DraftKings

DraftKings Cash Game Lineup: Week 4

Justin Fields

Welcome to a weekly series where I provide you with what I think is the optimal cash game lineup. All prices, fantasy points, and analyses are based on DraftKings’ DFS platform. If you are unfamiliar with what cash games are, or if you are interested in my basic strategy, click here.

Week 3 Recap

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I’ve been sun-running recently in cash. I flopped the nuts early with the Bills D, Tank Dell, and Amari Cooper, then kept that momentum going into the afternoon with strong performances from strong Adam Thielen and Patrick Mahomes. With pricing fairly tight, I felt great about this lineup and its performance. I made a bold move by not playing a super chalky Jerome Ford at $4,800, and while he did end up scoring 19.1 DK points, he only rushed for 18 yards. He happened to run well on TDs, which happens. I feel good about that fade even now. The mistake I did make last week was not targeting the expensive Vikings/Chargers matchup. Any of Kirk Cousins, Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, and Justin Jefferson were certainly in cash game consideration and I should have included at least one of them, but probably two. To wrap Week 3 up, here are my results to date in 2023.

  • Week 1: Won 44.4% of head-to-heads
  • Week 2: Won 92.3% of head-to-heads
  • Week 3: Won 92.3 % of head-to-heads

Total ROI: 44.00%

 

Now, here’s what I’m paying in Week 4.

Quarterback

I originally was playing Justin Fields ($6,600) here, but with Aidan O’Connell ($4,000) announced as the starter, I can’t ignore a minimum-priced QB against the NFL’s worst passing defense. We might get one or two spots every year where we can play a stone minimum QB, so I’m taking advantage. He looked great in the preseason, too.

Running Back

There are a ton of viable options for cash this week at RB in the $5,500-$6,500 range. I’m choosing two of these and by a thin margin. The first is Zack Moss ($5,000). I have concerns over his efficiency and pass-game work, but his role has been insane the past two Weeks. He’s played an absurd 87% of snaps and received an 86% rush share. This role plus a matchup against the Rams’ poor run defense makes him an easy click in cash.

 

Because of late breaking news, I’m pivoting away from Rhamondre Stevenson ($6,200) to Kyren Williams ($6,000). Any decrease in Stevenson’s role is paramount, especially considering Kyren Williams has an absurd role, commanding a league high 86% of snaps among his position. He also possesses a strong receiving role, as his 15% target share ranks fourth among all RBs. I hate to leave $200 on the table in cash, but Kyren is a clear upgrade at a lower slary now, and I don’t think the extra $200 can improve any other position on this team.

Wide Receiver

We aren’t blessed with all the sub $4k value WRs like in Week 3, so I’ll be paying up at WR. Tyreek Hill ($9,300) has been explosive this season, averaging 32.1 DK points per game (PPG). Additionally, I want to target this Bills-Dolphins matchup with a slate-high game total of 53.5.

Keenan Allen ($7,900) has seen unbelievable usage this season, receiving a 33% target share in a Chargers offense that ranks fifth in passing attempts per game. You can easily make a case that he should be priced closer to $9k than $8k, so I’ll happily play him at $7,900.

It’s a little scary to play two pass catchers from the same team in cash, but Joshua Palmer ($4,000) is by far the easiest cash play on this slate. DraftKings released prices before the Mike Williams ACL tear was announced, leading Palmer to be severely underpriced as the WR2 in this Chargers offense. I’m projecting 30-40 points between these two LA WRs, which would be a great return on $11,900 in salary.

Tight End

Tight End has been a wasteland this season, and this week is no exception. This is the kind of week where I’d like to get up to the elite tier of TEs, but the only one I like is T.J. Hockenson ($6,500), and even with the O’Connell savings, I couldn’t play him without taking a meaningful hit at another position. Thus, I’m playing a cheap Dalton Kincaid ($3,200). His floor is really low, but I think his ceiling is high, especially in this Bills/Dolphins game that is projected to shoot out as I noted earlier.

FLEX

Adam Thielen ($4,500) is still a great play, but I now have the salary to get up to Puka Nacua ($6,700), who I originally wanted to play in cash, but couldn’t afford. Puka “disappointed” on Monday Night Football, but still saw 7 targets and turned those into 12.2 DraftKings points. He has a great matchup against a lackluster Colt secondary and should get back to his Week 1 and 2 self.

DST

I really never considered anyone else here besides the Cleveland Browns ($2,800). They’re off to a historic start, allowing just 10.7 PPG. They host the Ravens at home, who are struggling and have an injury report as long as a CVS receipt.

Summary

What originally was a tough slate has been made a lot easier, thanks to a rare minimum-priced starting Quarterback. This allows us to play multiple high-floor, high-ceiling players.

Here is the final lineup:

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