap share, however, Dissly ran eight routes while Hollister ran seven. If the snap share is any indicator, Dissly is the tight end to covet in Seattle.
Dissly will have an excellent chance to finish as a TE1 this week getting the Eagles, whose defense is allowing the ninth-most FPPG (8.9) to challenging tight ends. While from Weeks 1-8, the Eagles have allowed six different tight ends to finish with 10+ PPR points against them, they’ve given up fewer than three receptions and 33 yards to all of the tight ends they’ve faced in each of the past two games (Giants, Browns).
Thanks for reading Fantasy Football Sleepers Week 12.