DRAFT.com Targets for Week 7
Most of us that play daily fantasy sports do so via Draft Kings and Fan Duel. However, this season I have ventured my way over to another platform and that is DRAFT. The site that hosts live daily fantasy football drafts that take just minutes to complete. The cool thing about DRAFT is the fact that you and only you own the player you draft in the contests you enter. So if you are confident on a guy, grab him, if you are sure a guy will be a bust that week, fade him and maybe your opponent will draft him. On DRAFT there’s no worrying about your opponent having the same player as you. But hey, there is a good chance you already know this about DRAFT and that is why you are reading this article, and if you didn’t, make sure you get over to draft.com and check it out. In this article, I will give you my top two targets on DRAFT at each of the three eligible position spots: QB, RB, and WR/TE.
As a Cheesehead from Wisconsin, I am still in mourning over the loss of our beloved Aaron Rodgers. This year in particular it seems like injuries to top stars have really had an effect on fantasy this season. In season-long if you bring home your league’s trophy you will simply be the team that survived. My fantasy teams continue to rack up the body count and thankfully we have DFS and in particular DRAFT to lean on to ease the pain.
— Gridiron Experts (@GridironExperts) October 12, 2017
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Week 6 Recap:
- Tom Brady – 20/38, 257, 2 TD, 1 INT – 17.18 DP
- Drew Brees – 20/30, 186, 2 TD, 2 INT – 13.54 DP
- Kareem Hunt – 9 ATT, 21 RUY, 5 REC, 89 REY – 13.50 DP
- Devonta Freeman – 9 ATT, 68 RUY, 2 REC, 11 REY – 8.90 DP
Wide Receiver/Tight End:
- Julio Jones – 6 REC, 72 REY – 10.20 DP
- DeAndre Hopkins – 2 REC, 19 REY, 1 TD – 8.90 DP
Week 7 DRAFT Targets:
Dallas Cowboys @ San Francisco 49ers
- Draft Point Average: 22.5
- Gridiron Experts Rank: 3rd
I haven’t liked Dak Prescott more all season than I do in this spot this week. Fresh off of a week 6 bye Prescott and the Cowboys get the 0-6 San Francisco 49ers. While the Niners have lost five games by three points or less, this defense is now without linebackers Navorro Bowman and Arik Armstead. Look at how the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense faired this season without Kwon Alexander and Lavonte David.
The Cowboys 20th ranked offensive line while run blocking hasn’t lived up to their recent standards this season. Ezekiel Elliott is seeing only 0.8 yards before first contact in comparison to the 2.2 he worked with last season. This plays right into the narrative of this being a pass funnel defense that continued to operate that way last week holding the Redskins to 58 yards on 27 carries and allowing 330 passing yards.
All six quarterbacks that have faced San Francisco have finished QB17 or better this season. Prescott has posted top-12 fantasy stats in all five games this year and finished with 22.92, 23.58, and 30.74 fantasy points on draft leading into the bye week. Prescott should be your #1 pre-ranked QB this week.
Atlanta Falcons @ New England Patriots
- Draft Point Average: 14.6
- Gridiron Experts Week 7 Ranking: 4th
Matt Ryan and the Falcons offense has underachieved so far this season. This probably should have been expected after the coordinator change from Kyle Shanahan to Steve Sarkisian and last week’s let down against Miami may be cause for concern for Atlanta. However, this week’s matchup with one of the historically bad defenses in NFL history is too good pass up.
The Patriots are the first team in NFL history to allow 300-plus passing yards in six straight games. They have allowed a league-high 14 touchdown passes and have given up top-5 weekly QB finishes to four out of the six QB’s they have faced. The Falcons will get Mohammed Sanu back from injury this week, while the Patriots will play without their top corner Stephon Gilmore.
Don’t be afraid to take our friends in Las Vegas’ advice. This game is the highest total on the slate. Expect a shootout and expect Ryan to have his best performance of the season thus far.
Also consider: Tom Brady, Marcus Mariota, Kirk Cousins[the_ad id=”73965″]
Chicago Bears vs. Carolina Panthers
- Draft Point Average: 13.8
- Gridiron Experts Weekly Ranking: 10th
After a 36 carry, 167 yard performance against Baltimore last week, it is unrealistic to expect Howard to get 30+ carries. However, he has had 19 or more touches in four straight games, and with a rookie quarterback in a game that is currently projected to have rain in the forecast 20-25 carries is a definite possibility.
The Panthers will be without difference maker Luke Kuechly who is back in concussion protocol. With rookie Mitch Trubisky under center again this week it is unlikely that the Bears will be planning to let Mitch sling the rock very often. According to Pro Football Focus, the Bears offensive line has a 29% advantage over Carolina’s defense when running the football.
Howard may not be first on everyone’s list this week but I think he could be this week’s Mark Ingram and you will be able to get him after your opponents select Le’Veon, Gurley and Zeke.
New Orleans Saints @ Green Bay Packers
- Draft Point Average: 12.9
- Gridiron Experts Weekly Ranking: 8th
Speaking of Mark Ingram, there is nobody happier that Adrian Peterson was traded to Arizona. Ingram, must have been contemplating finding greener pastures himself after he had his best statistical season the prior to Peterson being brought in by the Saints.
Ingram proved that he belongs as the starter last week piling up over 100 yards rushing for the first time this season. Ingram is currently seventh in the NFL in carries inside the ten-yard line (8), sixth in carries inside the five (6), and top 15 in RB receptions
While Alvin Kamara will be in the fold, he won’t eat into Ingram’s workload much. Green Bay’s run defense ranks a sub-par 18th in DVOA, and when I see an 84% chance of rain for a game on natural grass, I know the running backs are going to get some work in. Ingram is a legitimate RB1 play on DRAFT this week.
Also Consider: Devonta Freeman LeVeon Bell, Todd Gurley, Adrian Peterson, Alvin Kamara, Tevin Coleman, Chris Ivory
Wide Receiver/Tight End
Atlanta Falcons @ New England Patriots
- Draft Point Average: 9.8
- Gridiron Experts Weekly Position Rank: 2nd
Julio Jones leads the Falcons in targets by 11 and even though the big game hasn’t happened yet we have to assume that it will come. Jones is still ranked the 2nd overall wide receiver in the NFL according to Pro Football Focus. The fact is the Falcons are running fewer plays than in year’s past. They currently rank 27th in plays per game. In turn, that has left Jones with 174 less snaps than Antonio Brown for comparison. After getting embarrassed by Miami last week I think the Falcons will have a massive chip on their shoulder, with a lot to prove against the team that came back to defeat them in last year’s Super Bowl.
As I have discussed already the Patriots will be without their top corner Stephon Gilmore and New England has allowed the fourth-most catches (77) and a league-high 1,191 yards to wide receivers. This spot in this game has to be when Jones and company make everyone remember why this is a historically great offense. I expect the Falcons to try to get Jones going early and I think he finds the end zone for the first time this season. Recency bias may allow you to snag him in the 2nd round of your DRAFT.[the_ad id=”69554″]
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh
- Draft Point Average: 16.5
- Gridiron Experts Weekly Position Rank: 3rd
A.J. Green has 51 targets so far this season, the next closest receiver for Cincinnati has 25. We know who the man is in orange and black. Many players will be scared off Green due to the fact that Pittsburgh allows the 3rd fewest completions in the NFL (18.8 per game) and currently has the number one overall pass defense only allowing 153.5 passing yards per game. Call me crazy but I am still slapping that draft button.
Usually we look at a players home-road splits and he plays better at home. Green’s splits are the opposite. In a seven-year sample, he averages a 6.6 catches 97.2 yards and 0.67 touchdowns on the road compared to 4.7/71.0/0.48 at home. Not to mention, since Bill Lazor has taken over for Ken Zampese as offensive coordinator, Green has scored a touchdown in all three games and has averaged 11 targets and 121 yards per game.
This week, he will get Joe Haden for the majority. Pro football focus gives Green a 27% matchup advantage. In a division rivalry expect this game to be close, but also expect A.J. Green to get his.
Also Consider: Antonio Brown, Dez Bryant, Rob Gronkowski, Brandin Cooks, Chris Hogan, Robert Woods, Eric Decker, Jordan Reed, Cole Beasley