Welcome to a weekly series where I provide you with what I think is the optimal cash game lineup. All prices, fantasy points, and analyses are based on DraftKings’ DFS platform. If you are unfamiliar with what cash games are, or if you are interested in my basic strategy, click here.
Week 9 Recap
To be frank, I was disappointed in how I played. I was never super high on Zay Flowers, but played him anyway because he “projected well.” This was a spot I should have “IKBed” (“I know better”) and looked elsewhere. I also was unsure of Luke Musgrave, but I played him anyway, and while he did well at cost, he scored a late touchdown that could’ve easily never happened. While I’m still having a great season, I’ve had two losing weeks out of my last three, and I think part of that is due to playing too close to the optimal. I believe I’m at my best when I combine the best plays with my own strategy. I’m keeping that in mind as I build this week’s cash lineup.
Here are my results to date.
- Week 1: Won 44.4% of head-to-heads
- Week 2: Won 92.3% of head-to-heads 🔥
- Week 3: Won 92.3 % of head-to-heads 🔥
- Week 4: Won 7.1% of head-to-heads
- Week 5: Won 92.3% of head-to-heads 🔥
- Week 6: Won 71.4% of head-to-heads 🔥
- Week 7: Won 35.7% of head-to-heads
- Week 8: Won 100% of head-to-heads 🔥
- Week 9: Won 28.6% of head-to-heads
Total ROI: 12.88%
Now, let’s dive into Week 10.
I was always punting off at QB, the question was just how low I would go. Almost all of the top options are off the slate, besides Lamar Jackson ($8,000), who has a tough matchup against Cleveland’s defense, and Justin Herbert ($7,700), who’s probably too expensive and not worth paying up for. I also only briefly considered Joe Burrow ($6,800). He’s going to be super popular and playing him means I need to get uncomfortable at TE. Then, it was between Kyler Murray ($5,900) and Joshua Dobbs ($5,400). Murray undoubtedly has more upside, but I think it’s not wise to play a small QB who hasn’t played football in almost a year. Dobbs is cheap, has a rushing floor, and allows me to fit other pieces on this team, so I’m playing him.
Running back is so thin this week, so I think it’s prudent to pay up for Austin Ekeler ($8,400). He’s seen a 20%+ target share in back-to-back games and is in a game environment with a 48.5-point total, making him an easy play.
Travis Etienne Jr. ($7,100) was locked into my lineup as soon as I saw the prices on Monday. His role has been absurd, and the only reason why he might be priced so low is his matchup against a good 49ers defense. While it’s reasonable to be scared of how this SF front might stop him, you’d be double-counting since this is already baked into his price. His role is too good to pass up on at this discount, no matter who he’s playing.
DeAndre Hopkins ($6,000) was also an easy play this week. He’s earned a 25% target share average in the two games WIll Levis has played in en route to a total of 48.3 DK points in those two contests. There’s a little uncertainty playing him given the small sample with we have of Levis, but I still feel confident in him this week.
I absolutely love Diontae Johnson ($5,400) this week. He’s always been an elite target earner, and he finally found the end zone last week. He’s had three solid outings since returning from IR, and I’m expecting that to continue.
I’ve been burned by him before, but this is such an obvious spot to play Marquise Brown ($5,200). Again, I don’t know what version of Kyler we’ll be getting, but he will be undoubtedly the best QB Brown has played with this season, and Hollywood has had all the opportunity so far this season. He should finally be able to do something with that opportunity this week.
I originally wanted to play T.J. Hockenson, but a Sunday morning report that his snaps will be limited has me pivoting to Evan Engram ($4,400). Engram has been the definition of dependable this season, as he’s been targeting between 8-10 times in every game since Week 2.
With the extra $500 I have from getting off of Hockenson, I’ll be getting on to another Vikings, Alexander Mattison ($5,500). I considered Tank Dell ($5,500) here, but he’s been a better GPP play than cash and Mattison figures to get a large workload with Cam Akers sidelined for the season with an Achilles injury.
Similar to TE, I’m always trying to spend as little as possible on my DST. The Jaguars ($2,400) fit this bill against an SF offense that has slowed in recent weeks.
I’m going slightly against the grain this week in an effort to get back to my roots. This week is pretty unique in that there really aren’t any punt options, but I still feel like I was able to assemble a team with plenty of floor and upside, the name of the game in cash.
Here is the final lineup:
Jacob White is an avid fan of all things NFL, particularly fantasy football and the Chicago Bears. He is currently studying Economics at Wabash College where he hopes to learn the skills to further his career in the sports entertainment industry. He specializes in redraft, DFS, and best ball, where he routinely finishes at a profit, including a 2020 13-0 finish on the high-stakes KFFSC platform. You can find him on Twitter @FF_JacobWhite for additional advice on all things football and the semi-occasional homer tweet.