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DRAFT DFS Strategy Week 8: Snake Draft Advice

Three Person Drafts: NFL Week 8 (Sun-Mon Slate)

I hope you did some drafts last week. Todd Gurley and Patrick Mahomes came through yet again. Julio Jones was a disappointment, but Odell Beckham Jr. was a huge value. Week 8 looks even better than last week. You’ll get a huge advantage from every position this week.

Reminder for this week. These projections are based on the full Sunday-Monday slate, but Jacksonville plays Philadelphia in London Sunday morning at 9:30 AM EST.

Let’s compare some Draft with DailyRoto this week projections:

*Projections may change throughout the week. These projections were pulled on October 25th for the Sun-Mon slate.

Quarterbacks

Quarterbacks DailyRoto Draft Draft Rank
Patrick Mahomes 23.83 21.8 QB1
Jared Goff 21.91 19.5 QB8
Aaron Rodgers 21.68 19.5 QB8
Andrew Luck 21.30 18.7 QB11
Andy Dalton 20.79 19.9 QB4
Ben Roethlisberger 20.06 20.3 QB2
Jameis Winston 20.77 20.1 QB3

Patrick Mahomes, Patrick Mahomes, Patrick Mahomes. We’re drafting Mahomes early and often this week. Jared Goff and Aaron Rodgers are freebies if by chance we don’t get Mahomes.

Running Backs

Running Backs DailyRoto Draft Draft Rank
Todd Gurley 25.16 21.4 RB2
Joe Mixon 20.86 16.2 RB8
Saquon Barkley 20.66 21.6 RB1
James Conner 20.46 18.3 RB3
Kareem Hunt 17.63 18.1 RB4
James White 17.59 17.5 RB5
David Johnson 16.97 16.7 RB7
Christian McCaffrey 14.78 16.7 RB6

For some reason, Draft actually has Saquon Barkley projected higher than Todd Gurley. We’re going with Gurley everywhere we can. Notice Joe Mixon. He’s a key part of our teams this week.

See More of Daily Roto’s Projections here.

Wide Receivers/ Tight Ends

Wide Receivers/TE DailyRoto Draft Draft Rank
Adam Thielen 18.74 17.3 WR1
Tyreek Hill 18.21 14.5 WR7
Robert Woods 18.03 15.0 WR5
A.J. Green 17.77 15.9 WR3
Antonio Brown 16.46 15.2 WR4
Stefon Diggs 15.80 12.9 WR13
Davante Adams 15.53 14.8 WR6
Michael Thomas 14.75 16.0 WR2

WR is a jumbled mess. We like Tyreek Hill and Robert Woods more than draft, but these WRs are projected so close that you can nab Antonio Brown, Michael Thomas, or Davante Adams if you prefer. We can draft Mahomes early because Joe Mixon is a last round freebie and all of these WRs are nearly interchangeable.

 

 

Drafting in First Position

You Team 2 Team 3
Todd Gurley Saquon Barkley James Conner
Joe Mixon Kareem Hunt Adam Thielen
Patrick Mahomes Michael Thomas A.J. Green
Tyreek Hill Antonio Brown Ben Roethlisberger
Robert Woods Jameis Winston James White
DR Total: 106.09 DR Total: 90.27 DR Total: 94.62
Draft Total: 88.9 Draft Total: 91.0 Draft Total: 89.30

This draft falls perfectly for you. I decided to draft Mixon early because of that WR value you can get late. That 11.5 point projection advantage you get over Team 3 is the biggest we’ve seen in weeks.

Drafting in Second Position

Team 1 will take Saquon Barkley first overall in theory. You’ll see that the draft order is a little bit different,but your team is exactly the same as it was in the first draft spot.

Team 1 You Team 3
Saquon Barkley Todd Gurley James Conner
Kareem Hunt Patrick Mahomes Adam Thielen
Michael Thomas Tyreek Hill James White
Ben Roethlisberger Robert Woods A.J. Green
Antonio Brown Joe Mixon Jameis Winston
DR Total: 89.56 DR Total: 106.09 DR Total: 95.33
Draft Total: 91.2 Draft Total: 88.9 Draft Total: 89.1

I’m thinking Team 1 takes Gurley more often than not, which leaves us with a draft that looks like:

Team 1 You Team 3
Todd Gurley Saquon Barkley James Conner
Michael Thomas Adam Thielen Kareem Hunt
A.J. Green Patrick Mahomes Antonio Brown
James White Joe Mixon Robert Woods
Ben Roethlisberger Tyreek Hill Jameis Winston
DR Total: 95.33 DR Total: 102.30 DR Total: 93.35
Draft Total: 91.1 Draft Total: 91.4 Draft Total: 86.7

We lose that massive advantage Gurley gives us, but we still have a 7 point advantage. If by chance Team 3 takes Adam Thielen at the first turn, take Mahomes with your second pick.

Drafting in the Third Position

Team 1 Team 2 You
Todd Gurley Saquon Barkley James Conner
Michael Thomas Kareem Hunt Adam Thielen
A.J. Green Antonio Brown Patrick Mahomes
Jameis Winston Ben Roethlisberger Joe Mixon
James White Davante Adams Tyreek Hill
DR Total: 96.04 DR Total: 90.34 DR Total: 102.10
Draft Total: 90.9 Draft Total: 90.0 Draft Total: 88.1

This is the draft position I worry the most about. I think most teams will scoop up A.J. Green, Michael Thomas, and Antonio Brown before getting their QB, but I wouldn’t be shocked if he gets drafted before our third pick. If you’re worried about losing him, you can draft him with one of your first two picks and just fall back to waiting on your WRs.

Conclusion

This may be the best week for these drafts so far this year. If you do a bunch of drafts, I would start mixing in some different combos of WRs just in case Tyreek Hill or Robert Woods disappoint. Go forth and conquer.

 

 

Thanks for reading

 

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