DraftKings

DraftKings GPP Picks Week 11

CeeDee Lamb

Happy Week 11 how are you doing? The season is at the halfway point, not the time to stop grinding, so we won’t. Let’s remember on any given Sunday. It is anybody’s game.

This week’s main slate will have 11 available teams. There are four teams on a bye week. They are the Jacksonville Jaguars, Miami Dolphins, Seattle Seahawks, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Green Bay Packers and Tennessee Titans have already played, and the San Francisco 49ers and Arizona Cardinals will play Monday Night in Mexico.

Just a refresher because it is that time. First, rules are arbitrary, some make sense, and some don’t. Like “chalk will never win” was pretty much discounted for October. And you must stack to win being obliterated single-handedly by Justin Fields. But some stand true. Remember that DraftKings is a PPR system with built-in bonuses. Know the game script or how you think the game script will play. And most importantly, trust yourself. Now let’s get this party started.

Last week’s Milli Maker lineup:

WEEK 10 Milli Maker Winner

  • QB Justin Fields, 43.38 points, 29.37% draft, $6500 salary
  • RB Tony Pollard, 24.80 points, 25.83% draft, $6500 salary
  • RB Jeff Wilson Jr., 23.30 points, 10.58% draft, $5500 salary
  • WR Amon Ra St Brown, 25.10 points, 16.86% draft, $6900 salary
  • WR Christian Kirk, 34.50 points, 20.36% draft, $5900 salary
  • WR George Pickens, 14.50 points, 10.28% draft, $5000 salary
  • TE Travis Kelce, 20.10 points, 15.97% draft, $7800 salary
  • FLEX Christian Watson, 35.70 points, 2.41% draft, $3700 salary
  • DST Vikings, 15.00 points, 16.00% draft, $2200 salary

QUARTERBACK

This week’s quarterback choices are top-heavy, even for the GPP tournament. You can ride some solo or choose to stack. The weather is no longer a factor in Buffalo as the game has been moved to Detroit, making the quarterback choice a little more open.

Here are three options to put in your quarterback pool.

Justin Fields, $7600 @ Atlanta

There may be a time to get off the Fields tournament train, but this week may not be. Fields have 24.4, 45.7, and 43.4 DraftKings fantasy points in his last three games.

He has rushed for 60, 178, and 147 yards, acquiring at least one rushing touchdown. He has attempted 23, 28, and 20 passes per game (we want more, but that is just being greedy).

Right now, Fields floor is 21. You can ride him solo or stack him.

The best part of the story is that the game is indoors in Atlanta.

Joe Burrow, $6800 @ Pittsburgh Steelers

Divisional games are hard to predict. Burrow will march into this one without the services of Ja’Marr Chase. The two teams have met this season. Remember the first game of the year in overtime?

Burrow’s stats for that game: 53 passing attempts, 338 passing yards, two touchdowns, four interceptions, 47 rushing yards, and one fumble, with 26.2 DraftKings points.

Without Chase, he has racked up 15.5 and 19.1 fantasy points.

You aren’t running Burrow out solo, so that a stack could get expensive. But it is a divisional game, and the Steelers are not very good at football against the pass.

Daniel Jones, $5700 v Detroit Lions

Did you know the Giants are 7-2 and favored by three in this game? The implied total is only 45, so if Vegas is to be believed, the Giants will score 25ish points. What a weird, weird world we live in.

Jones is not lighting the DraftKings world on fire. He has 31.8, 9.0, and 18.3 fantasy points in his last three games.

The Giants are not passing the ball much. In his last three games, the most passing attempts have been 31. Before the bye against the Houston Texans, he attempted 17 passes.

The Giants also average only 64.2 offensive plays per game (14th, while the Lions average 62.4, 18th).

The good news is that the Lions allow an average of 25 DraftKings fantasy points per game to the quarterback position.

Also consider Lamar Jackson, $8400; Dak Prescott, $6600; or Taylor Heinicke, $5300

RUNNING BACK

This is the week you might want to find value in your running back position. There is no shame in wanting Saquon Barkley in what is once again a really good matchup against Detroit, but his $8900 price tag might be a bit too expensive.

Looking elsewhere and finding value on this slate will not be difficult.

Jonathan Taylor, $7800 v Philadelphia Eagles

Last week in the new regime, Taylor had 22 rushing attempts for 147 yards and one touchdown. He finished with 27.3 DraftKings fantasy points.

There is no reason to believe there will be a letdown this week against the Eagles.

Although the Eagles have made moves to fortify their defensive line, Washington showed their weakness.

Believe that Jeff Saturday will have Taylor carrying the ball behind a slightly better offensive line.

Kenyan Drake, $5900 v Carolina Panthers

This is a “what if” suggestion. What if Gus Edwards returns and the Ravens decide to ‘feature’ him? Then this suggestion just became shit. But money is riding on even if Edwards returns. The Ravens learned their lesson last time and will ease him in to avoid further injury.

Week9 before the bye, Drake rushed 24 times for 93 yards and two touchdowns. He was also targeted twice. He finished the game with 24.9 DraftKings fantasy points.

On average, the Panthers are giving up the sixth-most DraftKings fantasy points per game to the running back position (27.2). They have also allowed nine rushing touchdowns and four passing touchdowns to the running back.

Jaylen Warren, $4900 v Cincinnati Bengals

Last week Warren was on the field for 43% of the offensive snaps. He finished with 37 yards on nine rushing attempts and 40 yards on three targets.

There are questions regarding the physical fitness of Najee Harris, and the Steelers have said they wish to get Warren more involved.

Again, divisional games are hard to predict, and the Steelers offense has moved on from Mitchell Trubisky. On the season, the Steelers average 25.9 rushing attempts per game. However, they have averaged 30 rushing attempts per game in the last three games.

Also, consider Josh Jacobs $7500; Tony Pollard (especially if Ezekiel Elliot is ruled out)$6500; or Cordarrelle Patterson $6200

WIDE RECEIVER

The wide receiver options are more than delicious this week. With the Buffalo game being moved indoors, the Vikings playing at home, and the Eagles playing against the Indianapolis Colts, three of the top five wide receivers have the luxury of playing indoors.

Justin Jefferson is the most expensive, with a $300 increase to $9100. No fault in putting him in your lineup and working around that.

But if you want to value shop, here are a few options.

CeeDee Lamb, $7500 @ Minnesota Vikings

This is sort of chasing points. Last week Lamb had his season best with 15 targets, 11 receptions, 150 yards, and two touchdowns. Do you believe it was an aberration or Lamb and Dax Prescott finding one another?

The Vikings are allowing the fourth-most passing yards per game on average (262.9) and the fifth-most passing attempts per game (35.8).

Stacking Lamb with Prescott is an option for a game with an implied total of 47.5, with the Cowboys a 1.5 road favorite.

Tee Higgins, $7100 @ Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers allow an average of 27.5 fantasy points to the receiver out wide. The Steelers are giving up 63% of their receiving fantasy points to the wide receiver.

In total, the Steelers are giving up the third-most passing yards per game to the opposition (263.9).

Higgins is on the field for a 17.8% target share and a 22% target rate. Higgins was targeted twice in the first game against the Steelers and ran 14 routes. Chase also played that game and had 16 targets with 55 routes. Those numbers have to go somewhere.

Terry McLaurin, $5900 @ Houston Texans

In his last three games, McLaurin has had 11, nine, and eight targets and eclipsed 100 receiving yards twice.

Last week the Texans gave up 95 yards and a touchdown to the New York Giants Darius Slayton.

McLaurin hasn’t scored a touchdown in his last three games, so a positive touchdown regression is coming. With his 21.5% target share and 20.2% target rate, he should be good for the DraftKings bonus and hopefully see the end zone. This game has a low implied total of 40.5, with Washington a road favorite by 3.5.

Also consider Stefon Diggs, $8300; Courtland Sutton, $6000 (especially if Jerry Jeudy cannot go); or George Pickens, $5200.

Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

About Gridiron Experts

Established in 2008
Gridiron Experts is a Fantasy Football advisory website providing content and advice to help you win your fantasy league. Nearly all our fantasy experts have over 15+ years of experience. Learn more about our staff here.

Awards

Fantasy Awards

Copyright© 2022 Gridiron Experts

To Top