Daily Fantasy

DraftKings NFL Picks Week 11

DraftKings NFL Picks Week 11

DraftKingsIt’s that time of year in fantasy when the cream rises to the top. At this point, you should have a pretty good idea as to your team’s fate in your leagues. If you’re one of the teams that will be in the mix for your championship, you should continue to utilize every tool that Gridiron Experts has to offer. If you’re one of the unfortunate souls who are on the outside looking in, we here at Gridiron Experts still have a way to help you achieve fantasy success. That success is through daily fantasy and this week we will highlight some DraftKings picks for week 11.

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Quarterback

Derek Carr ($6,400): This week the Oakland Raiders are coming off of their bye and will take on the New England Patriots in Mexico City. Back in 2014, Carr would have his one and only meeting against the Patriots as he would throw for just 174 yards and an interception. Times have most certainly changed for the Raiders signal caller as well as the Patriots defense. Back in 2014 when Carr had his lone matchup against the Patriots, their defense had allowed the twelfth fewest points. Thus far in 2017, the Patriots have uncharacteristically allowed the second most to the position. As if having a desirable matchup isn’t enough, Carr has had 300 passing yards or more in each of his last three games. The idea of stacking players like Michael Crabtree or Amari Cooper with Carr is something worth investing in. This is one of the best quarterback options you will have in week 11.

Jay Cutler ($5,400): This season hasn’t exactly been what Jay Cutler envisioned when coming out of retirement. In weeks 4 through 7, for the first time in his career, Cutler would have four straight games with less than 200 passing yards. Since sitting out with a rib injury in week 8 though, Cutler has put together some solid starts. Over his last two games, Cutler has thrown for 524 yards, with two touchdowns and one interception. The Dolphins signal caller will look to further himself from some early season sloppiness in a week 11 matchup against the Buccaneers. This is a Buccaneers team that is currently allowing the ninth-most points to the quarterback position. While Jay Ajayi is likely to see success in Philadelphia, Adam Gase shipping him out of town may have made this an offense that is more conducive to Cutler’s style of play. In the preseason, the Dolphins were figured to be a fantasy friendly team. Look for them to cash in late on that assessment as Cutler will land somewhere in the neighborhood of 250 passing yards. If you’re looking for another bargain at the position, keep an eye on Eli Manning at $5,700.

Running Backs

Kareem Hunt DFSKareem Hunt ($8,000): At MetLife this Sunday, anxiety will be at a fever pitch for all the wrong reasons when the Chiefs take on the reeling Giants. While the Giants have gone from playoff aspirations to straight desperation, this could be the best possible matchup for a slumping Kareem Hunt. After a white-hot start to the season, Hunt has failed to score a touchdown in his last six games. Digging deeper into his slump, after rushing for 80 or more yards in his first five games, Hunt has only had one such game since. On top of the lack of production, he has also seen less than 10 carries in two out of his last four games. All of that being said though, there is one thing that the Giants lack that cannot be measured by any statistic you will read, it is a lack of pride. Both Carlos Hyde and rookie Matt Breida would average more than five yards per carry as the 49ers had a total of 186 rushing yards. The Giants currently sit just outside the top ten in points allowed to the position and are just one of three teams to have allowed over 1,000 rushing yards this season. The favorable matchup coupled with arm tackling and a lack of pride should propel Hunt back into the good graces of daily fantasy players.

Kenyan Drake ($4,800): When Dolphins head coach Adam Gase shipped Jay Ajayi out of town a couple of weeks ago, it opened the door for other backs on the Dolphins depth chart. At this point in time, Kenyan Drake has made the most of the opportunity. Over the last two weeks, the second-year back out of Alabama has managed 151 rushing yards and a touchdown off of just 16 carries. He has also been reliable in the passing game over the last two weeks as he has caught all of his eight targets. In a matchup that was initially slated for week 1, Drake will look to carry his momentum into a game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This is a Buccaneers defense that is allowing the eighth most points to the position. My personal belief is that Drake is best suited for this offense as long as Jay Cutler is in it. The Dolphins can preach split carries all the like but as long as Drake continues to produce, he will be used more and more.

Sterling ShepardSterling Shepard ($6,300) Lock of the week: With Odell Beckham and Brandon Marshall on the shelf,  Sterling Shepard had been expected to be the leading Giants pass catcher. In a losing effort against the 49ers in week 10, we saw that play out. Shepard would wind up catching 11 of his 13 targets for 142 yards. I’ll grant you that was a game against a poor 49ers defense. But in week 11, his opponent is even more favorable. The loss of Eric Berry has loomed large for a Chiefs defense that is tops in the league in points allowed to wide receivers. The Giants may be reeling, but that doesn’t mean that they’re without a pulse. Giants’ fans will vent their frustrations in a losing effort but players like Sterling Shepard and Evan Engram will continue to be standouts for you in daily fantasy. After this week, Shepard will be on everyone’s radar.

Michael Crabtree ($5,900): In case you’re not getting the hint from this week’s column, I love the Giants, Chiefs, and Raiders this weekend. With that, it shouldn’t come as a shock that I’m recommending you use Michael Crabtree this week. After scoring a touchdown in three straight games, Crabtree failed to score in the final two games prior to his bye week. Those two games were against opponents in the lower half of points allowed to the receiver position. Coming out of the bye though, Crabtree will look to bounce back against a favorable opponent. The Patriots are allowing the third most points to the wide receiver position. In his lone game against the Patriots in his career, Crabtree caught 7 of his 12 targets for 107 yards and two touchdowns. While I project him to only have one touchdown this weekend, you can expect the former Texas Tech product to have his receptions and yards mirror his previous performance.

Tight End

Tyler Kroft ($2,900): I’m not going to waste your time with recommending Travis Kelce as it shouldn’t require a ton of explanation. The Giants are a matchup dream and Kelce is one of the best at his position in the league. Let’s suppose that his price tag of $7,300 is a bit too steep for you. Luckily for you, the tight end position has plenty of value in week 11 and Tyler Kroft of the Bengals is one of those options. This week the Bengals will go up against a Broncos team that in DK scoring formats, is allowing the most points to tight ends. That ranking is due in large part to the number of yards in which the Broncos have allowed. After nine games this season, the Broncos have allowed 746 yards to the position. That is 156 yards more than the Giants who are becoming infamous for their play against tight ends. While Kroft has gone scoreless in his last three games, he has been targeted five or more times in four out of his last six games. Between opportunity and matchup, I will happily take on that $2,900 price tag.

Defense

Jaguars ($4,000): This should be a fairly easy one to explain. The Jaguars are currently leading the NFL in sacks. On top of that, they are also in top half of most of the notable categories like interceptions and forced fumbles. Opposing them this weekend is a winless Cleveland Browns team. There isn’t much more that needs to be said beyond that. If you have the $4,000 available after filling your roster, take the Jaguars. If you need to pinch some pennies when you get around to selecting a defense, I like the Ravens against the Packers. Best of luck in Week 11!

 

The FF Faceoff Podcast XIII – Week 11 NFL Bets and Pink Slips

In this episode, Mike and Anthony will shamefully go over their week 10 bets and try to make some big week 11 bets. Also on the show, the guys talk tight ends, Sterling Shepard, just what you might expect from Nathan Peterman. The guys will also round out the show by handing out some pink slips to coaches.

 

Thanks for Reading!

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