BUY LOW SELL HIGH WEEK 2
A lot happened in the first week of the NFL season. We got injuries, underperformers, breakout games, and interesting usage for some players that we hoped would take a step up. Some may argue that you shouldn’t be buying or selling any players on your fantasy teams after just one week of action, but I think right now one of the easiest times to get value and capitalize on your overreacting league-mates. Today, we’ll take a look at three players that are undervalued that you should be looking to buy and three that you should be looking to sell while you can still get good positive value for them:
Gibbs was pretty frustrating on Thursday night. A lot of fantasy managers started him with the hope that he would be able to dominate a sub-par Chiefs defensive line who was missing its best player, but he ended the night with an underwhelming eight points in PPR formats. There’s two things that many people aren’t considering.
First of all, we knew this was going to happen! Dan Campbell told us before the game that they were going to limit his work and ease him in, and now everyone is surprised when they did exactly that? Doesn’t make sense to me. Campbell has already mentioned that he’s going to start getting more touches, so this won’t be an issue for much longer. Secondly, he nearly had a great game despite only getting nine touches on the night. He missed a wide-open hole on one play and slipped on a play that he almost certainly would’ve scored on, so if you consider that, you’ll see that he almost had a very good fantasy outing despite the low volume. He’s explosive, young, and talented. Go see if the Jahmyr Gibbs manager in your league is panicking after Week 1 and try to get him for a discount while you still can.
Last night was only the start for Jahmyr Gibbs 💪
— PFF Fantasy & Betting (@PFF_Fantasy) September 8, 2023
Wow. That was a rough one for Tee Higgins and the Bengals on Sunday. He had a very solid eight targets on the day, but he somehow didn’t come down with any of them. That’s scaring off a lot of people who drafted him, but I want to remind people that he’s volatile every year. He always has poor games (though not usually this bad), but he makes up for them when he has “boom” games and goes for 35 points.
Realistically, how often are we going to see Joe Burrow only throw for 82 yards? The answer might very well be never again. It was super rainy all day in Cleveland, and we saw both quarterbacks missing routine throws. I don’t expect that to happen again, and under better conditions, I think Higgins actually has a fine game. He burned fantasy managers with his goose egg in Week 1, but that opens up possibly the cheapest buying window you’ll get for him all year.
The juxtaposition of views on Lamar Jackson two weeks ago versus today is crazy. During draft season, he was being hailed as a super high-upside pick who has the potential to win you your league in his new offensive scheme. Now, after one week, everyone’s out on him and the dream is dead? I’m not there yet. Baltimore’s running backs took all three touchdowns that were scored in the game, and that’s just not going to happen every week, especially when they aren’t playing the lowly Texans’ run defense.
It’s crazy to say this, but Jackson looked like more or less of a game manager on Sunday. That’s because that’s all Baltimore needed him to do. In more competitive games, I expect that he’ll run the ball more and sling it downfield. The imminent return of Mark Andrews should help with that, and the performance of rookie Zay Flowers in Week 1 should also offer some confidence that this passing offense will be strong. He still has that elite upside that everyone thought during draft season; don’t be dissuaded by one poor week.
😩Rusty As🤬 But thank you God🙏🏾🙏🏾
— Lamar Jackson (@Lj_era8) September 10, 2023
Other good buy-low options:
- Justin Fields, QB
- Javonte Williams, RB
- Amari Cooper, WR
It was nice to see Evans start the season off strong after an underwhelming 2022 campaign, but I’m just not fully sold on his season-long fantasy value yet. Minnesota has one of the worst secondaries in the NFL, and it’s going to be one of the easiest matchups Evans gets all year. Some people think that Baker Mayfield looked the part as the starting quarterback. Personally, I thought he was okay at best. He didn’t show me anything special against a bad defense, and he wasn’t throwing a particularly high volume of passes either.
Moving forward, starting Mike Evans will be on the hope that he scores a touchdown on a given week. At this point in his career, I think the days of him putting up 7 receptions for 130 yards on a given week are long gone. It doesn’t help that this offense isn’t very good overall and probably won’t be scoring a lot of points altogether. Maybe he does get the touchdowns this year and be a solid fantasy value, but it’s going to be a bumpy ride week-to-week, so I’d be looking to trade him away coming off of a good week and capitalizing on the name value he still holds.
Arthur Smith is every fantasy manager’s worst nightmare. The Falcons spent the eighth-overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft on RB Bijan Robinson, but in his NFL debut, we saw former fifth-rounder Tyler Allgeier get more touches and fantasy points than him in the win. This has led to some people getting excited for Allgeier and the possibility that he plays a big role on this offense all year, and while that could be the case, I think that Week 1 is one of the best games that he’ll have all year. Robinson looked really good in his first NFL game, and I think the team will work on getting him more and more touches as the season wears on. They’ll both be good for big games here and there, but I think Allgeier is the odd man out between the two because of his lack of pass catching work, and his value is pumped higher than it should be right now thanks to the big game in Week 1.
Atlanta Falcons: Week 1 RB Utilization
0% Atts inside the five
82% Route participation
35% Target Share
100% Atts inside the five
45% Route participation
19% Target Share
— Dwain McFarland (@dwainmcfarland) September 11, 2023
Doubs is coming off of a big Week 1. He scored two touchdowns and helped lead the Packers in their 38-20 smackdown over the Bears. Fortunately for fantasy managers, those two touchdowns saved his outing. Besides those, the rest of his statline was four receptions for just 26 yards. That’s not great involvement, and that was with WR1 Christian Watson out thanks to a hamstring injury. Moving forward, the Packers won’t get many matchups as easy as this one, and Doubs will once again have to compete for targets with Watson when he’s back. Not to mention, rookies Jayden Reed and Luke Musgrave looked good as well, so they could demand more targets as the season draws on and offer even more competition. Doubs’ two touchdowns put him right on the fringe of being a WR1 on the week, and while that’s great, he isn’t going to be able to sustain that and his value is probably close to the highest it’ll be all season.
WHO STARTED ROMEO DOUBS?? pic.twitter.com/Xy9ig9mdfr
Other good sell-high options:
- Jordan Love, QB
- Jakobi Meyers, WR
- David Montgomery, RB
Leo Sells is a passionate fan for the Patriots and 76ers, and he has been playing fantasy sports for over five years. In addition to writing articles about sports and winning his fantasy football leagues, Leo likes to play sports and spend time with his family and friends doing outdoor activities, such as hiking or fishing.