And we are back. It is already Week 14, wow! If you haven’t taken down that big tournament you are hunting, don’t panic, there is still time.
There are only 10 teams on the main slate this week. The Miami Dolphins and Los Angeles Chargers are the Sunday Night game, and the New England Patriots and Arizona Cardinals are the Monday Night game. In addition, six teams are on a bye this week, the Atlanta Falcons, Chicago Bears, Green Bay Packers, Indianapolis Colts, New Orleans Saints, and Washington. And you have already seen Baker Mayfield and the Los Angeles Rams beat the Las Vegas Raiders on Thursday Night football.
Here is the winning lineup from Week13 $3M Fantasy Football Millionaire
- QB Geno Smith @ LAR, 27.98 fantasy points, 1.87% drafted, $6100 salary
- RB Brian Robinson @ NYG, 13.10 fantasy points, 7.72% drafted, $5300 salary
- RB Zonovan Knight @ MN, 16.80 fantasy points, 14.90% drafted, $4600 salary
- WR Davante Adams v LAC, 40.70 fantasy points, 10.13% drafted, $8700 salary
- WR Tyler Lockett @ LAR, 30.80 fantasy points, 5.14% drafted, $6000 salary
- WR Garrett Wilson @ MN, 27.20 fantasy points, 33.90% drafted, $5300 salary
- TE Logan Thomas, @NYG, 5.00 fantasy points, 1.49% drafted, $2900 salary
- FLEX Amon Ra-St. Brown v Jacksonville, 37.60 fantasy points, 27.67% drafted, $7100 salary
- DST Browns @ Houston, 30.00 fantasy points, 4.00% drafted, $3900 salary
This lineup concentrated on players and didn’t worry about the comeback. I like that. PS she also finished fourth in the contest.
Remember to trust your process.
Joe Burrow vs Cleveland Browns, $7000, PFF projected draft 6.3%
The last time these two played in Week 8 wasn’t pretty. The Browns beat the Bengals 32-13. Burrow attempted 32 passes for 232 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception.
It was also Burrow’s first game without Ja’Marr Chase. Chase is back, and the Bengals have a score to settle.
Since Week 8, Burrow has 19.1, 31.7, 18.0, and 30.0 DraftKings fantasy points. He has surpassed the passing bonus once (355 yards Week11) and has eight passing touchdowns and two rushing touchdowns.
Cleveland is only giving up an average of 16.4 DraftKings fantasy points to the quarterback position and has allowed 228 passing yards per game in their last four games.
Kirk Cousins @ Detroit Lions, $6100, PFF projected draft 7.9%
The Vikings enter the game a 2.5-point underdog. This game has the highest over/under (52) on the main slate, with the Vikings implied total of 26 (and Lions 27.5).
Cousins has thrown for over 300 yards once this season, in Week 10 against the Buffalo Bills. In Week 12, he threw 299 yards against the New England Patriots, both teams with stronger defenses than he will meet this week.
The Lions give the most DraftKings fantasy points per game to the quarterback position (25.2). They have also allowed 19 passing touchdowns and an average of 264.5 yards per game.
Also, consider Jalen Hurts, $8100, and Jared Goff, $5600
Tony Pollard vs Houston Texans, $6700, PFF projected draft 11.9%
The Texans are giving up the second most DraftKings fantasy points to the running back position (29.9). The Texans have also allowed 144.17 rushing yards per game and given up 14 rushing touchdowns to the position.
Pollard is averaging 5.8 yards per carry. Last week he rushed for 91 yards with two rushing touchdowns while also being targeted three times for 15 yards.
Pollard should be in a smash spot that isn’t hampered by the timeshare with fellow running back Ezekiel Elliott.
Pollard will be chalk, so pivoting to the less expensive Elliott is understood.
D’Onta Foreman @ Seattle Seahawks, $5400, PFF projected draft 7.8%
The Seahawks give the most DraftKings fantasy points to the running back position (30.1).
Foreman has 14.3, 2.4, and 22.0 DraftKings fantasy points in his last three games. The problem with Foreman is that if the game gets out of hand, he is faded in the offense. But the return of Jaycee Horn and Jeremy Chinn to the Panthers’ defense makes a Seahawks blowout unlikely.
Monitor Foreman’s status as he was limited in practice Thursday with a foot injury.
Also, consider Dalvin Coo,k $7300, and Ezekiel Elliot,t $6100
Ja’Marr Chase vs Cleveland Browns, $7900, PFF projected draft 10.5%
Last week Chase had eight targets with seven receptions for 97 yards. That was his first week back off IR. He led the team with a 25.8% target share and 2.94 yards per route run. He is currently seventh in NFL in red zone targets.
The Browns have given up an average of 33.6 DraftKings fantasy points to the wide receiver position. . That is, 75% of the fantasy points scored by receivers go to the receiver wide and not the slot.
Tyler Lockett vs Carolina Panthers, $6500, PFF projected draft, 6.2%
Last week Lockett led the Seahawks with a 32.4% target share. He had 12 targets for 128 yards and one touchdown on nine receptions. That makes five consecutive games that Lockett has scored a touchdown.
The Panthers have given up an average of 35.4 DraftKings fantasy points to the wide receiver position.
The Panthers’ secondary has gotten better with Jaycee Horn’s return and Jeremy Chinn’s return, but Lockett is riding a five-consecutive-game touchdown streak. The bonus points will not come into effect, so keep that in mind when completing your roster.
Also consider DK Metcalf, $7100, Adam Thielen, $4900
Gladys is obsessive about fantasy football, Pittsburgh Steelers, dogs/cats, pop culture movies and television shows, and Ben & Jerry’s 7 Layer Vegan Ice Cream (although not necessarily in that order). A writer about NFL, college ball, and fantasy football for more than 10 years, she attempts to combine her degree in statistical variance (BS Policy Analysis) with player knowledge and game script. Though her concentration is on IDP, redraft, and PPR leagues, all fantasy formats are fair game. Reach out whenever you can find me on Twitter @gladysLtyler. And remember, don’t suck and tip your bartenders well.