Draft Kings NFL Picks Week 10
This column had a productive week 9 with the running backs leading the way. Performances by Alvin Kamara and Adrian Peterson would serve as some of the league’s top headlines. While those players won’t make this weeks column, there are some good options to help steer you towards the money in week 10. The two stretch that saw 12 teams on bye has now come to a close. In daily fantasy formats, this allows you more flexibility to formulate that weekly lineup and it is noticeable in week 10. There are plenty of noteworthy options including some enticing bargains. As the NFL season continues to fly by, here are your picks for week 10.
Matthew Stafford ($6,800): This week will mark the third time in Stafford’s career that he will take on the Cleveland Browns. In the previous two games, Stafford would average 335 passing yards with a total of nine touchdown passes. What doesn’t help matters for the Browns is that Stafford has been on a bit of a roll. Over Stafford’s last three games, the former Georgia Bulldog has thrown for an average of 365.3 yards. Putting up those sorts of numbers has allowed Stafford to finish with 20 or more points in each of his last three games. The winless Browns are currently allowing the eleventh most points to the position and could easily find themselves back in the top ten after this Sunday. Stafford is a lock for 275 passing yards or more.
Ryan Fitzpatrick ($4,900): If you’re looking for a bargain at the quarterback position, look no further than Ryan Fitzpatrick. With Jameis Winston sidelined, Fitzpatrick will assume the role of starter and will face his former team the New York Jets. This is a Jets defense that is allowing the fifth most points to the quarterback position as well as a league-high 19 touchdown passes. Despite winning last Thursday night, this is also a Jets team that allowed Tyrod Taylor to put up 27.9 points in DraftKings formats. When the Buccaneers needed Fitzpatrick to step in against the Cardinals in week 6, the Harvard graduate responded with 290 passing yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions. It was a performance that would have Fitzpatrick finishing the week with 22.6 points. If you decide to go top heavy at other positions, Fitzpatrick is a solid option to round out your lineup.
Jordan Howard ($6,100) Lock of the week: The early season whispers of Howard being underutilized are now a distant memory. This is evident as the sophomore Bears back will look to have his fourth straight game with 20 or more carries. In his breakout rookie campaign, Howard never even had two straight games with as many carries. Coming off of a bye, Howard and the Bears will welcome in the Green Bay Packers. Last season, Howard’s production was minimal against the Packers. That was a 2016 season that saw the Packers allow the eighth-fewest points to the position. In 2017 however, the Packers are currently allowing the eighth most. The Packers without Aaron Rodgers puts the Bears in a better position to try and control the game with the run. Between his recent trend in carries and the likelihood that the Bears won’t have to abandon the run, I like Howard to have himself his fourth 100-yard rushing performance of 2017.
- Howard was also mentioned in our week 10 Fanduel article. His projected ownership percentage is 34.5% according to FantasyPros, which is high but might be one of those players you just have to accept this week. Normally, it’s always a good strategy to avoid heavily owned players, but in Howard’s case, his matchup and price are just too good to pass up.
Orleans Darkwa ($4,500): I know what you’re thinking, here comes another week with yours truly nominating a running back facing the 49ers. Could you really blame me? Last week, the lock of the week Adrian Peterson would have his biggest rushing yard performance since week 9 of the 2015 season. Week 10 will be another week in which the 49ers fall victim to a big running back performance and Orleans Darkwa will be the man to do it. This is a Giants team that is just trying to dust themselves off after an embarrassing loss to the Rams. Look for the speechless Ben McAdoo to try and slow things down offensively with Darkwa getting 15 to 25 carries. That is all Darkwa will need against a 49ers defense that is a matchup dream for the position. The Giants have been abysmal but this is still a 49ers team that is allowing an average of 32 points per game to the position. Follow the money on this one.
- Orleans Darkwa’s DraftKings projected ownership percentage is just 7.1% according to FantasyPros. Great matchup, great price, but again, he needs his carries.
JuJu Smith-Schuster ($5,600): This week, Steelers coach Mike Tomlin has come out and said that Martavis Bryant will play in week 10. Don’t let that steer you away from JuJu Smith Schuster as Steelers get ready to visit the Indianapolis Colts. The Steelers are coming off of a bye week but prior to that, Smith-Schuster caught seven of his 10 targets for 193 yards and a touchdown. This is Steelers team that despite being 6-2, hasn’t been as consistent offensively as expected. Smith-Schuster’s production in week 8 could be that spark that the Steelers have been looking for. As for the Colts, they are currently allowing the second most points to the wide receiver position and could be involved in a shootout this Sunday. Even if Martavis Bryant has some production, Smith-Schuster will still be heavily involved in the Steelers offensive attack.
Robby Anderson ($5,200): The Jets have been full of surprises in 2017. The team that was never supposed to win a game has won four so far this season. Robby Anderson has been a part of the Jets surprising minimal success and has scored 10 or more points in each of his last three games. Granted, a lot of Anderson’s production has come off of big plays. Luckily for potential Anderson owners, this week’s Jets opponent could have Anderson coming up big again. The Jets will square off against a Tampa Buccaneers team that is allowing the third most points to the wide receiver position. With Jameis Winston out of the lineup, this could be a game that gets away from the Buccaneers. If it does, Anderson could be the player to help break the game wide open.
- Robby Anderson’s projected ownership percentage ranks 5th according to FantasyPros for wide receivers in week 10, making him a little more chalky than I had hoped. Nevertheless, his price in a stack with Josh McCown saves you a lot of fantasy bucks when building your lineup (QB $6100 + WR $5200). You can see all the week 10 ownership percentages here.
Kyle Rudolph ($4,600): For our first pick at the tight end position we come to a situation where opportunity meets matchup. After being given five or more targets only once in his first four games, Kyle Rudolph has had seven or more targets in every matchup since. That sort of opportunity had Rudolph delivering his second-highest scoring game of the season last week. Rudolph and the Vikings will now turn their attention to the Washington Redskins. After nine weeks of the 2017 season, the Redskins are allowing the fourth most points to the position. On top of allowing the fourth most points, they are also allowing the most yards to the position. The Vikings tight end is the second most targeted player on his team and will continue to see a majority of the targets. There aren’t many tight ends at this price that you can say that about.
- Surprisingly, Cameron Brate is the top projected Tight End in terms of ownership percentage for Draftkings in week 10. Kyle Rudolph is projected to be the fourth-ranked owned TE according to FantasyPros at just 7.9%
Garrett Celek ($2,500): This is one of the more sneakier picks in week 10 and could be a good option if you’re pinching pennies while setting your lineup. George Kittle has already been ruled out for this weekends game when the 49ers welcome in the reeling New York Giants. Despite being the second tight end on the depth chart, Celek has still managed a reception in each of his last five games. Already having a bit of familiarity with C.J. Beathard can only help and the opponent is a favorable one. The Giants are currently allowing the most points to the position, including a league-high eight touchdowns.
Rams ($3,600): This isn’t something you generally hear in week 10 but the Rams are currently the leaders in the NFC West. Their surprising season will have them welcoming in the Houston Texans in week 10. The Rams have had an interception in all but one week this season and that should come in handy as DeShaun Watson is out for the remainder of the year. The NFC West-leading Rams will be able to get after the quarterback in this one as we could see the fourth straight game in which the Rams finish with 10 or more points.
Good Luck this week!