DraftKings Picks: Week 17
Welcome to NFL Week 17 folks! Last article of the year. Let’s recap what we’re doing here. This is a weekly piece on Daily Fantasy plays for Draft Kings with a focus on GPPs, in particular, the main slate. The articles will indicate who I think will be the chalk plays, who some pivots or contrarian plays are to get off the chalk, and some punt plays that could either save on salary or are just so far below the radar they might be tournament winning plays if all goes well. Instead of saying “Player A” is chalk, pivot to “Player B,” there will be a chart showing my data for the match-ups with the chalk/pivots/punts listed after that. In this article, pivots can be a pivot from one player to another player at the same position, from one position to another, or just a way to pivot to the other side of a game that everyone else might be stacking.
Simply put, the pivots will not always be direct pivots, more like other ideas to consider in the macro-view of the slate. Each game will have a brief write up and will include the team’s projected point total and spread as of the time of writing. Without further ado, let’s have a look at the Sunday main slate.
Above is the Vegas implied totals and lines for each game, as well as match-up data I have compiled for pace, opponent fantasy points allowed, and raw Yards & TD data vs. the positions we are looking at for building our DFS rosters. Red is bad, orange is beware, yellow is more neutral, and green is good. The dark green shade is better than good. Here is a link to the match-up data you can copy/paste into your own spreadsheet and manipulate and refine.
Below is my Chalk, Pivots, and Punts Chart based on my opinion of the slate and what the field will likely be on this week.
Websites I use to research are:
- Daily Roto for Snaps, Targets, Carries, and Red Zone Opportunities (Promo code: “grid10” Save 10%)
- The Quant Edge for WR/CB Match-Up Data (Promo code: “gridironexperts” Save 10%)
- Pro Football Focus for WR/CB and OL/DL Match-Up Data
- Twitter for beat writer coverage for each team. Click on the link to go to a team by team list.
Plus I have a spreadsheet of my own that I use to keep track of defensive points by position (i.e. WR1, WR2, Slot, etc.) and multi-TD games allowed.
Now, let’s dig into each game and see what the great chalk is, where to pivot, and if there are any good punts on the slate. Games are listed in order of Vegas implied point totals since the higher scoring games are where we tend to focus our attention first when constructing rosters.
Oakland Raiders (19.5/+13.5) at Kansas City Chiefs (/-13.5) [52.5]
The Raiders just don’t have the firepower to stay in this one, so we’re looking for potential garbage time contributors. Jalen Richard ($4200), Jordy Nelson ($4900) and Jared Cook ($5500) seem to fit this bill…and to a degree, so does Derek Carr ($5100) given the number of throws the Chiefs allow per game (39.9). I wouldn’t be super-confident rostering any of these guys, but they do present value opportunities. Carr went for 24, Cook for 23, and Jordy for 19.7 points against the Chiefs last time they played. Richard had 13.6.
The Chiefs can clinch home-field through the playoffs with a win here. It’s very possible they don’t need their starters to play all 60 minutes to accomplish that either, so Pat Mahomes ($7100) may be a little bit risky. Though, you would assume if he were to get pulled out, he would have scored enough points to earn it. The Raiders have been pretty weak against the run most of the year, so Damien Williams ($6100) has the most appeal for me here. However, it appears he may have competition for carries with Spencer Ware ($6200) back. The Raiders secondary lost a key contributor last week when Daryl Worley was placed on IR, and their rookie corner Conley also missed last game. Conley playing would be a huge boost to the Raiders and would help to slow down the Chiefs, maybe a little. Tyreek Hill ($8400) has been pretty quiet the last few weeks, including the last game against the Raiders, but this could still be a good match-up for him, and he always brings slate breaking talent to the table. Travis Kelce ($7200) has the TE single-season receiving yards records directly in his cross-hairs, needing 54 yards to reach it. Kelce went absolutely ham on the Raiders in their last match-up, and I’m sure they would like to try and keep him from the record, but i do not see that happening.
Atlanta Falcons (26.25/-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (25.25/+1) [51.5]
The Falcons don’t have anything to play for here except pride, and perhaps jobs for some of the players and coaching staff. Sarkisian, in particular, could be on the hot seat and will want to call a good game against a defense that has been beatable all year, though tougher after the firing of Mike Smith. All that said, I’m only looking at Matt Ryan ($6300), Julio Jones ($8500), and Austin Hooper ($3500) on the Falcons side. All three scored over 20 points against the Bucs already this year, and all three present the greatest match-up challenges for that defense.
The Bucs are also a team playing for jobs and pride. Jameis Winston ($6100) has made a pretty good case to stick around for at least another year. He’s got a good match-up to work with here and is a solid stack candidate with Mike Evans ($7700) and Chris Godwin ($4300). Godwin should get the nod over injured and disgruntled/injured Desean Jackson ($4400) this week. The other guy that has been quietly solid, but now may be a little more chalky due to the match-up, is Peyton Barber ($3600). He’s a good salary saver with a legitimate opportunity to clear 20 points this week.
San Francisco 49ers (19.25/+10) at Los Angeles Rams (29.25/-10) [48.5]
The 49ers have been a fun team to watch fight through the bevy of injuries they had to overcome this year. No one rolled over, and they’ll fight hard again in this one. When you lose all your high priced free agents and starters from the start of the year, it opens up an opportunity for young, hungry players to try and carve out a place in this league for themselves. We’ve seen Matt Breida, Dante Pettis, Nick Mullens, Raheem Mostert, and several of the defensive guys step up and say “challenge accepted”. Unfortunately, the only guy left standing from that list on offense is Nick Mullens ($4700). The 49ers are going to have to depend on Kendrick Bourne ($3800), Trent Taylor ($3000), Richie James ($3000), and most of all George Kittle ($6300) to play spoiler to their long time division rivals. George Kittle is 100 yards shy of breaking the single-season record for receiving yards for a TE, which might be something he can pull off against a defense that has been beaten by TEs this season. We’re also looking at Kittle as the top receiving threat for the 49ers this week, so he should be heavily targeted. If Kittle does break the record, he still may not be the final holder of it. Travis Kelce is closer than Kittle to breaking it, and we may see the record go back and forth at some point this Sunday. Jeff Wilson ($4400) should have the backfield mostly to himself this week, making him a reasonable punt option.
The Rams rested their starters in this game last year, and it cost them. They won’t let that happen this year since a win in this game locks them into the #2 seed and home-field advantage until/if they have to play New Orleans again. The Rams could back into the #2 seed with a Bears loss, but both teams will be playing at the same time, so they have to focus on their own business and will be playing this game for the win. Given what C.J Anderson ($5400) did last week, they could consider resting Todd Gurley ($8600) for one more game. If they do rest Gurley, look at that discount on rostering the Rams’ lead back. You get a price drop of ($3200). It’s darn near a lock you have to roster some CJA at that value if Gurley sits. Gurley is one rushing TD behind both Dickerson and Faulk for the Rams single season record, so if healthy he could have that on his mind. The 49ers seem to be having the most trouble with slot WRs, and Robert Woods ($6900) will be back on my radar this week after I had him as a roster lock last week.
***EDIT: Todd Gurley has been ruled out. Fire up “free square” CJA with confidence at that price.
Cincinnati Bengals (15.5/+14.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers (30.0/-14.5) [45.5]
Not going to bother with any Bengals this week, but I do have plenty of interest in a Steelers team playing for a playoff birth. The Steelers need the Browns to beat Baltimore on the road and win this game to have a shot. The Steelers have to control what they can, which is getting the win and letting the rest settle itself. You can bet they will be doing some scoreboard watching though. To get that win, I would expect a lot of points going on the board with Ben Roethlisberger ($7000) and whoever the starting RB is this week (seems likely to be Conner [$7500] returns) being at the top of my player pool. Antonio Brown ($8700) and JuJu Smith-Schuster ($8300) will also be near the top of my pool this week. Brown is one to keep an eye on, he has a knee issue and is not definitively playing as of this writing.
New York Jets (15.75/+13.5) at New England Patriots (29.25/-13.5) 
Robby Anderson ($5600) might get a bump in ownership this week from box score chasers. His match-up with Belichick’s defense that takes away your number one weapon is not appealing for me this week, though. The one guy I do kind of like here is Elijah McGuire ($5300) against the slow front 7 of the Pats defense. He plays on all three downs and has seen at least 14 carries and 4 targets in each of the last 3 games. Chris Herndon ($3400) should find some room to get loose against the Pats LBs, too.
New England can clinch a first round bye with a win here, so I would expect their starters to play most of, if not all of this game. Tom Brady ($6000) doesn’t look right, and neither does Rob Gronkowski ($5100), so those would be a couple of low owned contrarian plays for DFS, but are a fade for me. My guess is NE does what they did last week and try to run the ball 60% of the time and hit Julian Edelman ($7600) for first downs when the sticks are too far to get a good push in the run game. The Jets are a team that’s easy to pick on with slot receivers, so Edelman will probably be a popular play and could easily get to 20 points here. Sony Michel ($5200) trucked the Jets for 25 DK points a few weeks ago and seem likely to do that again, even with the extra face in the backfield lately (hi Rex).
Detroit Lions (18.25/+8) at Green Bay Packers (26.25/-8) [44.5]
All the Lions have left on offense is Kenny Golladay ($6600), so the volume he’ll see in this game makes him very playable, even with some recent duds on his season long box score. Robby Anderson was the only WR GB had to defend last week, and they couldn’t do it. I expect Golladay to eat here.
The Packers only have 3 reliable plays on offense left, Aaron Rodgers ($6300), Davante Adams ($8000), and Jamaal Williams ($6000). Williams has the advantage of being the only RB on the roster worth touching the ball. He should see a huge workload in this game, even against an improved Detroit run defense. Some milestone narrative here – Adams needs 2 receptions to break Sterling Sharpe’s GB single season record and 134 yards to break Jordy nelson’s single season team record. Aaron Rodgers is all about getting him there if Adams is healthy enough to go.
Carolina Panthers (18.25/+7) at New Orleans Saints (25.25/-7) [43.5]
And just like that, the Taylor Heinicke era has run its course for 2018. Next up, rookie Kyle Allen ($4000). That will pretty much cement a major workload for Christian McCaffrey ($9100) again this week. This is a tough match-up, one in which McCaffrey posted a solid point total in just a few weeks ago. CMC “only” scored 20 points by conventional RB methods, but added a few extra points with a 50 yard TD pass to Chris Manhertz. CMC is pretty much all I have interest in here, in what will amount to a farewell game for a lot of key players on the Panthers.
The Saints have everything clinched (Division, Conference, Home Field Throughout), so there is no reason to play their key offensive pieces in this game. It’s not likely many will play, or if they do they won’t play for long. Sean Payton is talking about keeping guys motivated with a goal of achieving the best record in Saints regular season history. There are also a few guys with personal milestones within reach. At the moment, my best guess is Brees comes in long enough to get his 8 yards to reach 4000 yards for his 13th season in a row, and then Teddy Bridgewater ($5300) comes in. The rest of the offense will likely play a bit longer, perhaps until each one accomplishes their milestone (other notable one is Michael Thomas [$8400] needs 24 yards to break the Saint’s single season receiving yards record). Brees, Thomas, and perhaps Kamara are really the only ones I see not finishing the game, so avoiding all three may be a sharp move. Bridgewater is intriguing, since he may be in the game pretty quick and will be playing/auditioning for a contract somewhere next year. Mark Ingram ($5300) needs 118 yards to pass Deuce McAllister’s All-Time Saints rushing record, so if Kamara sits, that would be in reach for him. Ingram is a free agent after this year, so he’ll also be playing with purpose if he gets the backfield to himself.
***EDIT: Sean Payton said Friday afternoon that Teddy Bridgewater will start. He’s a great, although chalky play this week as how tries to showcase himself for 2019 employment. It also appears as if Kamara, Ingram, and Thomas will see minimal snaps. Fade all 3 of them. Bridgewater is the safest play for the Saints, along with their DST. The WRs and RBs are dart throws.
Philadelphia Eagles (24.5/-7) at Washington Redskins (17.5/+7) 
The Eagles are currently in the 7th spot in the NFC, and with a win and a Vikings loss, they could get into the post-season. The Skins defense has surrendered an average of 33 points over their last 3 games against NFC East opponents, indicating this is a good spot for Philly to take care of their end of business. Zach Ertz ($6700) is in a great spot here since the Skins just released their best safety and their pass defense against TEs has declined with the arrival of HaHa Clinton-Dix. Golden Tate ($4500) had a great game in the slot for the Eagles last time these two met. Tate has become unreliable since only attracting 13 targets and an average of 4.8 fantasy points per game over the three games since that Washington game. His snaps are in the 20’s and his snap percentage is in the 30% range now. Not what we’re looking for this time around. Nelson Agholor ($3800) saw a volume spike last week and made a huge play in the 3rd quarter catching an 83 yard TD pass. His salary is way down there with riskier punt options, so keep him on your radar during roster construction if needing some extra salary. Nick Foles ($5900) will certainly chalky due to last week’s offensive explosion, but again comes in as a good play. Darren Sproles ($4400) has seen an increase in targets each of the last 3 weeks and could make for a solid punt option this week if salary savings are needed – this could be his last game as a pro (narrative street).
The Redskins offense is a mess. Their best players right now for DFS are Adrian Peterson ($4500) and maybe Jamison Crowder ($4800). It would be a low owned/contrarian type play to go with any Skins here. The Eagles have a pretty banged up defense right now, so I won’t dismiss these guys, it’s just going to be hard to consider them during roster construction.
Los Angeles Chargers (24.25/-6.5) at Denver Broncos (17.75/+6.5) 
The Chargers have an outside shot at the #1 seed in the AFC if they win or tie and the Chiefs lose. That would be huge for them. Rather than having to go on the road in the first round to face a team that just beat them in their own house (Baltimore), they would be watching the playoffs at home on TV for the first round. While it seems impossible for the Chiefs to lose to Oakland, stranger things have happened, and the Chargers will be a full go this week. I have interest in the trio of stars that have reward us all year for being nice and playing them on our DFS rosters: Phillip Rivers ($6400), Melvin Gordon ($8400), and Keenan Allen ($7900). Mike Williams ($4900) is a lower-salary/lower-ownership route to go here due to his red zone presence.
Denver is down to a bunch of scrubs and rookies on offense, and will have to rely on Royce Freeman ($3500) to carry the run game with Lindsay done for the year. The Chargers have mostly been tough against all positions, but have been vulnerable to RBs of late. This could be a breakout game for Freeman, but he’ll have to share snaps with Devontae Booker ($3200), which diminishes the appeal a bit. The rest of the offense is too green to consider reliable against the Chargers defense.
Dallas Cowboys (17.5/+6) at New York Giants (23.5/-6) 
The Cowboys enter this as a meaningless game scenario where the coaches have to decide just how long the starters should play. The Cowboys have to turn around and play again the following week to start the first round of the playoffs, so it’s not like giving them 2 weeks off where they can come back sluggish. Perhaps a few drives to keep the juices flowing is all they need here? Unless something comes out that strongly indicates a full 4 quarters from the Dallas offense, I’m fading all of them.
Saquon Barkley ($8200) is 236 yards behind Zeke for the rushing title. Assuming Zeke rests, I would expect Barkley to go after this as best he can. He’s not likely to get it, but he’s expected to put up a week winning score, especially if Dallas rests some defenders. Depending on which Cowboy defenders get sat, I have no interest in any of the other NY offensive players.
Cleveland Browns (17.5/+5.5) at Baltimore Ravens (23.0/-5.5) [40.5]
Baker versus Lamar: Act I is set to commence this week and there are some pretty solid stakes on the line for Lamar and the Steelers here. If Baker Mayfield ($5300) and company can beat the Ravens, and the Steelers win their game, then the Steelers win this division. If the Browns lose, the Ravens win the division. I cannot advocate starting a rookie QB in Baltimore, against this defense, with this much on the line. It’s preposterous. However, it also seems like the kind of play that can break the slate when Baker throws for 300 and 3 TDs. You’ll have to decipher how all of this could go right, and make that case for yourself…I’m still looking into it, and will be all the way up to Sunday kickoffs. I can say Dalton, Roethlisberger, and Brees have all gone for at least 16.8 points in Baltimore this year. If Mayfield does it, it’ll be to an outside receiver, perhaps one with a narrative. Breshard Perriman ($3100) has become a deep threat role player for Cleveland this year and was a bust in Baltimore. They make for a super-contrarian, off the wall stack if you’re willing to burn a line-up if it goes wrong.
Now, how does Lamar Jackson ($5600) win this battle? Most likely with his legs. Cleveland hasn’t faced many intentionally mobile QBs this year. Cam was deep into his shoulder injury when they played him, so the best example would be Deshaun Watson who only ran for 30 yards on them. Jameis Winston ran for 55 yards, but he’s more of a run when he has to QB. All that aside, the Ravens offense is designed for intentional QB runs, and uses a lot of creative looks to get open lanes to run through. Jackson as a runner is an intriguing play this week, but I think I’d rather go down in salary to Josh Allen if this is the type of QB I am going to roster. Allen has already demolished Miami on the ground once this year, and their defense is nowhere near as talented as the Browns. Jackson’s current limitations as a passer and the play calling of this offense have me off his receivers, but Gus Edwards ($4400) or Kenny Dixon ($3800) aren’t terrible options if you guess right on one of them. Gus gets plenty of carries, but not enough targets, and Dixon gets more snaps, but not enough volume to go along with it. Mark Andrews ($3100) seems to be the TE worth rostering as a punt option, and Cleveland has had some troubles with TEs this year, so that could work out if you wanted to stack Jackson with someone.
Chicago Bears (18.25/+4) at Minnesota Vikings (22.25/-4) [40.5]
This game will matter to both teams, so we should see the starters in fight mode here. A Chicago win and Rams loss puts the Bears on a first-round playoff bye. A win for the Vikes (or loss by Philly) ensures they will go to the playoffs. The implied total on this game is as low as it is for a reason. These are two of the best defenses in the league, and Minnesota at home is an immovable object. This could be a game where you play both of the defenses in Showdown, with one in the captain spot and leave it alone for the main slate. The Vikings secondary is really banged up right now though, with Sendejo and 1st round CB Mike Hughes on IR, and Rhodes on the injury report. This could be a good spot to sneak in a Bears WR, but none have emerged as a go-to DFS option this year. Allen Robinson ($5200) is the most consistently targeted of the bunch, so I’d go with him if rostering a Bears pass catcher. Just keep an eye on his injury status (ribs).
***EDIT: Robinson was ruled doubtful on Friday afternoon. This is an upgrade to the Vikings DST and a full fade for the Bears offense.
Stefon Diggs ($7000) had a massive game against the Bears in week 11 at Soldier Field, hauling in 13 of 18 targets for 126 yards and a TD. Last year in his week 17 match-up vs. the Bears, Diggs caught 6 of 6 targets for 65 yards and a TD. In 2016 Diggs caught 8 of 13 for 76 yards and a TD. See where I’m going with this? Roster Diggs in a few line-ups this week. The Bears haven’t found an answer for him yet. People may point at Kirk Cousins ($5500) lack of pass attempts since the firing of JDF as a reason to fade him this week. I’ll point to the Bears run defense as a reason to roster him. The Vikings will be over-matched in the trenches to realistically expect to move the ball on the ground. They’re going to have to throw here, and Cousins should have a solid game. He’s worth a look in a line-up or two. Adam Thielen ($7400) hasn’t been what he was to start the year and has only been targeted 8 times since the JDF firing (2 games). This could be a great under-owned spot for him. If the Bears focus a ton of attention on Diggs, Thielen could see a boost in targets (he did see 12 in that last Bears game), but Minnesota will have to be creative in how they use him because the slot is not the best way to beat the Bears.
Jacksonville Jaguars (16.75/+6.5) at Houston Texans (23.25/-6.5) 
Blake Bortles ($4400) hasn’t been very effective in his last few years against the Texans, but he did have a 326 yard with 3 TD game against them last year. Remarkably, with no turnovers. Leonard Fournette ($5800) is on the injury report again this week and went from a limited participant to a DNP between Wed/Thu and was listed as doubtful on Friday. It would appear as though Bortles will be throwing again here…a lot. He’s got plenty to play for, too. This is his last chance to showcase himself for free agency. We know how bad the floor can be here, but there is some upside in playing him at his salary in a game most people will overlook him in. Houston is one of 4 teams leading the league in 40+ yard pass plays, so adding Donte Moncrief ($3400) with Bortles for a multi-entry/large field GPP line-up stack would make some sense. Dede Westbrook ($4700) has bee the most consistent Jags WR this year, so he’s probably a better bet than Moncrief, but either is a risky play. The Texans have been beaten by speed lately (Hilton/Anderson). Agholor had that big play last week, and Corey Davis roasted them back in week 12. A Jags pass stack could hit here.
A.J. Bouye has yet to practice this week, which would matter more if the Texans had two receiving threats to stop, but with just DeAndre Hopkins ($8100), he should see plenty of Ramsey shadow coverage. Hopkins has had some solid, but not great games over the last few years when going against the Jags, but he’s a hard one to talk myself into this week. I don’t particularly care for any of the Texans in this spot, even with this game carrying some significance to their playoff seeding. Houston is in but could improve their way to a first-round bye if things fall the right way for them. The Texans DST ($3300) is in play though with Bortles back in the driver seat of the Jags offense and an ailing Fournette & Hyde.
Miami Dolphins (17.5/+4.5) at Buffalo Bills (22.0/-4.5) [39.5]
Adam Gase seems to finally recognize the strength of his team is the running game. This comes a week after playing without Frank Gore, and a week before getting fired. Great timing for an epiphany bud. This also coincides with his team’s trip up to Buffalo to face the #1 pass defense in the league. Do ya’ think Gase plans to run the ball this week? Yep. The question is, which back has the higher ceiling between Kalen Ballage ($3600) and Kenyan Drake ($3700)? Both have big-play potential. Drake took an 83-to-30 percent snap lead over Ballage last week, out-carried him 6-to-4, out-targeted him 5-to-4, with neither getting a red zone opportunity. This will be Kyle Williams farewell game for the Bills, and that defense, this implied total, and the amount of offensive plays Miami dribbles out each week do not inspire much confidence that Drake or Ballage will not get in each other’s way enough to roster either. Roster the Bill DST ($2700) instead.
The Dolphins have had a hard time stopping the run all year, and in their previous meeting with the Bills down in South Beach, they allowed Josh Allen ($6000) to run for 135 yards on them. The Bills have developed some weapons around him since then, so now they have to worry about him throwing over the top or gaining chunks of yards on the ground. Robert Foster ($5100) is a high upside stack partner to pair with Allen. Since week 10, when Foster started playing a larger role in the offense, he leads all WRs with an aDOT of 23.6 (Note: the previously mentioned Breshad Perriman is second with 23.5). Foster is capable of a 12+ point play at any time. Zay Jones ($4000) is another one to consider here, since he’s a leader in team targets each week, and has seen at 9 targets in 3 out of the last 4 weeks. Jason Croom ($2500) is a TE the Bills want to get a good look at in these last 2 games (counting last week), and he should find plenty of room against the Dolphins soft middle, especially if Miami commits a spy to watch Allen in front of them and not the TE running behind them. Croom is a decent mid-priced punt option at TE if you’re looking for some salary relief.
Arizona Cardinals (12.75/+13) at Seattle Seahawks (25.75/-13) [38.5]
The Seahawks at home is a tough sell for rostering opposing players in DFS. I guess you could punt with David Johnson ($5700) or Larry Fitzgerald ($4900) here if you’re looking for something contrarian that shows good data in the match-up chart.
For the Seahawks, I would assume Chris Carson ($6500) is going to be major chalk this week running into the worst run defense in the league. The Cards are allowing an eye-popping 153.1 yards per game on the ground with twenty runs of over 20 yards (2nd in the NFL behind the Jets). He doesn’t see much volume in the passing game, but the Seahawks entire offense is not based on volume. This is the most efficient offense in the NFL, and guys like Russell Wilson ($6100) can routinely put up 23+ points on just 17 pass attempts. The Seahawks still seem to have something to play for in this one, as they can clinch the 5th seed they are already holding with a win. A loss and a Vikings win would drop them to 6th. They will still be on the road, but you want to go into the playoffs coming off a win rather than a loss. Doug Baldwin ($6100) has come alive the past two weeks putting up 23+ points in both, and is in a good spot again here. Since he runs most of his routes from the slot, he should avoid Patrick Peterson for the most part.
Earlier this week I was not very excited about playing week 17 DFS until I started digging into the slate. The playoff scenarios, guys playing/auditioning for jobs next year, guys playing for team single-season records, retirement and revenge narratives, injuries, etc. have all created some interest in this slate for me. Lots of implied blow-outs on the slate, too. There are a few contrarian stacks that may be “burning money” line-ups, but I think they could be huge if they hit. Mainly, Bortles and Baker stacks are where I’m looking to get away from the field on a couple of entries for large field stuff. Saquon is under-priced for his match-up, so I’ll probably be overweight there. Below is a look at what I’m starting my weekend Player Pool with. I usually have this reduced quite a bit before Sunday morning, and may have a player pop in that I overlooked or just a new opportunity shows itself in the next day or two. Hopefully, it will help with starting your player pool this week, too. The link to the match-up chart above has this chart in the spreadsheet for you to alter for yourselves. Best of luck this week, see you next year, and thanks for reading!
NorCal native Jesse Jones has been obsessed with fantasy football since joining and winning his first league in 1994. He has been a leader in looking for an edge, while others showed up to drafts asking for a cheat sheet and a pencil. He’s been writing his own rankings and mining data to build spreadsheets for 12+ years. Jess puts in hundreds of hours of research and analysis each offseason to build his own database and identify targets for Redraft and Bestball. During the season Jess pours countless hours into DFS research. All of his analysis and findings are passed onto you as the reader.