Buy Low Sell High

Fantasy Football Buy Low Sell High Week 6

By Leo Sells

Posted on October 11, 2023

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BUY LOW SELL HIGH Week 6

The first five weeks of the fantasy football season have not been particularly kind. We’ve seen a number of elite players go down with injuries, most recently Justin Jefferson and De’Von Achane in Week 5. If you’ve had bad injury luck, that’s obviously less than ideal, but you’re not dead in the water. Today, we’re going to look at a few players you should be looking to bring in to boost your team and a few guys that you should be selling off while their value is still high.

Buy

Jonathan Taylor, RB

If you started Jonathan Taylor last week, you got burned. He scored less than five points in PPR formats, and he was completely outplayed by backup Zack Moss, who went for over 160 yards and two touchdowns on the ground. The thing is, we should’ve seen it coming. And many fantasy managers did. We heard before the game that Indianapolis was planning on limiting his usage as he ramps up, and that was a major red flag for the bust game that was to come.

Even though he looked underwhelming last week, we can’t forget that he’s one of the best running backs in football when fully healthy. Also, the Colts just gave him a monster 3-year, $42 million extension before Week 5, and they didn’t give him all that money to use Zack Moss as their bellcow. His workload will continue to get ramped up over the next couple of weeks, and now, they’ll need to lean on him even more with QB Anthony Richardson set to miss multiple weeks because of a shoulder injury. Taylor is an elite back from a talent perspective and will remind us of that when he gets fully unleashed in the near future.

https://twitter.com/JimIrsay/status/1710727175656087660

Bijan Robinson, RB

Robinson has had a very interesting rookie year so far. He started out strong, with two top-ten finishes in his first two career games. That brought on a lot of hype for him as a potential top-3 guy for the rest of the year, but he’s followed up on that with some underwhelming performances that has thrown some cold water on that hype. Playing on the Falcons’ offense hasn’t helped that. They haven’t looked potent over the past few weeks, and that’s led to negative game scripts and less scoring opportunities for the rookie.

I don’t think people appreciate or take into account just how consistent he is. He hasn’t finished outside of the top-24 in any week this year and has three finishes as an RB1 to complement that. He’s also been very involved as a pass catcher, logging five or more targets in all but one game this year. He also has yet to get a rushing touchdown this year, which leaves a lot of room for him to grow and improve moving forward. The main thing we’ve learned from watching him is that he’s just really good. The touchdowns will come, and when they do, the rookie will be valued much higher than he is right now coming off of an underwhelming outing in Week 5.

https://twitter.com/ATLFalconsMuse/status/1711773508206768281

CeeDee Lamb, WR

It’s been a bit of a disappointing season for Lamb so far. Through the first five games of the year, he’s the WR16 in PPR leagues and is averaging less points per game than players like Jakobi Meyers, Josh Reynolds, Gabe Davis, and George Pickens. That’s not something that the fantasy community saw coming with his preseason ADP in the late first or early-second round. Some are getting worried about Dallas’ offense, with them putting up two disappointing performances in the last three weeks.

It’s been bumpy so far, but let’s not forget who we’re talking about here. Lamb is one of the most talented receivers in football, and even though his production hasn’t been there yet, it’s a good bet to say that he’ll bounce back. He only has one touchdown on the year so far, and that’s bound to go up over the next few weeks as the offense bounces back. Betting on a great player who’s underperforming is usually a good bet, and Lamb is as good as they come for a buy-low player.

Other good buy-low options:

• Diontae Johnson, WR
• Chris Olave, WR
• Lamar Jackson, QB

 

Sell

George Pickens, WR

Maybe I’m biased because I was pretty well out on Pickens before the year, but I want nothing to do with him on my rosters. Yes, he’s coming off of a big performance in Week 5, but that’s exactly why I think he should be traded right now. Prior to last week, he finished inside of the top-37 WRs on a given week just once. That’s pretty insane. He’s super inconsistent, and while he has the potential to boom every week, he also has the potential to bust and lose you your week.

He did well last week, but there’s reason to think he won’t be able to keep that up moving forward. The Steelers were missing two of their top pass catchers in Diontae Johnson and Pat Freiermuth, and both of them have a good chance of returning following the team’s bye in Week 6. That will take even more targets away from Pickens, who already doesn’t get a ton of targets on a low-volume offense. Him having a good fantasy outing requires a touchdown, and if he doesn’t get it, he will bust. That’s not someone I want on my teams, especially when he plays for a low-powered offense that doesn’t score a lot of points. Capitalize on his value while he still has it.

Steelers wide receiver Diontae Johnson says “hell yeah” he’s going to play against the L.A. Rams in Week 7 after the team returns from the bye.

He’s been on IR with a hamstring injury sustained in Week 1. pic.twitter.com/yBowfn4x7L

— Brooke Pryor (@bepryor) October 10, 2023

Zack Moss, RB

Moss was on this list last week, and he made me look bad when he ran for 165 yards and two touchdowns in a win over the Titans. However, I’m doubling down. He’s due for regression, and the return of Jonathan Taylor is going to expedite that. Right now, he’s on pace for around 17 touchdowns over the course of the 17-game season. That simply is not going to happen. Last year, Austin Ekeler led all running backs in touchdowns with 18. And let me tell you, Zack Moss is no Austin Ekeler.

I will concede that Moss has been great this year. There’s no way around that, and he’s proven that he will be a great handcuff running back for the rest of the year. The thing is that people are valuing him like a starter now that he continues to produce well with Jonathan Taylor back in the lineup. Taylor’s involvement is bound to go way up over the next few weeks; I mean, they didn’t give him a massive three-year extension to be the backup. Moss will take more of a back seat in the coming weeks and is due for negative touchdown regression in the near future, making him an easy sell-high candidate coming off of a monster Week 5 showing.

https://twitter.com/NFL/status/1711422520921030810

Drake London, WR

Don’t look now, but London is starting to make a bit of a comeback. He’s averaging 7.5 targets per game since his goose egg in Week 1, and now he’s getting to the level where he’s borderline startable in a typical 12-person fantasy league. However, I’m not bought in. I’ve been out on him since before the draft season, and that’s going to continue even with him picking it up a little bit recently.

A lot of fantasy managers are excited that his production is getting better, but that still hasn’t amounted to much. He has just two finishes as a WR2 this year, and he’s not somebody you’re going to want to start on a week-to-week basis. He still plays on a very low-volume passing offense that doesn’t score a lot of points. He also has a lot of volatility week-to-week that can lead to him losing you a week, and I’d be looking to package him for someone more consistent while he still has still has any value.

Other good sell-high options:

• Gabe Davis, WR
• George Kittle, TE
• Dallas Goedert, TE