DRAFT Fantasy Targets for Week 11
Most of us that play daily fantasy sports do so via DraftKings and Fan Duel. However, this season I have ventured my way over to another platform, and that is DRAFT. The site that hosts live daily fantasy football drafts that take just minutes to complete. The cool thing about DRAFT is the fact that you and only you own the player you draft in the contests you enter. So if you are confident on a guy, grab him, if you are sure a guy will be a bust that week, fade him and maybe your opponent will draft him. On DRAFT there’s no worrying about your opponent having the same player as you. But hey, there is a good chance you already know this about DRAFT and that is why you are reading this article, and if you didn’t, make sure you get over to draft.com and check it out. In this article, I will give you my top two targets on DRAFT at each of the three eligible position spots: QB, RB, and WR/TE.
I haven’t been as excited for a slate in quite a while, as there are quite a few games that I am looking forward to rostering players from. The Redskins-Saints, Chiefs-Giants, Patriots-Raiders, Eagles-Cowboys, and Falcons-Seahawks games are all chalk full of fantasy goodness.
The Surprise of the week was that the Bills benched their starting QB Tyrod Taylor and have officially gone into full tank mode. Taylor had been having a pretty respectable year given the team’s situation. He is carrying a 91.4 QBR, a 10-3 QB-INT ratio, and he’s completing passes at a 64.2% rate, which is better than Dak Prescott, Russell Wilson, Marcus Mariota, Matt Stafford, Cam Newton, Andy Dalton, Ben Roethlisberger, Jared Goff, MVP candidate Carson Wentz and Deshaun Watson. Beyond that, a stat I found that was interesting is that Taylor has a 1.54 career INT%, which is the lowest in NFL history among quarterbacks with over 1,000 attempts. Nevertheless, Taylor is riding the pine and the Bills could wind up becoming a weekly laughing stock for the rest of the 2017 season.
With all of that said, let’s look at this week’s targets on DRAFT:
Week 10 Recap:
- Matt Stafford– 17/26. 249 Yards, 3 TD, 1 INT – 22.66 DP
- Dak Prescott – 20/30 176 Yards, 1 RUSH TD, 0 INT – 13.24 DP
- LeVeon Bell – 26 ATT, 80 RUY, 2 TD, 32 REY – 13.70 DP
- LeSean McCoy – 8 ATT, 49 RUY, 11 REY, – 7.50 DP
Wide Receiver/Tight End:
- Rob Gronkowski – 4 REC, 74 REY – 9.40 DP
- Golden Tate – 6 REC, 97 REY, 1 TD – 14.80 DP
DRAFT.com Week 11 Targets
Patriots at Raiders (Mexico City)
- Draft Point Average: 20.8
- Gridiron Experts Rank: 1st
The last time we saw the Oakland Raiders defense attempt to play football we watched Jay Cutler carve them up for 311 yards and three touchdowns. When healthy, the Raiders secondary is a formidable opponent, however, they have not been healthy for most of the year and as of Monday the Raiders placed first-round pick Gareon Conley on injured reserve. David Amerson, who is working his way back from a foot injury, Travis Carrie and Sean Smith are among defensive backs who will be on the field against the Patriots. Oakland currently ranks 22nd allowing 244.6 yards per game through the air.
The Patriots defeated the Broncos 41-16 in dominant fashion on Sunday Night. The win gives them a five-game win streak and a 12-game win streak on the road since January 2016. Brady finished the game with a 73.5% completion rate, three touchdowns and a 125.4 passer rating against one of the NFL’s most daunting secondaries.
At age 40, he leads the league in completions (231), attempts (343) and passing yards (2,807). He is 2nd with 19 touchdowns and currently has a passer rating of 108.3. While there have been throws that he has missed this year, for the most part, he has been the same old Brady. After what we saw out of this Patriots offense last week and what the Raiders defense has become it’s no wonder why this game has the highest total at 52.5. If Derek Carr and the Raiders can exploit the Patriots defense that has been gashed on numerous occasions this year, this could be an old fashion shootout and one of the more entertaining games of the week.
Eagles at Cowboys
- Draft Point Average: 22.1
- Gridiron Experts Week 7 Ranking: 3rd
Last week, I suggested Dak Prescott in this spot, and while he did rush for a score, it was not the performance we were looking for. That was mostly due to the fact that LT Tyron Smith was unable to play with a groin injury. Dak Prescott was then blasted six times by defensive end Adrian Clayborn who set an Atlanta franchise record for sacks in a game. The other injury that hurt the Cowboys was linebacker Sean Lee. Lee went out at the end of the 1st quarter with a hamstring injury. Lee’s absence was a significant blow as the Cowboys defense held the Falcons to 3.7 yards per play and only three total points on two drives before Lee left the game. In quarter’s 2-4, the Falcons averaged 5.6 yards per play and scored 24 points on basically six drives.
Lee has been ruled out for this week’s game and this has become a smash home run spot for one of the NFL’s leading MVP candidates. Above all else, Wentz should have a natural chip on his shoulder to go out and outperform his 2016 draft class counterpart Prescott on national television on Sunday Night Football.
One of the biggest keys to Wentz’ success this season is his red zone efficiency. He has completed 24 of 36 passes for 15 touchdowns and no interceptions inside the 20. The Eagles have no turnovers nor have they allowed any sacks and lead the NFL with a touchdown rate of 72.4 percent in the red zone. When the Eagles are supposed to score, they do.
Dallas has allowed the tenth-highest passer rating (96.4), and sixth-highest completion rate (66.6%) this season. Wentz leads the NFL in passing touchdowns (23) and the Dallas secondary has allowed 1.8 passing touchdowns per game, 24th in the NFL. Expect a big game out of the red-head out of North Dakota State.
Also consider: Matt Ryan, Derek Carr, Russell Wilson
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Chargers vs. Bills
- Draft Point Average: 16.2
- Gridiron Experts Weekly Ranking: 7th
I know, Austin Ekeler had 42 yards rushing, 77 yards receiving and two receiving touchdowns last week against Jacksonville and the Chargers may very well have found themselves their next Danny Woodhead, the fact is, He’s only playing 30 percent of the team’s offensive snaps in the last three games. Melvin Gordon is apparently still the lead back for Los Angeles Chargers and quite frankly I think this could benefit former Wisconsin Badger moving forward. When he gets his 14-20 carries he will be toting the rock on fresher legs
If the Chargers are smart, they will take a hard look at last week’s Buffalo-New Orleans game tape as the Saints were able to run all over the Bills defense for a total of 298 yards. The week before they allowed the New York Jets to rush for 194 yards and Matt Forte looked like he did when he wore a helmet with an orange “C” on both sides a few years ago.
This Buffalo Bills team is in shambles and as I mentioned, are starting their late round rookie quarterback after head coach Sean McDermott benched starting QB Tyrod Taylor. The Bills have been absolutely embarrassed when trying to defend the run. Over their last seven games, they have given up 880 yards, 4.92 per carry and 10 touchdowns to running backs. At one point last week during the 298-yard drubbing, the Saints ran the ball 24 straight times and scored six, yes six touchdowns on the ground.
I find it hard to believe that Buffalo would be able to bounce back after last week’s game and benching their starting QB, team morale has to be at an all-time low. I expect Gordon to have one of his best games of the season this week.
Saints vs. Redskins
- Draft Point Average: 15.3
- Gridiron Experts Weekly Ranking: 3rd
So the last two weeks in this spot I tried to attack the Saints run defense. I have finally decided to change my motto and go with the age-old mantra: “If you can’t beat ‘em, join ‘em!” This week I am rolling with a running back from the best running team in the NFL right now. The hard part is choosing the right one. So I flipped a coin, and I am going with Mark Ingram.[the_ad id=”72513″]Okay, no I didn’t flip a coin to choose, but I thought about it. Here’s why I chose Ingram over Alvin Kamara. While the rookie is a good fantasy option this week, Ingram still leads the Saints backfield in terms of touch counts with 30, 26, 24, 17, and 21 compared to Alvin Kamara’s 14, 14, 11, 16, and 17 since their Week 5 bye.
This season, Washington has been good against the run but things are about to change as, ILB Will Compton suffered a Week 10 Lisfranc sprain, Mason Foster’s has a labrum tear that is a season-ending injury, and the NFL’s leading tackler Zach Brown is currently questionable with an Achilles injury. Losing that many interior defenders is not a good sign against a team that runs the ball as well as the Saints do.
With Compton, Foster, and Brown, Washington allowed five rushing touchdowns to running backs over the last five weeks and allowed two teams to rush for over 100 yards over that span. Pro Football Focus gives the Saints offensive line a 29% advantage over the Washington defensive line when run blocking. I expect both Ingram and Kamara to continue to stay busy and put up another good fantasy day.
Also Consider: Alvin Kamara, Kareem Hunt, Jordan Howard, Tevin Coleman, Orleans Darkwa, Chris Thompson, Jamaal Williams, Rex Burkhead[the_ad id=”73518″][the_ad id=”69556″]
Wide Receiver/Tight End
Falcons at Seahawks
- Draft Point Average: 11.3
- Gridiron Experts Weekly Position Rank: 4th
I know, I know he is underperforming to Julio Jones’ standards this year, but he isn’t having a terrible season. He ranks ninth in catches (49) and fifth in yards (715). He isn’t finding the end zone, as he only has one touchdown this season, but sooner or later he will find the end zone again and this week seems like a week that it is likely to happen.
Jones and the Falcons get a Seahawks secondary that just lost Richard Sherman (Achilles) and will have to go with Jeremy Lane or the returning Byron Maxwell who was booted out of Miami after claiming to be the “Best CB in the NFL” across from rookie RCB Shaq Griffin. These guys can’t hang with Julio. Pro Football Focus predicts Jones to get Griffin majority of the time and gives Jones a 47% matchup advantage, the 5th best matchup for any WR this week.
In his career, Jones has played very well against the Seahawks. In his last three games against them (including playoffs) he is averaging eight catches, 111 yards, and scored in two out of three games. Against a depleted secondary on Monday Night Football Jones will make everyone remember how great he really is.
Chiefs at Giants
- Draft Point Average: 13.2
- Gridiron Experts Weekly Position Rank: 1st
Well, its official the Giants are awful and if you have somehow missed this memo, they are absolutely dreadful against tight ends. New York has allowed a receiving touchdown to a tight end in every game this year. Yes, every game. Just look at what they have given up this season to tight ends who are not Travis Kelce: Jason Witten (7/59/1), Eric Ebron (5/42/1), Zach Ertz (8/55/1), O.J. Howard (2/63/1), Cameron Brate (4/80/1), Hunter Henry (3/42/1), Broncos TEs (4/58/1), Seahawks TEs (5/76/1), Rams TEs (3/57/1), and Garrett Celek (4/67/1).
Kelce has 90 or more yards and/or a touchdown in five of his last seven games and Pro Football Focus gives Kelce a 20% matchup advantage over S Landon Collins. Over the Giants’ last six games, they have allowed 316.5 passing yards and 2.7 touchdowns per game. Travis Kelce is going to eat and we should see one of his creative end zone dances on Sunday.
Also Consider: Michael Thomas, Rob Gronkowski, Golden Tate, Sterling Shepard, Brandin Cooks, Doug Baldwin, Larry Fitzgerald, DeVante Parker, Evan Engram, Tyreek Hill, Zach Ertz