Fanduel Stacking Week 3
There are a lot of different strategies when it comes to building a Fanduel or Daily Fantasy lineup. Those serious about improving their game will at some point try them all. Whether it’s researching timeshares, targets, or DFS ownership percentage, everyone will eventually choose their own system or preference that they believe gives them the best chance of winning and stick with it. Truthfully, entering a max number of lineups per tournament is an obvious edge over competitors, but the “Spray and Pray” technique isn’t always effective. Ideally, a shark narrows down an optimal lineup that they love, only to mix and match small variations to cover all possible scenarios.
Personally, I like to use the 3X strategy when building a DFS lineup. This is as basic of a formula as it gets. My goal is to change the mindset of daily fantasy dollars and view cost as a final fantasy point outcome. The goal is to get to 3 times your salary as achieving 150 daily points typically puts you in the money range. By targeting what you hope to achieve in terms of fantasy point outcome is reverse engineering the whole concept of the lineup building process.
I’m making it sound more complicated than it is. Here’s an example: Tom Brady is $9,400 week three against the Houston Texans. His 3X goal would be 28.2 fantasy points (9.400 x3 = 28.2). Usually, the 3X goal for Fanduel is more difficult, some like to set goals of 2.5 as the scoring is less than DraftKings in terms of yardage bonuses and full PPR format opposed to 0.5 in Fanduel, but it is obtainable. Last week Tom Brady cost $9,200 and scored 30.87 Fanduel points, which is a little over 3.3X his Fanduel cost.
Now that you get the concept, let’s talk about a few Fanduel 3X players I’m building my winning lineups with in week three. As we already have a Week three sleeper article, a Start’em Sit’em piece, a DraftKings article and a ton of other content this week, I thought I would target low ownership 3X Fanduel players to build your lineup with.
3X Contrarian Stack
Josh McCown / Jermaine Kearse
McCown cost: $6,500 | Kearse Cost $5,800
- McCown 3X goal: 19.5 Fantasy Points
- Kearse 3X Goal: 17.4 Fantasy Points
- Vegas Line: Dolphins -7 | Over/Under 43
All jokes aside, Josh McCown has been playing decent football considering the circumstances in 2017. The Jets are an awful franchise, but at least they’re finding the end zone on Sundays. Last week McCown was 16 for 24 for 166 yards and 2 touchdowns. He also added 31 yards on the ground on 4 attempts. Garbage time can be a magical thing in DFS and the cost of McCown and Kearse would be a combined $12,300 of your $60K Fanduel budget (20.5%).
The Jets are playing at home for the first time in 2017 in week three, after having to play the Bills and Raiders on the road to kick off the season. Whereas the Miami Dolphins are playing their second road game in a row after traveling to LA to take on the Chargers in week two. Despite both franchises going through an identity crisis with replacement quarterbacks at the helm, this is still a division rivalry and one that both teams will take seriously.
Surprisingly, Josh McCown has a (slightly) better completion percentage than Aaron Rodgers, Big Ben, Drew Brees and Trevor Siemian. However, he hasn’t been racking up the passing yardage. The Jets will need to increase their passing yardage output for you to reach your 3X goal, but the touchdowns and bonus rushing yardage makes this 3X goal very obtainable. Last week McCown scored 15.74 Fantasy points. He would need 19.5 for him to hit his 3X goal this week. It’s unlikely Kearse finds the endzone twice again in week three, but 5 receptions for 90 yards and a score would get him there.
- Kirk Cousins: 330 passing yards, 2 TD = 19.4 Points
- Terrelle Pryor: 110 yards 1TD = 17.5 Points
3X Stack (Chalky)
Matthew Stafford / Golden Tate
Stafford cost: $7,900| Tate Cost: $7,400
- Stafford 3X Goal: 23.7 Fanduel Points
- Tate 3X Goal: 22.2 Fanduel Points
- Vegas Line: Falcons -2.5 | Over/Under 51 Points
The cost of Golden Tate this week, and the quiet game he had against the Giants last Monday night makes me wonder if I’m overthinking how chalky this stacking could be. Ideally, for Tate to reach his 3X goal, he’ll need to get back to a double-digit reception total like he had in week one. Most people can’t remember that far back, but in week one Tate had 10 receptions for 107 yards. This matchup will likely be very high scoring and one where neither team will be able to ease off the gas pedal. Both quarterbacks should have strong performances and if there was one team in the NFC that I think could go toe to toe with the Falcons, I think it’s the Detroit Lions. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers struggled last week to keep up with the Falcons offensive attack, but that game should lay the groundwork for the Lions to devise a strategy to prepare for this meeting.
The better stacking may be Marvin Jones here at $5,900, as he would only have to scrape together 5 catches for 92 yards and touchdown to reach his 3X goal of 17.7 Fanduel points, but considering how Jones is not getting the targets like Tate is, you’re better offer sticking with a player you know Stafford loves to throw to. Stafford tends to thrive against non-divisional NFC opponents at home, averaging 260 passing yards, 3 TDs and 0.6 INTs. With the over/under line set at 51 points, this should be a great game to have fantasy players in.
Kirk Cousins / Terrelle Pryor
Cousins Fanduel Cost: $7,600 | Pryor Cost $6,900
- Cousins 2.5x Goal: 19 Fantasy Points
- Pryor 2.5X Goal: 17.25 Fanduel Points
- Vegas Line: Raiders -3 | O/U: 55
The Washinton Redskins get the primetime Sunday Night Football timeslot against the Oakland Raiders in week three. The Raiders may be coming into this contest feeling a little overconfident at 2-0, coming off a convincing home win against the New York Jets, and have to make a cross-country trip to take on a borderline desperate Redskins team. The Redskins dropped their home opener to the division rival Philly Eagles but edged out a Rams team on the road last week despite being dubbed the underdogs. I feel like the Redskins want to make a statement in this game and could play spoiler at home. It’s also maybe a little early to start talking about “overlook games”, but the Raiders could be peeking at the schedule to their division rivalry matchup in week 4 against the 2-0 Broncos.
This game has the possibility of being a shootout and I feel Kirk Cousins at $7,600 Fanduel dollars is coming in as a bit of a bargain. Cousins hasn’t been able to find a rhythm with his new receiving corps in 2017, but this might be the week he hits stride. One big play could take make this 2.5X Fanduel goal very possible and you know he and Terrelle Pryor are dying to connect after two weeks of miscues. The pressure is on for the Redskins to show up at home in the primetime spotlight; I’m buying into this narrative and I think the Redskins will rack up the points on Sunday Night.
- Kirk Cousins: 330 passing yards, 2 TD = 19.4 Points
- Terrelle Pryor: 6 receptions, 85 yards 1TD = 17.5 Points