Draft Kings NFL Picks Week 12
Welcome to a Black Friday edition of Gridiron Expert’s Draft Kings selections. Hopefully, you and your family had a happy holiday and hopefully, you cashed in on some Thanksgiving Daily Fantasy action. No matter if you did or didn’t, Gridiron Experts has got you covered for the rest of the week 12 games. There are plenty of bargains worth watching this week and we will highlight a handful of them below. So sit back, relax, and prepare to win some serious cash this weekend.
Tyrod Taylor ($5,800): After shooting themselves in the foot last week, the Buffalo Bills have announced that Tyrod Taylor will start in week 12. Following Nathan Peterman’s historically horrific half of football, Taylor would wind up starting the second half and completing 15 of 25 passes for 158 yards and a touchdown. Make no mistake, week 12 will be a statement game for Taylor and it will come against the Kansas City Chiefs. This is a Chiefs team that is currently allowing the tenth most points to the position. After being unexpectedly benched in week 11, every start by Taylor going forward this season will be a job audition. On top of being a man on a mission, Taylor has a more than favorable schedule going forward. Now is as good a time as ever to take advantage of that.
Russell Wilson ($7,000): Coming off of his third 30-point DraftKings performance this season, Russell Wilson will look to continue his strong play against the 49ers. This is a 49er defense that is allowing the fourth most points to position and is coming off of their bye week. Wilson has really hit his stride since the Seahawk bye as he has averaged more than 300 yards passing in his last five games. As always, the 49ers will put up a fight against their division rival in the first half but ultimately, Wilson and the Seahawks will have their way in the second half. The 49ers are also tied for first in the league with 3 rushing scores allowed to quarterbacks. Even though Wilson has victimized the 49ers in his career with his legs, he has yet to record a rushing score. This Sunday will break that trend. I’m calling for multiple passing scores with one on the ground.
Alvin Kamara ($7,900): In the summer months, you would have been called crazy to suggest that the best NFC South backfield duo would come out of New Orleans. That being said, we are in week 12 and the Saints backfield has been shredding defenses. One half of that duo is rookie Alvin Kamara and I like him to come up big again against the Rams. In each of his last three games, Kamara has had five or more receptions and more than 100 total yards of offense. Couple that with his four touchdowns over the last three games and that $7,900 price tag is becoming more and more understandable. This could be a game a lot like the Saints performance against the Bills. This is a Rams defense is allowing the fifth most points to the position. Between the matchup and Kamara being the third most targeted running back in football, this is too good of a matchup to pass up.
Lamar Miller ($5,800): In the wake of the D’Onta Foreman injury, the Texans would claim Andre Ellington off of waivers. While that will help the depth chart this weekend, it is safe to say that Miller will get a majority of the work when the Texans take on the Ravens. In DK scoring formats, the Ravens are allowing the thirteenth fewest points to the position. That ranking is due in large part to Draft Kings being a full point per reception format and the Ravens allowing just 42 receptions. In actuality though, the Ravens are just one of nine teams to allow 1,000 or more yards rushing. Translation, don’t be fooled by the rankings. It is possible to run the ball on this Ravens team. While the headlines will read that the Ravens had their way with Tom Savage, Miller will be a source of production for Houston. I’m predicting a rushing score as well as Miller’s first game with 80 or more yards rushing.
Rishard Matthews ($5,100): Throughout some of the dips and dives of the Titans offense in 2017, Rishard Matthews has remained consistent. Matthews is currently the team leader in yards and touchdowns and will look to turn his attention towards the Indianapolis Colts in week 12. This is a Colts defense that is allowing the ninth-most points to the position and 15.6 yards per reception. In a losing effort last week, Matthews would have five receptions for 113 yards and a touchdown. Back in week 10, prior to the Colts bye week, JuJu Smith-Schuster would have 5 receptions for 97 yards and a score against the Colts. I like for Matthews to be right in that range. The Titans are coming around the tail end of the 2017 schedule and have a favorable schedule awaiting them. While Corey Davis represents the future of pass catchers in Tennessee, Matthews will continue to be the go-to Titan in week 12.
Zay Jones ($4,000): From one bargain to another, I like Zay Jones to give you a solid return on your investment in week 12. Jones’ last two games have proved to be the most productive of his rookie campaign. During that time he would catch 10 of his 14 targets for 121 yards and a touchdown. This week, the Buffalo Bills will go up against a defense that has been often discussed in this column, the Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs are allowing the fourth most yards to the position and have consistently stayed towards the top in points allowed. The Chiefs did just bring in Darrelle Revis but even if he does play, it is hard to imagine that Revis Island is still a thing. With Kelvin Benjamin likely to miss the game this week, I think Tyrod Taylor will look Jones’ way often. He will have his third straight game with seven or more targets and the production will follow.
Greg Olsen ($4,800) Lock of the week: This week will mark the return of one of Cam Newton’s favorite targets. In his first action since week 2, Greg Olsen will be going up against the New York Jets. While the Giants are the team in New York that is notoriously bad against the position, the Jets are no slouches. This is a Jets defense that is allowing the ninth-most points to the position. While there isn’t a large body of work to work off of this season, the history of the Newton and Olsen connection is undeniable. With the most targeted Panther of 2016 coming back into the fold, look for Olsen to get right back on track as one of the best tight ends in football. This will be the only time the rest of the way that Olsen will cost you just $4,800, you may as well take advantage of it while you can.
Ravens ($3,800): The Jaguars are understandably garnering the most attention among defenses and it is with good reason. That being said though, the Ravens have also been provided big numbers to daily fantasy players. They have shutout opponent in two out of their last three games and have recorded 12 sacks in the process. The Ravens tend to have big games against below average quarterbacks and last week may have been the best example. In week 11 the Ravens would have Brett Hundley wanting to take a Lambeau leap off of a short pier. Tom Savage of the Houston Texans isn’t likely to be any different and I envision interceptions and sacks happening often in this one. A 15 to 20 could be a real thing in this one.[the_ad id=”73965″][the_ad id=”69556″]
Thanks for reading
Mike is a hardcore fantasy football fan. He has been doing serious writing for a couple of years now and loves finding the next big sleeper that no one is talking about. He also isn’t afraid to go against the grain and predict the next big bust. The fantasy community is as strong as ever and Mike is ready to help you win a title!