Daily Fantasy

DraftKings Sleepers and Advice: Championship Round

Gridiron 3x Daily FantasyDraftKings Lineup Advice & Sleeper Picks

Throughout the 2016 Fantasy season Gridiron Experts has talked a lot about the ability to maximize finding DFS value by finding 3 times a players DraftKings salary. In cash games, where it’s safe to assume that 150 daily fantasy points scored will win you money, simple math tells us that we need to triple (3X) the DraftKings given salary of $50K to get there (3X $50,000/1000= 150 Points).

Divisional Round Recap

Predictions I Got Right

  • I said I wanted nothing to do with Alex Smith (10.78) or Ben Roethlisberger (8.06).
  • Despite making a great call and selling readers on Brock Osweiler in the Wildcard round, I warned people about his matchup against the Pats. Somehow the Texans QB had another game with 40 passing attempts and less than 200 passing yards.
  • I said the best QB bargain of the week would be Dak Prescott = Correct
  • Le’Veon Bell would not reach his 3X goal, I even made a prediction of 25 DraftKings points, he had 21.60
  • WR predictions: “I have a bad feeling about the big names and their 3X goals this weekend” Antonio Brown 3X goal was 28.8 he got 19.8, Julio Jones 3X goal was 24.3 he racked up 18.7 points and Doug Baldwin 3X goal was 24.3 points, he scored 19.10. -Boom big call here
  • Suggested WR adds to hit 3X Goal: Chris Hogan yep, Taylor Gabriel close enough

Predictions I Got Wrong

  • I should have known better, LeGarrette Blount was fighting a cold all week, hardly practiced and Dion Lewis picked up the slack.
  • Christine Michael didn’t even get a touch – ouch. This was the worst call I made since starting this post-season DraftKings article series.
  • Charcandrick West sleeper: nope
  • Suggested WR adds to hit 3X Goal: Tyreek Hill, Jeremy Maclin, R.Cobb
  • Tight Picks Martellus Bennett and  Austin Hooper were let downs


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Team Quarterbacks Salary 3X Goal AVG
Aaron Rodgers 8100 24.3 26.0
Matt Ryan 7700 23.1 23.7
Tom Brady 7100 21.3 22.5
Ben Roethlisberger 5800 17.4 18.9

With four stud quarterbacks to choose from it’s difficult to find a QB to dislike this week. I wouldn’t be surprised if all four hit their 3X goal. Ben Roethlisberger has the best chance to outperform based on his price, but historically speaking, the Patriots defensive strategy has always strived to eliminate the best player from the game. So the question is; will the Pat’s try to shut down Antonio Brown or Le’Veon Bell?

My Pick: I like Matt Ryan this week. I think the hype on Aaron Rodgers, the cheap cost of Big Ben and the pretty boy looks of Tom Brady will result in Ryan being the least owned QB for the Championship round. As long as Julio Jones is good to go, Ryan is my guy for this Sunday

Running Backs

Team Running Backs Salary 3X Goal AVG
Le’Veon Bell 10300 30.9 28.0
Devonta Freeman 7200 21.6 18.4
Ty Montgomery 5600 16.8 10.6
Dion Lewis 5300 15.9 10.0
Tevin Coleman 4800 14.4 15.1
LeGarrette Blount 4400 13.2 14.6
Christine Michael 3300 9.9 8.6
James White 3200 9.6 10.0
DeAngelo Williams 3000 9 8.6
James Develin 3000 9 0.3
Brandon Bolden 3000 9 0.3
Fitzgerald Toussaint 3000 9 0.7
[the_ad id=”66786″]If you’ve been reading my DraftKings 3X playoff series, you know I missed on Le’Veon Bell in the Wildcard round, but nailed my pick in the Divisional round. In both previous predictions I said Bell wasn’t worth adding to your lineup, but this week I’m singing a different tune. The Pat’s held Lamar Miller in check last week, keeping him to less than 4 yards per carry, but where the Texans missed out, I feel the Steelers will capitalize. Houston involved three running backs in their passing game for a combined 73 yards, which made up a significant portion of Osweiler’s 197 total passing yards. If New England sticks to shutting down the pass, there should be a lot of opportunities for Bell to thrive underneath in the passing game. Le’Veon Bell’s snap count against the Chiefs had him on the field for all but one play (64 of 65 snaps), which could mean a serious boost for Bell to rack up reception points and come very close to hitting his 3x Goal of 30.9 points.

My Le’Veon Bell prediction: 133 rushing yards, 1 TD, six receptions for 50 yards =33.3 DraftKings points thanks to the rushing bonus.

Other Players, I like to hit their 3X goal: Dion Lewis and Tevin Coleman

Wide Receivers

Team Wide Receiver Salary 3X Goal AVG
Antonio Brown 8800 26.4 21.9
Julio Jones 8200 24.6 18.7
Jordy Nelson 7600 22.8 19.0
Julian Edelman 7300 21.9 15.5
Davante Adams 6600 19.8 16.8
Randall Cobb 5900 17.7 13.5
Taylor Gabriel 4900 14.7 10.8
Mohamed Sanu 4500 13.5 9.7
Chris Hogan 3900 11.7 9.3
Geronimo Allison 3800 11.4 4.5
Malcolm Mitchell 3700 11.1 6.9
Eli Rogers 3400 10.2 9.3
Michael Floyd 3300 9.9 7.5
Danny Amendola 3100 9.3 5.5
Matthew Slater 3000 9 0.0
D. Heyward-Bey 3000 9 3.3
Cobi Hamilton 3000 9 4.3
Sammie Coates 3000 9 5.1
Demarcus Ayers 3000 9 5.5
Eric Weems 3000 9 0.0
Aldrick Robinson 3000 9 4.0
Nick Williams 3000 9 5.5
Justin Hardy 3000 9 4.1
Trevor Davis 3000 9 0.9
Jeff Janis 3000 9 2.0

Julian Edelman FantasyAs it seems, there are more nagging injuries to take into account than usual this week. Being the NFL Championship round, my guess is everyone will play, except maybe Jordy Nelson. This could cause problems for Fantasy owners as coaches may gamble with a player at a higher injury risk. If it were week 7, teams would likely avoid the risk of seriously injuring their player’s long term, but in a do or die game, I think coaches will let the players decide.

I love Julian Edelman this week; he is owned in a lot of my DraftKings lineups. I feel very confident he hits his 3X goal of 21.9 points.

Randall Cobb seems to be one of the only Packers not missing practice; he’ll be heavily owned this Sunday. I’m curious about Geronimo Allison’s injury news, he’s been fun to watch and is excellent at finding space in coverage, possible sleeper.

Lower your expectations for Antonio Brown this week. Interesting stat tweeted by @ChrisWesseling: Malcolm Butler doesn’t shadow top WRs except for Antonio Brown. Held him to 57.4 rating in Week 7.

Tight Ends

Team Tight Ends Salary 3X Goal AVG
Jared Cook 5100 15.3 9.2
Ladarius Green 3600 10.8 9.6
Martellus Bennett 3300 9.9 10.5
Jesse James 2700 8.1 5.9
David Johnson 2500 7.5 0.9
Matt Lengel 2500 7.5 1.5
Xavier Grimble 2500 7.5 2.3
Levine Toilolo 2500 7.5 3.3
D.J. Tialavea 2500 7.5 3.6
Richard Rodgers 2500 7.5 4.4
Joshua Perkins 2500 7.5 1.5
Austin Hooper 2500 7.5 4.4

Jared Cook’s ego must be on cloud nine. With the injury concerns to the Packers team, he seems like a safe buy. I also like Jesse James as the other check down target for Big Ben against the Patriots.

Good Luck this week!

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