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Adrian Peterson Signs With The Saints, What’s His Fantasy Value?

AP signs with Saints

With only a few days away before the 2017 NFL Draft, the New Orleans Saints have signed veteran running back Adrian Peterson to a two-year, $7-million contract. ESPN’s Josina Anderson reports the deal is essentially a one-year deal with an option for a second. The 2017 compensation is $3.5 million (all guaranteed at signing), which includes a $1 million guaranteed salary in 2017 and a $2.5 million signing bonus.

“I am excited to be joining the New Orleans Saints,” Peterson told Anderson. “I’m really looking forward to this opportunity. Most importantly, I chose this team because it just felt right within my spirit. Additionally, my wife and family added their confirmation with the same feelings. Peterson said.

Adrian Peterson Career Stats
Season Stats Rushing Receiving
Year Team G Rush Yds Avg 100+ TD Rec Yds TD
2007
14 238 1341 5.6 6 12 19 268 1
2008
16 363 1760 4.8 10 10 21 125 0
2009
16 315 1389 4.4 3 18 43 436 0
2010
15 283 1298 4.6 5 12 36 341 1
2011
12 209 973 4.7 3 12 18 139 1
2012
16 348 2097 6 10 12 40 217 1
2013
14 279 1266 4.5 5 10 29 171 1
2014
1 21 75 3.6 0 0 2 18 0
2015
16 327 1485 4.5 7 11 30 222 0
2016
3 37 72 1.9 0 0 3 8 0

Peterson just celebrated his 32nd birthday last month and has played only two full seasons in the last seven years.

Fantasy Impact

[the_ad id=”63198″]The signing of AP is considered to be essentially a backup role job behind Mark Ingram. However, if Tim Hightower touched the ball 155 times in a complementing role to Ingram last season, what can we expect from one of the greatest running backs to play the game? This is a very odd signing in my opinion and one that doesn’t help the fantasy stock of Ingram even if you’ve somehow convinced yourself that Peterson has lost a step. What I find strange is the fact that AP has never been considered to be an outstanding pass catcher yet the Saints are very much a pass-first team. While I wouldn’t put it past AP to have a season like he did in 2009, where he snagged 43 receptions, I just find it odd that the Saints wouldn’t just add a running back that better fits their system through the draft which is only days away. This move must be a signing that scratches off a need now, allowing the Saints to keep all their picks so they can focus on other needs.

Mark Ingram finished as the No. 10 Fantasy RB in standard leagues in 2016. He’s been somewhat undervalued in drafts and has been fairly solid for Fantasy owners in each of the past three seasons.

Before the news broke of the AP signing with New Orleans, Ingram was an RB Fantasy owners were targeting in the 3rd round. I’m expecting Adrian Peterson’s Fantasy stock value to rise considerably, and Ingram’s to free fall.  In standard scoring fantasy leagues I think I would avoid this backfield all together, but in PPR I would target Ingram as a sleeper in the later rounds. I’m interested to see where exactly each of these players land in ADP in the next few months, but right now, I’d easily target Ingram in Round 4 with anything later being a steal. With age and injury looming in the background, there are no guarantees Peterson can steal a job here. Your best bet is to target Ingram as a value pick late.

If you’re in a keeper league and own Ingram, you just need to ride this out. Do not trade him for cheap.

Gridiron Experts will be updating their staff rankings after the NFL Draft. Check back to see where he lands in our 2017 Rankings.

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