Gridiron Experts

DraftKings Chalk, Pivots & Punts: Week 8

DraftKings Chalk, Pivots & Punts: Week 8

Welcome to NFL Week 8 grinders! Let’s recap what we’re doing here. This is a weekly piece on Daily Fantasy plays for Draft Kings with a focus on GPPs, in particular, the main slate. The articles will indicate who I think will be the chalk plays, who some pivots or contrarian plays are to get off the chalk, and some punt plays that could either save on salary or are just so far below the radar they might be tournament winning plays if all goes well. Instead of saying “Player A” is chalk, pivot to “Player B,” there will be a chart showing my data for the match-ups with the chalk/pivots/punts listed after that. In this article, pivots can be a pivot from one player to another player at the same position, from one position to another, or just a way to pivot to the other side of a game that everyone else might be stacking.

Simply put, the pivots will not always be direct pivots, more like other ideas to consider in the macro-view of the slate. Each game will have a brief write up and will include the team’s projected point total and spread as of the time of writing. Without further ado, let’s have a look at the Sunday main slate.

DraftKings Chalk, Pivots & Punts: Week 8

Above is the Vegas implied totals and lines for each game, as well as match-up data I have compiled for pace, opponent fantasy points allowed, and raw Yards & TD data vs. the positions we are looking at for building our DFS rosters. Red is bad, orange is beware, yellow is more neutral, and green is good. The dark green shade is better than good.

Below is my Chalk, Pivots, and Punts Chart based on my opinion of the slate and what the field will likely be on this week.

Websites I use to research are:

  • Daily Roto for Snaps, Targets, Carries, and Red Zone Opportunities (Promo code: “grid10” Save 10%)
  • The Quant Edge for WR/CB Match-Up Data (Promo code: “gridironexperts” Save 10%)
  • Pro Football Focus for WR/CB and OL/DL Match-Up Data

Plus I have a spreadsheet of my own that I use to keep track of defensive points by position (ie. WR1, WR2, Slot, etc) and multi-TD games allowed.

Now, let’s dig into each game and see what the good chalk is, where to pivot, and if there are any good punts on the slate. Note, in previous weeks I had the games listed in order as they appeared on the Draft Kings slate. Games are listed in order of Vegas implied point totals since the higher scoring games are where we tend to focus our attention first when constructing rosters.

Green Bay Packers (24.25/+8.5) at Los Angels Rams (32.75/-8.5) [57]

There are five games with implied totals over 50 points on this slate, this game being the highest. The Pack have a week of rest under their belt as they travel to sunny SoCal for what should be an offensive juggernaut of a game. The Rams cruised to a victory last week by not doing much on offense. Their defense forced C.J. Beathard and company into 2 fumbles, 2 interceptions, and a safety. The Rams started 5 of their drives in 49ers’ territory, three started from inside the 49ers’ 27-yard line. This certainly helped Todd Gurley ($9800) on his way to a third 30+ point game in a row. The Packers defense isn’t as solid as it used to be versus the run, so that puts Gurley at the top of the RB list again this week. His OL is one of the best in the league this year and should have no trouble opening up lanes for Gurley to breeze through. Three WRs have gone for over 30 DK points against the Pack this year (Thielen, Diggs, Goodwin), and it looks like Kupp might miss this one leaving Robert Woods ($6800) likely to remain in the slot for another week. Woods has the best match-up on paper against 2nd round rookie Josh Jackson. Brandin Cooks ($6900) should also be considered in this game for his big-play ability, and as the Vikings showed, there is room for two to have a good day against this defense. For me Gurley is the lock here though, then decide if you want to add one of the WRs.

The stories coming out of the bye week for Green Bay seem to indicate they will try harder to run the ball. This article by Tom Silverstein indicates that could mean more work for Aaron Jones ($4100). If true, and if Green Bay can stick to that, Jones will be a real bargain this week, and worth pivoting to. The other guy I like in this match-up is Davante Adams ($7900). Adams is third in targets per game, behind Thielen and Antonio Brown; second in red zone opportunities per game for WRs behind JuJu; and fifth in air yards per game. His role is secure as an elite WR option, yet he’s priced below $8k in a game where we’re expecting to see a ton of points. I’d also consider Jimmy Graham ($4700) here based on what Jared Cook and George Kittle have been able to do versus the Rams from the TE position, but I wouldn’t force him into my line-ups at that price. Kind of why he’ll go low owned, so if you’re shopping for TEs in this price range, he could be a differentiator. We also have to strongly consider Aaron Rodgers ($6400), even if he’s the second highest priced QB on the slate. Rodgers should be shedding the knee brace this week and could look to scramble more frequently. He’s already had two games over 30 yards rushing this year.

Denver Broncos (21.75/+10.5) at Kansas City Chiefs (32.25/-10.5) [54]

The Broncos are a disaster right now. Trade rumors, coach on the hot seat rumors, backup QB getting arrested and cut. Maybe getting away from home will help? Playing at Arrowhead in a division rivalry game is not an easy place to get right, but they’re going to have to figure out how to. Lucky for the Broncos, the Chiefs have no defense, so we should be able to pull something off of their roster for fantasy relevance. According to the match-up chart, KC is giving up their most points allowed to QBs, RBs, and TEs. In the meeting between these two teams during week 4, only Phillip Lindsay ($5200) was able to clear 15 points, so he will be the first place I look if I’m going with any Broncos. Denver tried to go run heavy in the first meeting to slow the pace and keep Mahomes from running up the score. It worked for 3 quarters, but then KC put their foot on the gas in the final 15 minutes. I’d expect a similar game plan here, and Lindsay will be the featured player for the offense. Lindsay and Freeman combined for 28 points last game, and if that repeats with Freeman on the sideline, Lindsay should have a 20+ point game. The Chiefs are allowing the most points to RBs on the slate, so even with the price increase for Lindsay, he’s still a great option this week. Emmanuel Sanders ($6500) only put up 11.3 on 7 targets last meeting, but I would look for the Broncos to scheme him open more in this one. Perhaps this is a showcase game for Demaryius Thomas ($4900) prior to finding a buyer? His price is low, and if I’m looking for WRs in this price range, he’ll be in the back of my mind but I won’t go out of my way to roster him. Case Keenum ($5100) might be worthy of a punt at QB since they’re probably going to have to throw to stay in this game, even if they start out run heavy.

You can bet the Chiefs skill players are going to carry high ownership this week. Patrick Mahomes ($7000 – QB1) is pricey, which may keep some people away, but we’ll still see a lot of Mahomes line-ups this week. Kareem Hunt ($7100) received a $1k price hike this week after posting back-to-back 30+ DK point games these last couple of weeks. No one on the Broncos can cover Tyreek Hill ($8600 – WR1) who has posted two 40+ DK point games already this year. Travis Kelce ($6800 – TE1) hung 20 points on the Broncos last game. All of these guys are expensive. If you can afford any kind of stack that includes them, I would certainly recommend doing so. Stacking Mahomes, Hunt, and Kelce will cost you 38% of your salary on DK this week, but they won’t totally restrict your line-up to all scrubs as fill-ins. At least one of my LUs this week will have a stack of 3 or 4 Chiefs in it (including the defense). The cheapest option with KC is to get Sammy Watkins ($4600) into your line-up. Watkins has a very low floor though, so he’ll be hard to trust but should be the lowest owned of the group. The Chiefs DST ($2600) is on the lower-mid-range of defensive pricing this week and is going to be one I consider.

 

 

Tampa Bay Bucs (25.0/+4.5) at Cincinnati Bengals (29.5/-4.5) [54.5]

The Bengals are among the top 3 on the slate for points allowed to RBs. If only TB had an offensive line to help whichever back starts here. Peyton Barber ($3600) is a reasonable punt if he’s healthy enough to start and take the majority of the carries. Otherwise, Ronald Jones ($3700) becomes an enticing punt option. Jones was given the majority of the reps with Barber out of practice on Wednesday, but Barber progressed to a full practice by Friday and appears to be good to go. The main attraction to the Buc’s offense is their high volume passing game. Jameis Winston ($6000) has thrown 93 passes since taking over the starting role 2 weeks ago. There are a few teams that have barely run more total offensive plays than that the last couple of weeks. Winston also has 15 rush attempts for 84 yards in his two weeks as the starter, with one rushing TD. His floor is about as high as anyone’s, and he’s only priced at QB7.

In the last 3 weeks, the Bengals defense has allowed 5 WRs to score 20+ points against them. Mike Evans ($7800) just had an 11 target game last week, which is what we have been accustomed to seeing for him in this offense. Evans should again be one of Winston’s primary reads this week. Another guy who saw a nice bump in targets over the past two weeks is O.J. Howard ($3900). Howard had 9 passes come his way last week (which is more than you can expect for a sub $4k TE on the slate), he’s third on the team with a 12 yard aDOT, and Cincy is allowing the third most points of the slate to the TE position making Howard a nice pivot down from higher owned guys like Njoku. Desean Jackson ($5300) and Chris Godwin ($4500) continue to share the #2 WR spot and are eroding each other’s value from a fantasy perspective. Jackson gets the deep shots and manufactured plays while Godwin gets the red zone looks and has converted those into 4 TDs in 6 games. The Bengals could be missing some CBs in this game, which would help Tampa’s passing game, but I’d stick to the trio of Winston/Evans/Howard if playing any.

The Bengals have scored at least 21 points in every game until last week when they got shut down by the Chiefs defense. That shouldn’t happen here, as Tampa is one of the friendliest defenses in the league. Tampa will be without Gerald McCoy and Vinny Curry again and also lost LB Kwon Alexander for the year last week. This is an opportunity to take advantage of. Andy Dalton ($6200) and A.J. Green ($8000) are probably my favorite stack this week. They could go relatively under-owned for this match-up based on recency bias and just the fact that there are so many good stacks out there to choose from. I’ll probably add Tyler Boyd ($6700) or C.J. Uzomah ($3500) in the stack as well. A look at the match-up chart above shows Tampa is allowing an average of 3 TD passes per game, 8.5 yards per pass attempt, the most points allowed to QBs, the most points allowed to the WR position as a whole, and the most points allowed to TE1s on the slate. They are also the worst team against slot WRs, making Boyd a solid play. Joe Mixon’s price jumped from $6800 to $7300 this, but I’m not sure why. Nick Chubb had a 66% snap share against Tampa and handled all the carried. Duke Johnson was hardly involved, and Chubb only scored 18. I want more than 18 points for $7300. I’ve seen some sites that are high on him, but I’m not seeing why.

Cleveland Browns (20.0/+8.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers (28.5/-8.5) [48.5]

The last time these two met (week 1) the game went the full 5 quarters, and only Tyrod Taylor broke the 20 point mark for the Browns. A lot has changed since then. The Steelers are still a team you can attack through the air, and their last two games have seen the opponent’s slot WRs doing the most damage. That sets up well for Jarvis Landry ($7200) bruh. Landry scored 17 in the first meeting, and is coming off a game where it appears he and Baker Mayfield ($5700) found some chemistry. Landry should see a minimum of 10 targets with 15 being in the range of outcomes. David Njoku ($4600) took a dip in targets last week, but is still in a good spot against the Steelers defense that allows the 3rd most points to TEs on the slate. I’m less excited about the Browns running game, so these will be the three I look at here. I might look at Damion Ratley ($3600) if I need a cap saving punt. He’s caught 9 out of the 11 targets he’s received the last two weeks, making him more reliable than Callaway. The Steelers #2 corner Artie Burns has struggled with consistency this year and has been in and out of the #2 spot. The thing to be wary of with Ratley is his snap counts went down between the last two weeks, as it appears he’s ceding snaps to Breshad Perriman ($3000).

The Steelers are coming off their bye week and get to return to action at home. I would suspect the Browns will have Denzel Ward shadowing Antonio Brown ($8500) as much as they can, but this shouldn’t be too great of an impediment to Brown finding success this week. However, it does have me a bit leery. Ward has shut down Keenan Allen, John Brown, and Desean Jackson over the past 3 weeks when he drew them in coverage. If Ward does draw AB and forces Ben Roethlisberger ($6100) to look to the next read, JuJu Smith-Schuster ($7400) will be in for a big day against Randall and Carrie. The Steelers seem to be going to more run-based sets using 2 TEs and/or an FB the last couple of games. If that continues, I like James Connor’s ($7500) chances at putting up another 30+ point game against the Browns. It would also add value to Vance McDonald ($3700) who caught 7 of 8 targets the last time we saw him.

 

 

Indianapolis Colts (26.75/-3.5) at Oakland Raiders (23.25/+3.5) [50]

Andrew Luck ($6300) scored nearly as many points as he attempted passes last week, 23 attempts for 22.7 points. He has cleared 20+ points for four weeks straight, and should continue that against the hapless Raider defense. Believe it or not, the Colts offensive line actually has the best match-up advantage on the slate according to PFF’s OL/DL Matchup Chart. Luck should have plenty of time to make his reads and pick apart the Raiders secondary that is allowing the most pass plays over 20 yards per pass attempt in the league. He’ll probably go under-owned with so many other good QB on the slate in good spots which makes him a good pivot option. As a stack, Luck will pair very nicely with Eric Ebron ($4900). Ebron has been Luck’s favorite target over the past few weeks, but that could change a bit if Jack Doyle ($4400) is back.

As of Friday, it appears Doyle is going to play, but comments made by Frank Reich make it sound like he may not be a primary player in this game, saying he’s “hoping he gets in the action”. T.Y. Hilton ($6300) is Luck’s most familiar target, and is also in play this week. Hilton only saw 4 targets in his return from injury a week ago, but that should ramp up now. Marlon Mack ($5400) is in a great spot and is coming off a career game last week. The Raiders have struggled with pass catching backfields this year which could open up some opportunity for Nyheim Hines ($3800). But, the snap share and opportunities were heavily skewed toward Mack last week, so it’s hard to trust anyone else besides him in the Colts backfield right now.

The Raiders traded away their best WR and placed their best RB on IR, leaving the offense with limited options. Doug Martin ($4400) didn’t look good in preseason, so I’m not expecting much here. The only two pieces I can see having any impact are Jared Cook ($5000) and Jordy Nelson ($4700). Martavis Bryant ($3700) is an odd fit for Jon Gruden’s horizontal offense and Derek Carr’s check down preferences. Jalen Richard ($4200) has some value as a dump off option when the Raiders fall behind, which should be every game from now on. Overall though, I’m only looking at Nelson where I need cap savings this week.

Seattle Seahawks (23.0/+3) at Detroit Lions (26.0/-3) [49]

Russell Wilson ($5900) hasn’t been running the ball as much this year, which is usually what keeps his floor high. However, he has thrown for 3 TDs per game these last two before the Seahawks bye week. Detroit is pretty consistent in allowing right around their average of 17 points per game to QBs. The Lions are also allowing multiple passing TDs in 5 out of 6 games. With The Lions recent acquisition of Damon Harrison, I would expect their friendly to the opponent rushing numbers allowed to start tightening up, and require more QB action to beat them. Wilson ran the ball for his highest total of the season last week with 6 carries, which could become a factor in this one if the Lions run a lot of man coverages and Wilson get an opportunity to exploit the mistakes their LBs make. Normally I have interest in Wilson every week, and I still do, but his price is a bit of a turn off for this match-up. He makes for an interesting pivot though if you MME contests and are looking for lower ownership. The mistakes the LBs make could benefit Rashaad Penny ($3900) in the passing game, if the Seahawks choose to expose that area of the field. Penny is a reasonable punt, but hard to trust at this point. Doug Baldwin ($5500) is having a down year and at that price it’s hard to call him a punt, but that’s basically what he is. Baldwin did see a season high 8 targets last week, and his match-up isn’t that difficult. It’s just hard to bank on production when we haven’t seen any yet. Tyler Lockett ($5200) is also in a decent spot here against the inexperience of Teez Tabor who allowed 5 receptions, 1 TD, and a passer rating of 154.2 on 6 targets last week. David Moore ($3600) seems to have carved out a role as a red zone specialist, but his snap percentage has declined over the last 3 weeks, so he’d be a risky punt if you’re reaching this far into the bag of tricks this week.

Golden TateCue the revenge game narratives, the Lions have a few ex-Seahawks on their roster. Golden Tate ($6000) is one of the ex-Hawks that may have something he’d like to prove in this game. It won’t change play-calling or Stafford’s read, but it could give him a little more juice in his caboose. I don’t particularly like the match-up here against Justin Coleman, but Tate is reasonably priced and usually leads the Lions in targets most weeks. Kenny Golladay ($5700) is coming off a low scoring week, but seems to do better at home. Marvin Jones ($4800) is the cheapest of the three, but is barely scoring enough points to warrant consideration. The Seahawks have had a pretty tough pass defense the last few weeks, other than the Rams game. I don’t know that any of these guys are must plays, but all will be low owned pivots or punts. The Lions player that really stands out is last week’s breakout star Kerryon Johnson ($5300). Of all RBs with more than 40 carries, Johnson has the second highest YPC behind Matt Breida with a 6.4 average. The Seahawks are a middle of the road run defense, and will get K.J. Wright back this week, so the match-up doesn’t look overly exciting, but Johnson is a play-maker. It would be nice if the Lions coaching staff would allow him to touch the ball more, but at $5300 that’s built in to his salary. He’s in play for me, but isn’t as high on my list as he could be if they would let him handle some goal line work, or throw more than 3 passes his way in a game.

 

 

New York Jets (17.75/+7) at Chicago Bears (26.25/-8.5) [44]

Let’s start with the Jets running game here, because there might be some value to exploit in this game. Sure, we know Chicago is the only team not to allow a rushing TD this year, but pass catching RBs can put up points against this defense, as demonstrated last week by James White. When we look at how this backfield has functioned, it’s been fairly close in snap percentage between Powell and Isaiah Crowell ($3700), with both in the low-to-mid mid 40% range. The Jets want to use more than one back in this offense. Powell has been the leader in carries for this backfield over the past few weeks with 44 carries compared to Crowell’s 32. Obviously, Crowell out carried him last week due to injury. Crowell is mainly a ball carrier, and has not received a significant amount of targets, maxing out at 3 in any game this year. To be fair, Powell has had some low target games, too, but Powell has also reached 6 and 7 targets in a game. We know Crowell is going to get the red zone/goal line carries, but without many targets to raise floor, and the minimal likelihood he is the first one to score a TD on the Bears, I’m letting the rest of the field jump on him thinking they’ve found value. If you really want to pull value out of this backfield Trenton Cannon ($3400) is the way to go. Once Powell left the game last week, he immediately started playing the snap ratio Powell would have received, and he saw 5 targets to Crowell’s 3. Cannon is going to see plenty of targets in this game, which boosts his floor. Should the Jets mimic the Patriots game plan and use Cannon as a receiving threat, he’s going to crush value at his price. Cannon is a legit cap saving punt that could help fit in some of the higher salaried studs this week. I’m also somewhat interested in Sam Darnold ($4500) as a punt in large field tourneys. The Bears defense has allowed 20+ points per game to QBs in both of their last 2 games, and 3 out of 6 on the year. The Bears defense has also allowed 2.3 passing TDs per game and a multi-TD passing game in 5 out of 6 games. With Robby Anderson getting the doubtful designation WR Jermaine Kearse ($4300) and TE Chris Herndon ($2800) will be his primary receiving targets. The Bears are favored by 8.5, which means we cannot rely on the Jets to run the ball in this game, making everyone in their passing game tremendous values this week. A lot of the field is going to be blinded by recency bias with Kearse for his d0nut at high ownership last week. Don’t be afraid to mix these guys into your line-ups this week to create savings.

With three 30+ DK point games in a row, including a 46 pointer against TB 3 weeks ago, Mitchell Trubisky ($6100) is looking like an elite fantasy option. That won’t change against the pass funnel Jets defense this week. Trubisky has a running element to his game which keeps his floor high and will keep defenses honest allowing for windows to open a little more over the middle of the field where the trio of Tarik Cohen ($5800), Trey Burton ($4800), and Anthony Miller ($3400) will be working. Allen Robinson ($5600) is nursing a groin injury and even if he plays could look more like a decoy than a threat, much like last week. Bears insider Adam Hoge noted Miller was targeted on 4 missed TD throws by Trubisky over the last two weeks. Should those start connecting, we’ve got a real steal at $3400 here. Miller offers cap savings as a solid punt option, Cohen is still under-priced at $5800, and Burton is lumped in the same salary range as some other great options at TE which will keep his ownership in check. There is a ton of value in this game on both sides.

UPDATE: Late Saturday night news broke that Allen Robinson is not likely to play. This all but seals Anthony Miller as a free square this week. The Jets are allowing over 100 yards and 20 points per game to the slot receiver position.

Baltimore Ravens (23.0/-2) at Carolina Panthers (21.0/+2) [43]

Joe Flacco ($5300) is a steal this week. Carolina invites you to throw on them and has allowed multiple TD passes in 5 of 6 games. The Panthers usually have a pretty stingy run defense, so this could be an aerial attack by Baltimore this week. My favorite play from this side is deep threat John Brown ($5900). Alshon Jeffery and OBJ have recently scorched The Panthers for 21 and 34 points respectively, and Smoke just put up a terrific game last week. He’ll be chalky, but he’s in a really good spot. The Panthers are allowing a 20+ yard pass play every 8.2 pass attempts, which is 4th worst in the league (full chart below). That’s going to allow for a few chunk plays with the pace that Baltimore plays at. Flacco and Smoke are the only two I see able to put up a 20+ point game in this, so those will be the only two Ravens I consider here.

Cam “The Fast Dinosaur” Newton ($5800) has one of the highest floors at QB, and is averaging the 4th most points per game on the slate. The Ravens are a tough defense to move the ball against though, and his receivers should be easy to shut down. Cam is more of a contrarian pivot this week, and is better for large field tourneys. Even with the passing volume Christian McCaffrey ($7000) sees he’s had a hard time clearing 20 points against the tougher run defenses of the league and Baltimore has not allowed a 20 point back yet this year. CMC is also more of a contrarian pivot than a must play this week. Torrey Smith is out, and will not get to face his former team, meaning there could be some value and opportunity for D.J. Moore ($3600) to find this week. Moore has been targeted 5 times each of the last two weeks, which is pretty solid for a Norv Turner 4th WR. Moore seemed to be sharing a role with Smith heading into this week, with similar snap share and target numbers. It’s possible Moore will take on a greater percentage of the snaps and targets they were sharing this week, but it’s also possible Curtis Samuel or Damiere Byrd take a few extra snaps and opportunities that cut into Moore’s potential. I still think Moore could hit around 12-15 points if he gets around 7 targets, with a possibility for more if he scores.

San Francisco 49ers (21.5/-1.5) at Arizona Cardinals (20.0/+1.5) [41.5]

The 49ers are one of the most beat up offenses in the league. It finally caught up with them last week versus the Rams with all the mistakes and inability to get anything going. This should be an easier game for them, or at least for the RBs, as Arizona is allowing teams to run the ball 34 times a game for 148 yards and 1.7 rushing TDs per game. The RB position as a whole is scoring 34.6 points per game, 2nd most on the slate. As of writing this the Matt Breida ($5000) was at practice on Friday, but his availability may still be in question. Even if he plays, he’s probably not going to be ridden too hard, creating a huge value opportunity for hard-charging RB Raheem Mostert ($3800). Mostert is going to be super chalky this week if Breida doesn’t play, but that ownership may come down if Breida does play and people aren’t sure what to expect. My expectation is Mostert will lead the RBs in total touches one way or another. However, if Breida plays he’ll eat into the workload just enough to make Mostert a little more dicey of an option. 34 carries a game allowed by the Cardinals is going to keep the floor up a bit though. Without Breida, Mostert could score 15+ points. With Breida, the ceiling drops a bit and 12-15 is a likely outcome. George Kittle ($5500) is just a beast of a TE this year and should be the most targeted player on the field this week creating plenty of upside. Marquise Goodwin ($5000) is the only other Niner I would consider using here due to his big play ability.

The Cardinals canned coordinator McCoy last week freeing up Byron Leftwich to assume the play-calling duties for Arizona. This is exciting news for sure, but as Bruce Arians said “I don’t care who’s calling plays, nobody’s going to come back there and just all of a sudden flip a switch and make that thing great with no offensive line.” This is probably true, and the OL has quite a challenge against the Niners defensive line this week. Still, we can expect (or hope) to seem more creativity on how certain players are being used. Primarily, we would like to see David Johnson ($6700) used more like we’ve seen in season’s past. No more slamming him into the middle of that OL, get him out in space and let him create. The Niners are allowing 2.3 passing TDs per game and 6 out of 7 multi-TD passing games. So, maybe we’ll see a Larry Fitzgerald ($4400) resurrection. Maybe Christian Kirk ($4500) or Chad Williams ($3000) start to shine a little more. Chad Williams is an interesting punt at a minimum price. He’s coming off an 8 target game, which tied Larry Fitzgerald for the team lead last week. He seems to have to most big play ability of the top 3 WRs on this roster. If I need to, I might go here for that salary and hope for a long TD or something to help create salary elsewhere. With the injuries and rough OL play by the Niners, the Cardinals DST ($3200) needs to be considered on week where no defense besides the Bears stands out.

Washington Redskins (22.5/-1.5) at New York Giants (21.0/+1.5) [43.5]

With the fire sale the Giants are having on defense, I’d like to target the Redskins offense, but it’s just not good and are another team with a lot of banged up players. Crowder is out, and Paul Richardson ($4000) and Chris Thompson ($5500) are questionable. Adrian Peterson ($4900) seems like an alright low-owned play. Don’t know that I’ll be reaching for much here though.

Volume and talent keep Odell Beckham ($7500) and Saquon Barkley ($8800) as weekly options, regardless of opponent. Odell has a competitive history with Josh Norman, including a game where they came to blows and were both ejected in 2015. Since that game OBJ has gotten the better of the match-up while at home, and has been less consistent in Washington. This game is at home, so fire him up. Sterling Shepard ($5200) and Evan Engram ($4300) are solid secondary pieces that can hit on any given week, but I’d look elsewhere. No need to dig too deep on this offense.

Good Luck!

 

Join the 9179 other Diehard Fantasy Football Subscribers

Fantasy Football never stops. Stay up to date on all of the latest Gridiron Experts articles, rankings, and draft strategies. Dominate your league in 2018 and take home a championship. Our Newsletter includes:

  • Latest Fantasy & Dynasty Articles
  • NFL Draft Rookie Profiles
  • Fantasy Football Sleepers and Stats
  • Fantasy Football Rankings
  • NFL Team News and Insight
  • Contests and Promotions
*Your email is 100% private and not shared with any other companies.

Leave a comment below

Jesse Jones

Jesse Jones

NorCal native Jesse Jones has been obsessed with fantasy football since joining and winning his first league in 1994. He has been a leader in looking for an edge, while others showed up to drafts asking for a cheat sheet and a pencil. He's been writing his own rankings since 2002, and mining data to build spreadsheets since 2006. He's also been a bartender, appraiser, and mortgage industry worker. Married to the amazing mother of his two children. Craft beer and travel enthusiast.

Add comment

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Pay Per Head

Fantasy Football T-Shirts

Fantasy Football T-Shirts