Daily Fantasy

DraftKings Cash Game Lineup: Week 13

Jalen Hurts

DraftKings Cash Game

Welcome to a weekly series where I provide you with what I think is the optimal cash game lineup. All prices, fantasy points, and analyses are based on DraftKings’ DFS platform. If you are unfamiliar with what cash games are, or if you are interested in my basic strategy, click here.

Week 11/12 Recap

After posting a break-even week in Week 11 and the Thanksgiving holiday approaching, I thought it was prudent to take a week off. I was playing poor, running poor, and lost the energy I had for cash early this season. I’m hoping this week off is just what I need to get back to my winning ways from earlier in the year

Here are my results to date. 

  • Week 1: Won 44.4% of head-to-heads 
  • Week 2: Won 92.3% of head-to-heads 🔥
  • Week 3: Won 92.3 % of head-to-heads 🔥
  • Week 4: Won 7.1% of head-to-heads
  • Week 5: Won 92.3% of head-to-heads 🔥
  • Week 6: Won 71.4% of head-to-heads 🔥
  • Week 7: Won 35.7% of head-to-heads
  • Week 8: Won 100% of head-to-heads 🔥
  • Week 9: Won 28.6% of head-to-heads
  • Week 10: Won 0% of head-to-heads 
  • Week 11: Won 57.4% of head-to-heads
  • Week 12: Did Not Play

Now, let’s dive into Week 11.

Quarterback

I was always going to play Jalen Hurts ($8,300). While he does have a tough matchup against the 49ers’ 6th-ranked defense, there are not many intriguing options on the slate. Perhaps the best value is Russell Wilson, but I think he’s drawing almost dead to score 20+, so I’m not interested. Because of the tough matchup on paper, I think Hurts will be lower owned than he should be in cash and should deliver his classic combination of floor and ceiling. 

Running Back

His upside is somewhat limited due to his offense, but Rachaad White ($6,300) continues to be a viable weekly cash play. His role is among the best in the league, trailing only Christian McCaffrey in RB Snap%. He has a particularly good matchup against Carolina’s 32nd-ranked run defense. 

I, along with every other cash player, will be playing Zack Moss ($4,600) this week. Moss is a case of good chalk. In the absence of Jonathan Taylor, he’s going to have a significant carry share and only needs 10 or so points to pay off his salary. With Richardson not vulturing goalline TDs, Moss should be the goalline back, almost guaranteeing he hits that 10-point floor. 

Wide Receiver

Even at one of the most expensive salaries we’ve seen this year, I’m honoring my always-play-Tyreek-Hill ($9,600) rule. He has a fantastic matchup against Washington’s 32nd-ranked pass defense this week, too. 

If the Dolphins dominate Washington through the air as I suspect, the Commanders will have to play catch-up, advantage Terry McLaurin ($5,500). He’s coming off an 11-target game and hasn’t seen less than 7 targets in a game since Week 5. There’s certainly concern that a lot of his targets might be uncatchable, but his massive projected role in a game Washington will be trailing is too good to pass up on at just $5,500.

There were multiple punt WRs options that I considered, but my favorite of them is Jalen Guyton ($3,300). While he didn’t produce on them, Guyton saw 5 targets with an ADOT of 22 yards. I’m betting this week he catches more of those this week and hits his ceiling at close to the stone minimum salary. 

Tight End

I’ve been waiting for a playable stone minimum TE for weeks now, and we finally have one with Brevin Jordan ($2,500). Dalton Schultz hasn’t practiced this week, meaning Jordan is the next man up. This is the perfect spot to punt off TE when most of the field will play either Trey McBride ($4,900) or David Njoku ($4,100). 

FLEX

It’s beginning to be apparent that the greatest beneficiary of Dallas Goedert’s injury is DeVonta Smith ($7,300). In the two games without Goedert, Smith has seen target shares of 40% and 30% and has posted DK point totals of 15.9 and 26.6. 

DST

With the money left over, I’m playing the Saints DST ($2,700). I’ve talked before about the Goff home/road splits, so I always like to find spots to fade Goff when he’s on the road.

Summary

I think this lineup is a good mix of chalk and contrarian, with more upside than most optimals, which is always my goal.

Here is the final lineup:

Screen Shot 2023 11 30 at 9.27.08 PM

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