Week 2 FanDuel Lineup Tips and Picks
In daily fantasy football, it is essential to find value for your lineups. If we want to be able to afford the top dollar names like Andrew Luck and Le’Veon Bell, we’ll inevitably need to balance our lineup with less expensive players who provide upside.
If you’re new to daily fantasy football or you just need a refresher, please read my NFL DFS strategy guide here: Draft Kings vs FanDuel vs Fantasy Score
In that article, you’ll find that there are certain value thresholds that we need from our players in order to win the two main types of contests in DFS: cash games (50/50s and head-to-heads) and tournaments (GPPs and leagues).
For FanDuel cash games, we need our guys to reach 2x their salary (Example: If Andrew Luck is $10,000, he needs to score 20 points to reach value).
For FanDuel tournaments, we need our guys to reach 3x their salary (In this same example, Andrew Luck needs to score 30 points to reach value).
Most of the plays below are for cash games. Tournament plays will have a *GPP ONLY* designation next to their name. Each week, we’ll review the previous week’s plays and track our success rate for both cash game plays and tournament plays. Our target goal for the season is to hit 60% of cash game plays and 30% of tournament plays. A “hit” is defined as reaching value.
Last week, we hit 4/8 cash game plays and 0/2 GPP plays (just missed Ameer Abdullah by 0.3 points, although he was still a good play).
However, here’s a lineup I used in Thursday-Monday contests last week that utilized a few of our core value plays:
Using values like Tyrod Taylor, Chris Ivory, and Stevie Johnson allowed me the opportunity to pay up for studs in great situations – Antonio Brown and Rob Gronkowski. That’s the key – find value plays so you can fill the rest of your lineup with studs with favorable game scripts and/or matchups.
On to the plays!
10. Jordan Matthews
$7000 (PHI -5, 55.5)
Points needed to reach value: 14.0
It took a while for the Eagles’ offense to get started on Monday night, but when it was all said and done, Jordan Matthews finished the night with 10 receptions. In week 2, the Eagles have the highest team total on the board by far – 30 points. Don’t overthink this – you want the top receiving option on a team that is expected to score four touchdowns. Matthews is underpriced and has a very high chance of reaching 2x value with 10-plus targets.
9. Sam Bradford
$7500 (PHI -5, 55.5)
Points needed to reach value: 15.0
You could almost use the Jordan Matthews excerpt for Sam Bradford, but just to reiterate, the Eagles are playing at home and expected to score 30 points. We can expect the pass-run ratio to come back down to Earth this week, but Bradford’s salary is low enough that he makes for a great cash game play. Even if he only throws one touchdown, Bradford needs just 275 passing yards to reach value. If you’re not looking to spend up at QB this week, Bradford is the ideal target.
8. Dwayne Allen
$5200 (IND -7, 47)
Points needed to reach value: 10.4
Dwayne Allen is finally healthy and as most predicted in the preseason, he was more fantasy relevant in week 1 than his teammate Coby Fleener. Allen received six targets compared to Fleener’s one and remained on the field when the team used just one tight end. Allen is a touchdown machine when he’s on the field, as he’s scored a touchdown once every six targets over the past two seasons. On Monday night, Vegas expects the Colts to scoring plenty – look for Allen to snag one of those scores.
7. Rashad Jennings
$6400 (NYG -2.5, 51)
Points needed to reach value: 12.8
Despite Andre Williams being on the field for almost a quarter of the snaps on Sunday night, it was Rashad Jennings who received the goal line looks. Jennings played just 21 snaps, but still managed to rush for more than 50 yards and a TD. At home versus a shaky Atlanta run defense, look for the Giants to establish the running game. It’s also rare for Jennings not to record a reception, even if Shane Vereen is in town. Jennings should handle more touches this week and maybe this time the coaches will actually tell him to score if he gets the chance for a second touchdown.
6. Chris Johnson
$5700 (ARI -1.5, 45)
Points needed to reach value: 11.4
RB Andre Ellington will miss a few weeks with a sprained PCL, so the veteran Chris Johnson will be the lead back until he returns. Despite rookie RB David Johnson’s explosive TD late in week 1, head coach Bruce Arians reiterated after the game that they don’t want to give the rookie too much too early. Arians is normally straightforward with his comments, so expect Chris Johnson to get the bulk of the work in week 2. Expect CJ2K to receive close to 20 touches, which should put him well within range to reach cash game value.
5. Andrew Luck
$8900 (IND -7, 47)
Points needed to reach value: 17.8
I know what you’re thinking. “But hey, you said we need value plays so we can afford guys like Andrew Luck!” That’s true, but some weeks, there will be expensive players who are also a great value. Luck, who is priced at $8900 this week despite a home matchup with a relatively high Vegas total, is the most likely QB to return 2x value in week 2. Last season in the games in which Luck played all four quarters, he scored 18-plus FanDuel points in 13 out of 14 games – 93% of the time! Last week, everything went wrong and Luck still scored more than 18 points. Lock him into all of your cash game lineups this week.
4. Tyrod Taylor
$6300 (BUF +1, 45) – *GPP ONLY*
Points needed to reach value: 18.9
Tyrod the God came through for us last week, easily eclipsing the 2x total required for cash game value. This week, Taylor gets a much tougher matchup when the Patriots come to town. This defense can be terrorizing for inexperienced QBs, but this may bode well for Taylor. Last week, the game script didn’t require Taylor to drop back to pass, limiting his pass attempts and scrambling ability. Taylor may turn the ball over a few times this week, but I’m willing to project a huge day on the ground. Taylor needs close to 19 points to hit tournament value this weekend and if he does, half of those points will come from his rushing totals.[wlm_nonmember]
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3. Darrius Heyward-Bey
$4500 (PIT -5, 45) – *GPP ONLY*
Points needed to reach value: 13.5
Daily fantasy football isn’t for the weak at heart. It takes something special to put a colossal bust like DHB in your tournament lineups, but he checks all of the boxes for a GPP special. In a high-powered offense with a high Vegas total? Check. Deep threat who will get targets? Check – he had 7 targets a week ago while Martavis Bryant was suspended. Can hit tournament value in one play? Check. DHB is the perfect boom-bust WR3 for your tournament lineups this weekend.
2. Donte Moncrief
$6000 (IND -7, 47)
Points needed to reach value: 12.0
Despite the lack of success for the Colts’ offense in Buffalo in week 1, Donte Moncrief emerged as the lone bright spot in the receiving corps. With a stranglehold on the WR3 job, Moncrief earned 11 targets and 13.6 FD points versus the Bills. This week, T.Y. Hilton will miss the Monday night matchup with the Jets as he recovers from a bone bruise in his knee. When you have a number two receiver with big play ability in an Andrew Luck offense for $6000, you start him and don’t look back.
1. Brandon Coleman
$5000 (NO -10, 47.5) – *GPP ONLY*
Points needed to reach value: 15.0
All summer, we heard rave reviews of the 6’6” receiver from Rutgers and we were told repeatedly that he would be the replacement for Jimmy Graham in this offense. While those are big shoes to fill, Coleman has put one foot in and started to tie the laces after a 4-46-1 performance in week 1 versus Arizona. This week, Coleman and the Saints have the pleasure of facing a Tampa Bay secondary that allowed four touchdowns to Marcus Mariota – just imagine what the Saints offense will do to them in front of the ravenous New Orleans crowd in their home opener. A Drew Brees-Brandon Coleman stack in GPPs makes perfect sense.[/wlm_ismember]
For more DFS advice, follow me on Twitter @BrianJesterFF.