Dallas Goedert Fantasy Preview
2022 was Goedert’s first full season as the starting tight end for the Philadelphia Eagles. Goedert recorded 55 receptions for 702 yards on 69 targets, averaging 12.8 yards per reception and scoring 3 touchdowns. While these are good numbers for a first-time starter, Goedert received a shoulder injury against the Washington Commanders in week 10 of the season. As a result, he missed the following five games. If it wasn’t for the shoulder injury, he most likely would have surpassed 900 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns. Goedert finished the 2022 season as the third-most targeted player behind receivers A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith who were targeted 146 times and 136 times, respectively. In fantasy football, Goedert finished as the TE12, scoring 141.2 points in PPR leagues and the TE10, scoring 86.2 points in standard leagues. Coming into the 2023 season, the Eagles have a chip on their shoulder after their loss to the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl 57. Recent reports have stated that Goedert has been performing extremely well in training camp and is a solid third option for quarterback Jalen Hurts. With one full season as the starter under his belt, Goedert will expand on the 2022 season and look to help the Eagles get back to the playoffs with a chance to win the Super Bowl for the organization.
This betting prop O/U 3.5 receiving TDs: Over -130 favorite is available on DraftKings. I clearly remember when Dallas Goedert went down with the shoulder injury as I was watching the Eagles vs. Commanders game in my living room. He was having a good year, and this hurt his chances of achieving stardom. This year, Goedert has his own goals stating on the Philly Radio Show that “I want to get past those 1,000 yards this year. Hopefully, I can stay healthy, play a whole year and break that.” With the coaching changes in Philadelphia which I will touch on later in this article, I am confident that Goedert will hit the over on this bet.
Goedert’s ADP in standard redraft leagues is 71, 64 in PPR leagues and ranked as the TE7. His current ADP is correct based on how running backs and wide receivers are ranked in consensus rankings. I understand that running backs and wide receivers are going to be ranked higher due to being more desirable and the state of the tight end position. Honestly, I cannot see Goedert’s ADP being lower than guys like J.K. Dobbins, who has not played a full season in two years and Christian Watson who will not be as effective due to Jordan Love struggling.
I think Goedert’s ADP is too low when circumstances such as players being questionable for week 1 or in the conversation for fantasy bust season. Unfortunately, I expect his ADP to remain the same by the end of August.
Up close with Dallas Goedert and the Eagles tight ends. pic.twitter.com/cmMt3scLkJ
— Tim McManus (@Tim_McManus) August 9, 2023
Earlier in the offseason, the Eagles organization promoted quarterback coach Brian Johnson to offensive coordinator. Johnson was responsible for mentoring quarterback Jalen Hurts and helping him rise to become one of the best quarterbacks in the National Football League. Before coaching for the Philadelphia Eagles, he was the offensive coordinator for the NCAA Division I Florida Gators. In 2020, Johnson helped lead the Gators to an 8-4 record before eventually losing 46-52 to the Alabama Crimson Tide in the SEC Championship. The spread offense they ran made the 2020 team so special. The high-powered offense helped players such as Kadarius Toney, Kyle Trask, Dameon Pierce, and Kyle Pitts showcase their talents. The Gators were the number three team in the nation at the beginning of the season but fell to number fourteen by the end of the season. Since I am talking about the tight end position, I am going to highlight Kyle Pitts’ phenomenal 2020 season. Pitts was a crucial part of the offense, playing in eight games (missing four due to injury), recording 43 receptions for 770 yards, averaging 17.9 yards per reception, and scoring 12 touchdowns. After the season was over, Pitts was named a unanimous All-American, named to the First-team All-SEC, and won the John Mackey award (most outstanding tight end in college football).
After researching the 2020 Gators, I was excited to see how Johnston will use Goedert in the offense. I am confident that the Eagles will build off 2022 and give Goedert more looks in the slot in 2023. I fully believe we have only seen a glimpse of what Goedert is capable of and by looking at Pitts’ 2020 Florida stats, I am hopeful that Johnson will use Goedert in the same capacity in the Eagles spread option offense.
Redraft Fantasy Football Value
Drafting Goedert at his current ADP is a steal for fantasy owners. Owners will be very pleased when Goedert becomes a top five tight end this season. I feel Goedert is undervalued in fantasy and should be higher in redraft rankings. Goedert is a safe pick for fantasy football players going into the 2023 NFL season.
Dynasty Fantasy Football Value
In 2021, Goedert signed a four-year $57 million contract with the Philadelphia Eagles and could potentially become a free agent in 2026. Goedert is currently at the height of his career and is set for a breakout year in 2023. The Eagles and fantasy owners alike will get the best version of him during this time as he is age 28 and in the middle of a contract. As per trade value, Goedert has a massive upside which means he is worth at least a 2024 second round pick and a player of equal value in dynasty leagues. In 2026, Goedert will be age 31 and probably on a decline in his career, so acquiring him now would be the best choice while he is still relatively young.
I will hit a home run here and predict that Goedert will make good on his promise and record a minimum of 1,000 yards. I’m also going to add that he will record six to eight touchdowns and become a top three tight end in fantasy football.
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Lawrence is a fan of the Green Bay Packers. He is currently a graduate student at William Paterson University pursuing a master’s degree in Financial Planning. His hobbies include all things fantasy football, weightlifting, collecting Yu-Gi-Oh trading cards, and playing Madden. He specializes in dynasty fantasy football having won two championships in the past five years. He is also a college football fan who loves to watch his Buckeyes play on Saturdays while drinking pumpkin-flavored coffee. He is always looking to evolve his game as a fantasy football player and one of his goals is to help other players do the same.