Buy Low Dynasty
The dynasty off-season is a time where you can really make some big changes to your rosters. Taking advantage of players that ended on a high note in the previous season, and buying low on players who ended on a low note can really help your team out. There is also always the hype of the next rookie class, and taking advantage of the highs and lows in player value can really help you boost your roster. This off-season, there are plenty of players out there worth buying low on.
RB | Pittsburgh Steelers
The first name on this list is James Conner of the Pittsburgh Steelers. Many owners are extremely down on Conner after his 2019 season, where he played in just 10 games all season. During this time, he carried the ball 116 times for 464 yards, which was good for 4.0 yards per carry. Not only was he efficient on the ground, but he caught 34 of 38 targets and added 251 yards on those catches. The biggest thing to realize is that this offense as a whole was very bad. The Steelers defense stepped up in a big way and really was what carried this team. After losing Ben Roethlisberger, who played in just two games where he threw for 351 yards, zero touchdowns, and one interception, the Steelers offense was awful all season.
The Steelers don’t pick until the second round in the 2020 NFL Draft, where they have the 49th overall pick. After that, they don’t pick again until the 4th round (114th overall), the sixth round, and the seventh round. I expect the Steelers to fill some holes on their defense in this draft, and the running back position isn’t one I’d expect them to address with their second-round pick. The Steelers also don’t have a ton of cap space, and Conner is still on a fairly cheap deal and isn’t an unrestricted free agent until 2021. We all know the type of upside that comes from a running back in Pittsburgh with a quarterback like Roethlisberger. At least for this coming season, Conner should be viewed as a borderline RB1, and he’s going for far cheaper than that as of late.
WR | Los Angeles Rams
Next up is a guy who has four seasons where he’s finished as a top 15 WR in PPR scoring, Brandin Cooks. In standard scoring leagues, he’s been a WR1 in three years and has one where he just missed as the WR13. Not only has Cooks finished as a borderline WR1 more times than not, but he’s done so on three different teams in the NFL, which in itself is very impressive. He never tends to get much love in the dynasty community, and the hate has officially gone too far. Recently, I’ve seen Cooks sold for a third-round rookie draft pick in two different dynasty leagues. The concussions are absolutely concerning, and the lack of consistency on a week to week basis is apparent, but regardless of how he produces, he continues to show us that he has the talent and skillset to consistently produce as a potential WR1. Simply put, the reward far outweighs the risk at this point and Cooks is definitely worth buying low on.
WR | Carolina Panthers
If you’re looking at investing in the Panthers offense, the one guy that is even reasonably attainable right now is Curtis Samuel. Christian McCaffrey is going to be arguably the best player in fantasy for the next few years, and DJ Moore has broken out and shown he can handle the WR1 role in an offense. I bought a decent amount of Samuel shares a year ago, and although he is a popular ‘buy low’ candidate, he’s still someone I’m looking at acquiring. Samuel finished the 2019 season with 1,539 air yards, which was good for 9th in the NFL. He finished the season with 614 total receiving yards this year on 101 targets, despite some awful play from Kyle Allen all season long. If you watched very many of the Panthers games this year, Samuel was consistently getting behind the defense and Allen just couldn’t hit him to save his life. Samuel is a very polished route runner and clearly has all the tools to be a solid WR2 in the NFL. With the addition of Joe Brady, this offense will be a very intriguing one moving forward. If you’re looking for a cheap way to get a piece of this offense, Samuel is the guy I’d be targeting.
QB | Cleveland Browns
Next up is none other than Baker Mayfield of the Cleveland Browns. This ‘buy low’ investment is more focused towards Superflex and 2QB leagues, but also makes sense for 1QB leagues. This offense was a massive disappointment in 2019, but all that really means is that you can get in on some of these assets for a good price. Odell Beckham Jr. and Jarvis Landry are both fairly underrated wide receivers in dynasty right now, and I’d be honestly interested in targeting them both if you can. Beckham is still one of the most talented wide receivers in the NFL, and Landry has been low-key a WR1 year in and year out, even after leaving Miami. With a fantastic run game with the combination of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, there’s really no reason not to like this offense, except for the fact that it’s the Browns. I expect Mayfield to come out with a vengeance in 2020, not to mention Freddie Kitchens is gone, which based on all the reports we’ve seen all season long, he was a big part of the Browns problems last year. Perhaps everyone was just a year early on the breaking of this Browns team, either way, I’m buying in on the talent this offense has, and Mayfield is a major part of that.
TE | Miami Dolphins
The next player that I’m looking at buying low this off-season, is the former second-round pick Mike Gesicki. We saw Gesicki come on over the second half of the 2019 season. From Week 9 through Week 16, he saw six or more targets in every single game except one, where he had five targets. He also totaled five touchdowns over that span and had games with 95, 79, and 82 yards which are the most he’s seen in his career. The third-year in the NFL is often known as the breakout year, and with his relationship with Ryan Fitzpatrick improving, he’ll likely be a big part of that offense next year. We saw guys like Kenyan Drake and DeVante Parker flourish after getting away from Adam Gase, and I fully expect the Dolphins continue to get their very athletic tight end involved more. Gesicki has easy top-10 upside for tight ends moving forward, and there’s a good chance this is the cheapest his price will get.
WR | Oakland Raiders
One guy that I’m looking to add for cheap where I can is Hunter Renfrow of the Oakland Raiders. The second-year wide receiver out of Clemson had an interesting first season in the NFL, where he finished on a very high note. In Week 16 and Week 17, Renfrow had 100+ receiving yards and a touchdown in each of those games. During the beginning of the year, he didn’t see the field much, but as he got more playing time and saw more targets, we were able to see what he’s capable of. As someone who likely will remain as the slot receiver in Oakland, he could offer some nice upside, especially in PPR leagues. The price tag is cheap and he didn’t do a ton last year and has intriguing upside. I’d be looking to add Renfrow as a ‘throw in’ piece in dynasty trades this offseason.
WR | Chicago Bears
The next name on this list is the second-round pick from 2018 and wide receiver, Anthony Miller of the Chicago Bears. While many owners may be quite down on this Chicago offense after a disappointing 2019 season, Miller continues to look like a talented wide receiver but is stuck on a struggling offense led by Mitch Trubisky. He’s struggled with a shoulder injury during his rookie campaign and parts of the 2019 season and is set to have surgery over the off-season. I’d be using this time and situation as a chance to buy low on Miller, or find a way to get him as a ‘throw in’ in a dynasty trade. In 2018, he was a threat in the end zone, hauling in seven touchdowns in his limited playing time, despite playing through a shoulder injury. Last year, he had just two total touchdowns but saw an increase in yards, targets, and receptions while playing in just one more game than his rookie campaign. Miller saw a nice bump in playing time over the second half of the 2019 season and had four games over the last six where he saw 11, 9, 13, and 15 targets, respectively. With a chance that the Bears make a move for another quarterback, or Trubisky hopefully improves, I’m using this injury and the drop in value of the entire Chicago offense to get some shares of Miller where I can.