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Dynasty Football Reactions: Adjusting to NFL Injuries for Week 3

If you’re like me Sunday was a tough day for fantasy football. Throughout the course of the day injuries piled up for some of the most impactful fantasy football players on our rosters. As notifications of injuries continued to flood my phone, the sense of panic began to creep in on rosters that are (or were) playoff contenders. If this sounds familiar you also probably have already been inundated with trade offers of league mates trying to capitalize on your pain with offers of 2021 rookie draft picks.

Injuries hit every roster differently, meaning it could be very tough to gauge if you should trade and player and what their fair market value is. I’ll cover some of the most impactful injuries from the past weekend and how dynasty fantasy football players can best proceed heading into Week 3 of the NFL and fantasy football season if they are rostering a player who went down with an injury.

Saquon Barkley: Trade Away

Running Back, New York Giants

Fantasy Football News 9 22The consensus number two overall running back in dynasty fantasy football went down on Sunday with an injury that was later diagnosed to be a torn ACL; ending his 2020 season. Barkley, the 2nd overall pick in the 2018 NFL Draft, will head into his fourth season in the NFL with just 31 career games, having also missed time with an ankle injury in 2019.

Prior to the injury, though, Barkley was struggling to find space behind one of the worst offensive line units in the NFL; an element that nearly eliminates his explosive playmaking ability. Barkley saw a sharp drop off in his fantasy points per game from 2018 (24.1) to 2019 (18.8). The Giants look like their on the way to a front office overhaul, which could include a replacement at quarterback, after the 2020 season. Barkley, though, still carries a lot of value because of his extremely high ceiling; making it a real possibility that you can cash in big on him despite the c

I would be willing to trade away Barkley in a league where I can secure at least two 2021 first-round picks and a player in the RB12-24 range, especially if they are a younger back. You shouldn’t move on from him for cheap, but you can seriously consider whether Barkley will ever have the tools around him to unleash his full potential.

Christian McCaffrey: Do Not Trade Away

Running Back, Carolina Panthers

This is a particularly tough one because if had CMC on your team heading into this weekend there is a strong chance you feel like your roster was a championship-contending one. McCaffrey, though, suffered a high ankle sprain which is expected to keep him sidelined for 4-6 weeks. Further complicating things for the former top ten overall NFL draft pick is that the Carolina Panthers have their bye Week 13-which is likely to be the first round of your league’s fantasy football playoffs.

McCaffrey, though, was the undebatable top dynasty player (in non-superflex formats) heading into the season and we do not make long-term adjustments for short-term problems. It might not feel great but CMC owners need to ride out the next month and hope for a quicker than expected return for their generational dual-threat back.

Courtland Sutton: Do Not Trade Away

Wide Reciever, Denver Broncos

Sutton’s season, unfortunately, ended before it really began. The 6’4″ boundary receiver was set to build upon the 1800 yards and 10 touchdowns he had compiled with less than inspiring quarterback play for much of his first two seasons with the Broncos. A shoulder injury kept him out of Week 1, though, and in Week 2 he suffered a dreaded torn ACL; ending his season. I still have a lot of hope for Sutton’s future fantasy football production, though, especially once he is able to team up with his gunslinger quarterback Drew Lock. The extra experience for his young quarterback, in addition to the perfectly paired skillsets, still leaves Sutton with a high enough fantasy football ceiling that I am not willing to sell him for anything less than what his market value was pre-injury.

Raheem Mostert: Trade Away

Running Back, San Francisco 49ers

Mostert was off to a stunning start in the 2020 season, breaking off a play for more than 70 yards and compiling over 100 total yards in each of his first two games. Mostert, though, exited his match-up against the woeful Jets with a mild sprain of the MCL. His injury is not expected to sideline him the entire season but it will likely force him to miss out on advantageous match-ups against the New York Giants (Week 3) and Miami Dolphins (Week 5). Mostert was already performing above his seasonal expectation against two of the worst run defenses in the NFL in Arizona and the New York Jets. I expect that Mostert’s biggest weeks of the 2020 season are behind him.

I’m comfortable trading Mostert away for a 2021 second-round pick or a 2021 third-round pick and an RB/WR 24-36; preferably a rookie or second-year player with high upside, such as Bryan Edwards or Lynn Bowden Jr.

Parris Campbell: Do Not Trade Away

Wide Reciever, Indianapolis Colts

Campbell’s injury was a tough one to watch live and later was revealed to be a PCL injury with an indefinite timeline for return. Although the PCL is a less severe injury than an ACL, it should still be taken seriously. Campbell, though, looked like an immediate contributor and necessary piece to the Colts revamped high pass volume offense. Campbell is unlikely to return you anything more than a 2021 third-round rookie pick-I’d rather have the upside of this still young wideout with high draft capital who will have every chance to overcome the injuries that have plagued the early portion of his NFL Career.

Drew Lock: Do Not Trade Away

Quarterback, Denver Broncos

Lock was one of my favorite underrated dynasty players heading into the season, so it should not shock you that I’m unwilling to quickly move him off my roster. He suffered a severe rotator cuff strain and is expected to miss at least two weeks. Lock should still have the ability to start at least half of the season, though, which is critical for his development as a young passer. When healthy he has one of the best sets of young talent in Jerry Jeudy, Noah Fant, and KJ Hamler; putting him back on track to be at the helm of an explosive offense for years to come.


 

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