Fantasy Football

Fantasy Football Overreactions From Week 4


Fantasy Football Overreactions

It’s overreaction Week4, and yes, it is a reasonable time to overreact. Justin Herbert warrants an overreaction because he is simply superhuman. He is donning a flack vest and passing (yet again) for 340 yards and two touchdowns in the Los Angeles Chargers’ 34-24 beatdown of the Houston Texans. The Las Vegas Raiders escaped the panic by finally winning a game and beating the hapless Denver Broncos 32-23.

So, while an overreaction can be both good and bad, is it wrong that we concentrate on the “bad” ones? Is there such a thing as a bad overreaction when it is absolutely correct?

Here are a few overreactions from Week4. You decide if it is an overreaction or spot on time to panic.

Brady Will Not Save the Bucs

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 2-2 and tied for first place in the NFC South. Tom Brady has attempted 155 passes and completed 106. He has been sacked seven times with six touchdowns and one interception.

Maybe the Buccaneers (season) cannot be saved. The Buccaneers have had an astonishing number of injuries and no-shows. Tight end Rob Gronkowski was a no-show. Chris Godwin came into the season with an injury that hampered him. Then there was Julio Jones injured and Mike Evans suspended. Then, of course, there were/are the stupid penalties and the unnecessary turnovers.

Overreaction? No, Brady cannot save the Buccaneers. They are going to have to figure out a way to save themselves.

Who Needs Dak?

Cooper Rush is 3-0 as a Dallas Cowboy this season. His stats:

  • vs. Cincinnati Bengals: 19-of-31, 235 yards, one touchdown, 0 interceptions
  • @New York Giants: 21-of-31, 215 yards, one touchdown, 0 interceptions
  • vs. Washington: 15-of-27, 223 yards, 2 touchdowns, 0 interceptions
  • Now the last time we saw Dak Prescott was Week1. His stats were:
  • 14-of-29, 134 yards, 0 touchdowns, and one interception.

Rush did come into the game after the injury to Prescott. Their one loss didn’t come with Rush under center. Rush’s stats were:

7-of-13, 64 yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions.

Do you see what I see? The Cowboys are 3-1.

Overreaction? Yes, especially if you look at the quality of opponents. Per Fanduel, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have the fifth-best defense going into Week5. The Bengals, Giants, and Washington aren’t even in the top 12.

This week Dallas plays the Los Angeles Rams. The Rams are currently the fifth-ranked defense. If Rush is still under center and wins this game, we will talk next week about overreaction or not.

Saints Are Better With Andy Dalton Under Center

Andy Dalton played in the London game against Minnesota as Jameis Winston is recovering from a “transverse fracture” in his back. Winston has reportedly been dealing with the injury since the season’s first game.

The Saints are 1-2 with an injured Winston under center. He has 115 passing attempts and 858 passing yards and has been sacked 11 times. He also has thrown four touchdowns and five interceptions.

Dalton passed for 236 yards with one touchdown and zero interceptions against Minnesota. He attempted 28 passes and was sacked twice.

Leading up to the London game, Winston said he was “held out of practice” while the coach labeled his misses “rest days.”

The question isn’t whether the Saints are better with Dalton under center but is Winston better not playing until his back (and ankle) heal?

Overreaction? Perhaps Dalton is best for Winston. In light of recent quarterback injuries, doing what’s best for one’s health shouldn’t be solely a player’s decision.

Matthew Stafford Is Broken

It is hard to argue with that. Stafford began the season with an elbow injury. The Rams and Stafford downplayed the severity of the injury. Then the season began.

Stafford has tossed six interceptions to four touchdowns and 16 sacks. The Rams are 2-2 and look much worse.

Their two wins came against the Atlanta Falcons, where they only won by four points after dominating the Falcons 21-3 at halftime. The Rams score one touchdown in the third quarter and a field goal in the fourth quarter. The final score was 31-27.

The second win was against the Arizona Cardinals, who the Rams have dominated lately, including the 34-11 defeat in the playoffs last year.

Wins against teams you are supposed to beat aren’t impressive. And when we talk about Stafford a win against the Cardinals where he didn’t throw a touchdown pass (breaking a rather impressive streak of 24 games of touchdown passes), it gives slight pause.

Overreaction? For fantasy football managers, this isn’t an overreaction. It could be a Super Bowl hangover, or the league has caught up with the ingenuity of Sean McVay, or maybe Stafford is broken. For the reality of the sport, the Rams have a little more time to sort it out.

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