Fantasy Football Likes/Dislikes
In an effort to aid you in your lineup-setting endeavors, I’ll be providing a weekly glimpse into my rankings; meaning, I’ll be highlighting players I like or dislike more compared to the expert consensus rankings as listed on FantasyPros.com or who I simply like or dislike for that given week. My ranking at the time of the writing will be alongside the player’s name. Needless to say, that ranking will likely change as the week progresses. Bear in mind that I commence this writing earlier in the week, so Expert Consensus Rankings will likely be different by the time of publication. These cannot be held against me – only used for credit.
While I do acknowledge that kickers are people too, neither they nor D/STs will be included.
Finally, these cannot be held against me – only used to give credit when credit is due. As always, feel free to reach me on Twitter for any queries before the slate and I’ll try to get back to you.
*Note that half PPR scoring applies.
** The Thanksgiving slate is excluded. A Happy Thanksgiving to you and yours!
Week 12 Likes
OAK vs. ATL – QB7
After averaging a pedestrian 143 passing yards over his last three games, Carr went for 183 yards in the first half alone on Sunday night. He finished with 275 yards and three touchdowns while throwing an interception on a desperate attempt at the end of regulation. As has been well documented, the Falcons are near the bottom of the league in pass defense in 2020. Pick up Nelson Agholor if he’s available, by the way.
This should be a fun, high-scoring barn burner. The Vegas lines open with a 55-point spread and the Raiders as a three-point favorite. I can’t go as high as Top 5, but Carr will comfortably be placed inside my Top 10 quarterbacks.
PHI vs. SEA – QB12
Similar to Marquise Brown in Week 11, Carson Wentz seemingly has one more shot to prove he deserves to be considered as a fantasy starter before we bench him for the rest of the year. Brown ruined his chance, here’s to hoping Wentz doesn’t.
We can only blame the offensive line, injuries, etc. for so long. Wentz has played poorly; there’s no denying it. He’s been a turnover machine and has not impressed with decision making. This is his last chance, at least in my book. It doesn’t feel right, but he’s a fringe QB1.
MIA @ NYJ – RB16
Volume has been huge for Ahmed since he took over for Myles Gaskin. He has averaged nearly 20 touches per game over the last two weeks. While he didn’t perform as well on the ground against the Broncos (called it, guys), his usage in the receiving game was boosted considerably to the tune of five catches on six targets for 31 yards. The Jets reside in the bottom half of the league in fantasy rush defense. The volume and the matchup make for a delicious recipe for success as long as he’s full go. He missed practice Wednesday, so we’ll need to monitor his status in the coming days.
NYG @ CIN – RB15
Don’t look now, but Gallman has been playing like a bona fide fantasy stud since assuming New York’s backfield reins. In fact, he’s the RB7 (!) over the last five weeks. I’ll be tempted to plug him into my Top 12 running backs in a matchup that’s almost as delicious as mashed potatoes and gravy.
PHI vs. SEA – WR38
There is no better spot for a rebound game than this one for Travis Fulgham. It’s not that he’s not being targeted. He’s averaged six targets over his last two contests while catching TWO total passes. As was stated previously, Carson Wentz has played poorly.
If Wentz and the Philly offense can’t get back on track in a substantial way at home versus the league’s worst pass defense then there is legitimate cause for concern for the remainder of the season. Since Seattle easily permits the most fantasy points per game to wide receivers (44.5), I’m deploying Fulgham as a flex at worst.
IND vs. TEN – WR34
Mr. Pittman is the No. 1 wide receiver in Indianapolis, at least as long as Parris Campbell remains out of commission. I don’t know if that’s a controversial take or not. Yeah, the targets left something to be desired last week. I’m still on board.
Over his last three contests, Pittman has averaged nearly five catches on six targets for 74 yards. We saw him score the first touchdown of his professional career last weekend as he scampered past the Packers secondary. Wide receivers have done well this year when playing the Titans (tied for eighth-most fantasy points per game). Pittman will absolutely be a flex option for me in Week 11.
LAC @ BUF – TE5
Henry is starting to perform on a consistent basis. The numbers don’t jump out of the box score, but he’s caught four passes in each of his last four contests and has scored in each of his last two outings.
Buffalo has not defended tight ends well. They are in the bottom five in fantasy points yielded to the position. While the Bills are coming off their bye week, I expect Henry to attain TE1 status with ease with the freshly trimmed rookie quarterback Justin Herbert throwing his way.
DEN vs. NO – TE9
We all know – or at least should know – that Fant can contribute more than he has been. His lackluster stat lines can be attributed to Drew Lock’s all-too-frequent ineptitude, Fant being at less than full health and the emergence of Jerry Jeudy and K.J. Hamler.
I’m banking on a rebound performance as Fant serves as Lock’s safety valve against a tough Saints defense. If the New Orleans defense has a weakness, it’s defending the tight end position.
Week 12 Dislikes
TEN @ IND – QB21
I’m not one to bet against Ryan Tannehill. He’s fine if you only have options like Ben Roethlisberger or Jared Goff or one of a multitude of backups that are starting now. Did you know, though, that Tannehill’s worst performance this year was when he faced the division rival Colts earlier this month? I’ll have him ranked well outside of QB1 territory.
SF @ LAR – Outside Top 25
We saw what the Rams did to Tom Brady on Sunday night. The NFC Los Angeles defense has been playing elite football of late, admitting just 270 total yards per game over the last five weeks. Mullens ain’t ready for the brick wall that will come in the form of Aaron Donald, Jalen Ramsey and company. I’m swiping left on Mullens unless I’m desperate in superflex formats.
DEN vs. NO – RB36
It’s difficult including Gordon as a dislike after his stellar Week 10 performance that saw him scamper for 84 yards and a couple of touchdowns. The Saints are a different animal against the run. They’ve surrendered the fewest fantasy points, fewest rushing yards and fewest total touchdowns to running backs through 10 games.
Not only does Gordon face this stalwart, his partner in crime – Phillip Lindsay – split backfield duties at what was essentially a 50-50 clip against the Dolphins. I’ll be ranking Gordon lower than I should.
KC @ TB – RB45
I hate to deflate the balloon that is Bell scoring his first touchdown as a Chief last week. Oh well. He’s not seeing enough touches to warrant anything more than flex consideration. I’m not even sure I’d start him as a flex in this matchup.
The Buccaneers have surrendered the fewest rushing yards in the NFL at a clip of 53 RUSHING YARDS A GAME. The only person starting Bell in their fantasy league(s) in Week 12 should be his mother.
GB vs. CHI – Outside Top 60
I won’t be surprised if this game hits the under; it could be an ugly NFC North battle. That’s not to say that I trust MVS in more attractive matchups either. Granted, he has played well of late. There is some touchdown dependency going on here, folks. Three touchdowns in his last three games? Not even close to sustainable. He found the end zone once over the season’s first seven sporting events.
Remember, too, that Allen Lazard has returned, Davante Adams and Aaron Jones demand as many touches as they can handle and Robert Tonyan is always a threat over the middle of the field. I’m not saying I absolutely won’t start MVS. I will at least be ranking him lower than consensus.
CHI @ GB – Outside Top 60
The only Bear I’m starting in Week 12 if David Montgomery sits again is Allen Robinson. That won’t be with confidence either as he could face a shadow from Jaire Alexander. Opposing offenses don’t pass against Green Bay. The Packers really only give up yards on the ground, and they give those up abundantly. We can’t trust Miller in good matchups; why trust him here?
LAR vs. SF – Outside Top 25
Ha! You guys thought Higbee was going to start producing again after his 60-yard display two weeks ago? Nope. I try to avoid using “literally” much, but Higbee has literally crafted ONE good game this season. One. In that game, he scored three touchdowns. He has not scored in any other contest. Even with four teams playing on Thursday, I’m looking elsewhere at tight end on Sunday.
CHI @ GB – TE24
I won’t go too in-depth here. The Packers have given up the fourth-fewest catches to tight ends in 2020 and Chicago’s subpar quarterback play is unavoidable.
Zach hails from the bustling metropolis of Cheyenne, Wyoming. Three things Zach enjoys are football, food and water. Three things Zach doesn’t enjoy are kale, mushrooms and the company of those who enjoy either (except hobbits). Zach is a life-long Broncos fan and has been playing fantasy football longer than he hasn’t. He had top-five finishes in FantasyPros’ 2016 NFL DFAC competition and the 2016 SFB480.