Wow, it is already Week 17 in the NFL, the fantasy season-long playoffs are here (hopefully), and just two more regular season football games are here for GPP plays. This week there are 13 games on the main slate. This time of year people who didn’t make the post-season in their fantasy leagues tends to gravitate towards things like sports betting as they look for the best odds to keep their weekends fun and exciting. There are a lot of choices for sites to play online, so make sure you research which site is legal in your state and remember to use your game sense.
The year is coming to an end and big slates will be harder to come by. Of course, there will be plenty of GPP opportunities in the playoffs but let’s not get ahead.
Last week’s NFL $2.5M Fantasy Football Millionaire Winner
- QB Daniel Jones, 24.76 points, salary $5600, draft 11.85%
- RB Saquon Barkley, 27.30 points, salary $7900, draft 9.63%
- RB Chuba Hubbard, 15.50 points, salary $4900, draft 1.18%
- WR Justin Jefferson, 34.30 points, salary $9300, draft 24.12%
- WR Isaiah Hodgins, 22.90 points, salary $4100, draft 9.58%
- WR Richie James, 17.00 points, salary $3900, draft 18.59%
- TE TJ Hockenson, 38.90 points, salary $4900, draft 13.82%
- FLEX Devonta Smith, 34.30 points, salary, $6600, draft 9.32%
- DST Patriots, 14.00 points, salary $2700, draft 4.86%
Note to self. There are no rules except for getting those points. The final total for this lineup was 228.96 points. They played four players from the New York Giants, including stacking QB-RB-WR-WR against the Minnesota Vikings. Hubbard was the only player whose salary-to-points differential did not exceed expectations. And having a tight-end score of 38.90 points almost guarantees a top-10 (at least) finish.
Justin Fields @ Detroit Lions, $7900 salary, 12.2 % draft projected
Fields is a cheat code, and playing the Lions in Detroit is a cheat code.
His last game against the Buffalo Bills shut him down, but that didn’t stop his salary from rising by $400. The Lions give the most DraftKings fantasy points per game to the quarterback position (25). They have also allowed seven rushing touchdowns allowing an average of 6.41 rushing yards per attempt to the position.
Fields are averaging 6.7 rushing yards per attempt. He also has 16 passing touchdowns.
Jared Goff v Chicago Bears, $5900 salary, 22.2% draft projected
The Bears’ defense allows an average of 19.6 DraftKings fantasy points per game to the quarterback position.
But you will play Goff this week because he is playing at home, and his home versus away splits are real.
He has thrown 20 touchdowns at home with only three interceptions. Away from home, he has thrown six touchdowns and four interceptions. He has a 106.9 QBR at home and an 87.6 QBR away from home. And he has 2217 passing yards at home and 1742 away.
Goff’s ceiling is higher at home.
Mike White @ Seattle Seahawks, $5400 salary, no current projections
In his three games White has 10.7 DraftKings fantasy points (@ Buffalo), 22.5 DraftKings fantasy points (@ Minnesota,) and 27.8 DraftKings fantasy points (v Chicago).
The Seahawks’ defense surrendered 224 passing yards and two touchdowns last week to Patrick Mahomes, 217 passing yards and two touchdowns to Brock Purdy, and 120 passing yards and one touchdown to Sam Darnold their last three games.
Travis Etienne @ Houston Texans, $6400 salary, 22.1% draft projected
The Texans are the cheat code for the running back position. The only caveat here is to listen to the “coach speak” regarding the playing time of the Jaguars starters.
This game doesn’t mean anything to the playoff hopes of the Jaguars. Everything is riding on next week’s matchup against the Tennessee Titans.
If the starters will be playing, Etienne, who averages 71% snap count in his last two games and has also collected 83 and 103 rushing yards and three targets in each game, is in play.
AJ Dillon v Minnesota Vikings, $5800 salary, 1.5% draft projected
There are reports that both quarterback Aaron Rodgers (knee and hand) and fellow running back Aaron Jones (knee/ankle) have been limited in practice.
If Jones doesn’t play, Dillon’s ceiling raises, especially against the Vikings, who surrender an average of 21.7 DraftKings fantasy points per game to the running back position.
Tyler Allgeier v Arizona Cardinals, $5300 salary, 18.4% draft projected
Last week Allgeier had 18 rushing attempts for 74 yards and was targeted five times. He finished the game with 15.7 DraftKings fantasy points. The week before, Allgeier finished the game with 25.6 DraftKings fantasy points after rushing for 139 yards with one target.
The Cardinals are giving up an average of 27.2 DraftKings fantasy points to the running back position.
Alan Lazard v Minnesota Vikings, $5400 salary, 9.7% draft projected
Last week with Christian Watson in and out of the game, Lazard led the team in targets (11) and receiving yards (61). Keep an eye on his playing status of Watson if Watson is unable to play, Lazard’s ceiling raises.
As it is, the Vikings are giving up the most DraftKings fantasy points per game to the wide receiver position (42.6).
Isaiah Hodgins v Indianapolis Colts, $4500 salary, 1.3% draft projected
Hodgins has scored three touchdowns in his last four games while being targeted 11-4-6-6 times in each of the four games.
The Colts allow an average of 31.6 DraftKings fantasy points per game to the wide receiver position, including giving up 104 receiving yards to Keenan Allen last week and 157 receiving yards and a touchdown to KJ Osborn the week before.
This may be the week you want to pay up for wide receivers. Just remember you will be paying up for chalk (not that that’s a bad thing).
- Justin Jefferson @ Green Bay, $9500
- Amon-Ra St. Brown v Chicago Bears, $7800
Gladys is obsessive about fantasy football, Pittsburgh Steelers, dogs/cats, pop culture movies and television shows, and Ben & Jerry’s 7 Layer Vegan Ice Cream (although not necessarily in that order). A writer about NFL, college ball, and fantasy football for more than 10 years, she attempts to combine her degree in statistical variance (BS Policy Analysis) with player knowledge and game script. Though her concentration is on IDP, redraft, and PPR leagues, all fantasy formats are fair game. Reach out whenever you can find me on Twitter @gladysLtyler. And remember, don’t suck and tip your bartenders well.