Fantasy Targets for DRAFT.com
Most of us that play daily fantasy sports do so via DraftKings and FanDuel. However, this season I have ventured my way over to another platform and that is DRAFT. The site that hosts live daily fantasy football drafts that take just minutes to complete. The cool thing about DRAFT is the fact that you and only you own the player you draft in the contests you enter. So if you are confident on a guy, grab him, if you are sure a guy will be a bust that week, fade him and maybe your opponent will draft him. On DRAFT there’s no worrying about your opponent having the same player as you. But hey, there is a good chance you already know this about DRAFT and that is why you are reading this article, and if you didn’t, make sure you get over to draft.com and check it out. In this article, I will give you my top two targets on DRAFT at each of the three eligible position spots: QB, RB, and WR/TE.
It is week 12 already and it’s sad to say but we only have six more weeks of regular season NFL left. It has been a crazy season, with the most parody that I can ever remember. Your guess is as good as mine as to who will bring home the Lombardi Trophy. But, what I do know is that I am as excited as ever to enjoy a few days off and spend some time with the family for Thanksgiving. With that being said I am releasing the article a little sooner this week.
I’d like to take this opportunity to say thank you for taking the time to read this article each and every week and I hope everyone has a wonderful holiday. Eat some food and enjoy those Thanksgiving Day games. In the meantime, read below and prep for our Sunday main slate on DRAFT.
Week 11 Recap
- Tom Brady – 30/37, 339, 3 TD – 25.56 DP
- Carson Wentz – 14/27, 168, 2 TD, 2 2PC – 20.02 DP
- Melvin Gordon– 20 ATT, 80 RUY, 1 TD – 14.00 DP
- Mark Ingram – 11 ATT, 134 RUY, 1 TD, 3 REC, 21 REY – 23.00 DP
Wide Receiver/Tight End:
- Julio Jones – 5 REC, 71 REY – 9.60 DP
- Travis Kelce – 8 REC, 109 REY – 13.90 DP
Week 12 DRAFT Targets:
Patriots vs. Dolphins
- Draft Point Average: 20.8
- Gridiron Experts Week 12 Ranking: 1st
To be honest last week’s Tom Brady spot was too easy. This week, we stare at a Tom Brady spot that is again too easy. The Patriots are back home after their vacation south of the border to take on the Miami Dolphins. We really don’t know what to expect out of this Dolphins team as Head Coach Adam Gase has not named a starting quarterback as of Wednesday, but Jay Cutler remains in concussion protocol and it doesn’t look like he will start. Armando Salguero of the Miami Herald has reported that the Dolphins are leaning toward starting Moore and using Cutler in an emergency or in relief if he’s needed.
With that being said Brady did miss practice Wednesday with an Achilles injury but all signs point to the 40-year old playing without limitations against a Dolphins team that has allowed 272.3 passing yards a game over the last three weeks. Brady hasn’t missed a game due to injury since 2008, when he suffered a season-ending knee injury in the season opener.
If Moore plays, the chances of Miami scoring points and making it interesting definitely goes up. Even if Moore doesn’t start and Cutler gets the nod it won’t affect Tom as we have seen throughout Brady’s career, game script isn’t much of a factor for choosing spots to play the five-time Super Bowl Champion. He has thrown 34 of more passes in every game but one this season and the fewest passing yard total he has racked up is 249. There is no safer play than number 12 this week. Lock and Load and make him your QB1 in your pre-draft rankings for Week 12.
Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers
- Draft Point Average: 23.9
- Gridiron Experts Week 12 Ranking: 2nd
If you are playing in a head-to-head this week you want Tom Brady or Russell Wilson. End of story, move on. Wilson is currently the number one fantasy quarterback in the NFL and that isn’t going to change after this cupcake matchup with the 49ers.
San Francisco has allowed multiple touchdown passes in five straight games, the longest streak in the league, they allow 29.0 points per game at home this season, the most in the league and they allow 2.2 touchdowns in the red zone per game, the most in the league.
Wilson isn’t just racking points up by playing quarterback for the Seahawks, he is their leading rusher as well. He has rushed for 376 yards this season and only three times has he failed to record 20 yards rushing in a game. Because Seattle is struggling to run the ball in traditional ways he has been the reason defenses stay honest. This has made Wilson fantasy owners dreams come true as he has finished QB9 or better in eight of his past nine games while leading the team in rushing in three of the past four games. All of this coupled with the fact that Wilson will be throwing at receivers that will be covered by Dontae Williams (PFF grade 43.2) and K’Waun Williams (PFF grade 36.9) gives us a lot to love.
Also consider: Matt Ryan, Ben Roethlisberger, Carson Wentz, Cam Newton, Tyrod Taylor, Marcus Mariota
Mark Ingram/ Alvin Kamara
Saints @ Rams
- Draft Point Average: 16.1/15.7
- Gridiron Experts Week 12 Ranking: 3rd/6th
If you’re not on this Saints bandwagon by now, what’s wrong you? I am not choosing one or the other because it just doesn’t matter. The duo ranks first and third among running backs with 50-plus rushing attempts this year in terms of fantasy points per opportunity.
Last week, they both touched the ball 14 times and it was the first time this season that they were given the same workload. But, just so we are clear, Ingram still leads the Saints backfield in terms of touch counts with 30, 26, 24, 17, 21, 14 compared to Alvin Kamara’s 14, 14, 11, 16, 17, 14 since the Saints Week 5 bye. Since the Saints traded Adrian Peterson Mark Ingram has been the number one RB in fantasy football.
Kamara is not far behind him and coming into week 12 as he has double-digit draft points in eight straight games. Only Le’Veon Bell (nine) has a longer streak at the running back position. He leads all running backs in percentage of runs that go for a first down (40.3%), runs that for five or more yards (50%) and runs that go for 10 or more yards (27.8%). On top of that, Kamara became the first Saints running back to score a touchdown in four straight games since Darren Sproles in 2012.
While the Rams have been a Cinderella story this season, the one place they struggle is defending the run. Los Angeles is currently 29th, allowing 110.4 rushing yards per game to enemy backs, and they rank 31st in rushing draft points allowed per game (16.4).
Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills
- Draft Point Average: 17.2
- Gridiron Experts Week 12 Ranking: 4th
I know Kareem Hunt has gone from unbelievable rookie phenom to fantasy dud over the past few weeks. In his first five games, Hunt racked up 609 yards and four touchdowns at 6.3 yards per carry while adding 16 catches for 166 yards and two scores through the air. He was amazing. He ranked first in Pro Football Focus’s elusive rating (104.8), first in missed tackles forced on runs (28) and first in missed tackles forced per carry (0.29), during the last five weeks, the Chiefs have not looked the Super Bowl contender many thought they were. Hunt has run for just 264 yards at 3.5 yards per carry, adding 19 catches for 169 yards through the air and has not scored a touchdown.
So if he’s no longer producing why should we target him this week? Two reasons. The first is that he still has 21 or more touches in two of the last three games and he ran season-high 27 pass routes last week. The second reason and the big one, is that the Buffalo Bills cannot stop the run. They have allowed 4.21 yards per carry (21st) and an NFL-worst 16 rushing touchdowns. In the last three weeks they have allowed an astonishing 212.7 rushing yards per game. To top it off Buffalo has allowed a 77% completion rate to pass-catching running backs.
Hunt has just five touches inside of the 10-yard line since Week 2 and the Chiefs have run only 18 plays from 10 to the goaline over that span (30th). This week I expect that trend to change and if nothing else, Hunt should have his best fantasy performance of recent weeks.
Also Consider: LeVeon Bell, Todd Gurley, Christian McCaffrey, Tevin Coleman, Jamaal Williams
Wide Receiver/Tight End
Browns vs. Packers
- Draft Point Average: 17.4
- Gridiron Experts Week 12 Ranking: 1st
The clear-cut top option at receiver this week is Antonio Brown. Last week he exploded for 37.4 DP, 144 yards, and found the end zone three times. Now that is obviously not a likely scenario again, but it is most certainly in the range of possible outcomes for Brown against a Packers defense that allows 68 percent of the passing yards gained against them by wide receivers, the third-highest rate in the league.
Green Bay has allowed 297 or more passing yards in three of the past four games and Kevin King is graded the 5th worst CB in the NFL according to PFF. While I have trouble with that ranking for King as I don’t believe he is that bad, Brown may be the one and only matchup proof wide receiver and this is certainly a plus matchup for the 8-year pro.
The fact that Green Bay’s offense is unable to sustain drives, thus leaving their defense on the field too long as well as putting their defense in negative situations after turnovers, the Steelers should have a field day in this one. If I was a betting man I would bet that AB will find the end zone and even though the Steelers may not throw the ball much in the fourth quarter the points and production will have already happened.
Patriots vs. Dolphins
- Draft Point Average: 12.8
- Gridiron Experts Week 12 Ranking: 4th
Brandin Cooks is quietly having a great 2017 season. He is 4th in the NFL in receiving yards (786), 3rd in yards per catch (17.5), he leads the Patriots in targets (74), and he has 4 touchdowns. He and Brady have been on the same page the last few weeks and he had a breakout game In Mexico with 9 catches for 149 yards and a touchdown.
40% of Brandin Cooks’ receptions have come on targets 15 yards or deeper downfield, the second-highest rate in the league behind Will Fuller (41.2 percent). So he is high ceiling play, but as each week goes on his floor is rising as well. In Cooks last three games he has had 28 targets. Brady is looking his way early and often.
Miami has allowed five touchdowns of 30-yards or longer, tied for the second most in the league so the narrative is fitting together. As mentioned earlier, the Dolphins are allowing 272.3 passing yards a game over the last three weeks and Cooks is going to get Xavien Howard coverage who is graded at 35 according to PFF, 3rd worst in the NFL. Sign me up.
Also Consider: DeAndre Hopkins, Julio Jones, Michael Thomas, Travis Kelce, Doug Baldwin, Rob Gronkowski, Rishard Matthews, Devin Funchess
Thanks for Reading!